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Vocabulary flashcards covering key concepts from the Critical Thinking for Insider Threat Analysts course notes.
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Critical Thinking
Active, skillful analysis and evaluation of information to form judgments and decisions.
Analytic Thinking
Systematic examination of information to identify key facts, relationships, and draw informed conclusions.
Eight Elements of Thought
Purpose, problem or question, information, interpretation/inference, concepts, assumptions, point of view, and implications or consequences.
Nine Intellectual Standards
Clarity, accuracy, precision, relevance, depth, breadth, logic, significance, fairness.
ICD 203
Intelligence Community Directive establishing official analytic standards and privacy considerations for PII in analytic products.
Analytic Standards
Five standards guiding analytic products: objectivity, independence of political consideration, timeliness, based on all available sources, and analytic tradecraft.
Objectivity
Unbiased assessment; evaluation without personal bias or favoritism.
Independent of Political Consideration
Assessments not distorted by policy agendas or stakeholder politics.
Timeliness
Dissemination of analysis in time to be actionable for decision-makers.
Based on All Available Sources
Use information from all relevant sources to inform analysis.
Analytic Tradecraft
Best practices, techniques, and standards used in analytic production.
Source Quality/Credibility
Factors affecting source trustworthiness: accuracy, bias, currency, motivation, access, expertise.
Source Descriptors / Source Summary
Narrative explanations of source strengths/weaknesses and their relevance to judgments.
Uncertainty
Indicate likelihood and confidence; explain how uncertainties affect conclusions.
Assumptions
Explicitly state assumptions and explain implications if they prove incorrect.
Problem Restatement
Restating a problem to view it from different perspectives and clarify questions.
Divergent Thinking
Generating a wide range of ideas without judgment to explore possibilities.
Convergent Thinking
Narrowing ideas to select the best solution or judgment.
Chronologies/Timelines
Orderly listing of events/dates to understand context and causality.
Causal Flow Diagram
Diagram showing how factors interact and cause effects within a system.
The Matrix
Grid tool to list relationships and test connections between elements or hypotheses.
Scenario/Decision Tree
Graphic map of choices and outcomes across different sequences of events.
Weighted Ranking
Ranking options by criteria using weights and scores.
Hypothesis Testing
Systematically test competing hypotheses against evidence to determine the most likely explanation.
Devil's Advocacy
Challenging the main view by arguing the opposite to test robustness.
Probability Tree
Assign probabilities to events and compute likelihoods for outcomes.
Utility Tree/Matrix
Quantify utilities and probabilities to compare options and rank them.
Insider Threat Analyst
Professional who gathers data, analyzes information, and produces analytic products to deter, detect, and mitigate insider risk.
All-Source Research
Comprehensive data collection from diverse sources to inform analysis.
Misthinking
Faulty reasoning patterns that can lead to incorrect conclusions; costly if unchecked.
Evidence
Facts or data used to support conclusions.
Analytic Mistakes
Common errors such as starting with a conclusion or overreliance on intuition without testing.