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stalin
the second world war had devastated the soviet union
a conservative estimate suggested 25 million soviet dead,along with the mass destruction of towns and cities ,agriculture and industry
lasting security became a supreme objective for stalin
he and foreigh minister vyacheslav molotov, viewed the soviet unions grand alliance allies as fundamentally ant-ussr
despite this , stalin was a pragmatist
he wanted to keep open an avenue of cooperation with the west
poland was curcial issue in terms of east-west relations
stalins priorities
his priorities in Europe focused on ensuring that eastern Europe lay within soviet sphere of influence , and on the intention to turn the whole of Germany into a communist state at some point in the future
the dismemberment of Germany would not, in stalins view, be in the interests of the soviet union , but Germany had to remain economically weak until it could be secured as a communist state
roosevelt
his commitment to cooperation as the basis of a post-war settlement was clear
however, this commitment was founded on the certainty that the post war world should strongly reflect the American concept of democracy
for Roosevelt, this was not only in the interests of the USA, but the interest of all states ,and the security of the Ussr valued so highly could only be achieved through what emerged at Yalta
this highlights a fundamental misconception and to some extent explains why Roosevelt was willing to cooperate with Stalin
Roosevelt was convinced that Stalin shared the same understandings and values inherent in the configuration of the post-war world
roosevelts contrasting aims
he was certain that he could secure a democratic and therefore anti-communist future for the states of eastern Europe and that international affairs could be managed through a peacekeeping organisation
he had been criticised for a degree of naivety and for underestimating the security needs of the soviet union in terms of eastern Europe
churchill
was convinced that it was stalins intention to expand soviet power in post-war europe
as early as April 1944, he wrote to the foreign secretary ,Anthony Eden, ‘i have tried in every way to put myself in sympathy with these communist leaders, i cannot feel the slightest confidence or trust in them
forces and facts are their only realities’
Churchill believed that the soviet union could threaten britain’s imperial interests and therefore it was essential Britain kept a close alliance with the usa in order to counter this potential threat
this strategy assumed even greater urgency given the economic impact of the war upon britain
percentages agreement
in October 1944,churchill,determined to protect British interests in eastern Europe and the Balkans, met Stalin in Moscow to have the percentages agreement
the basis of the agreement was to establish the percentage of predominance Britain and the Ussr would each have in eastern European states
for example, in Romania the Ussr was to have 90% while in Greece Britain had 90 %
in Hungary it was to be 50% each
this underlined Churchills determination to control soviet expansion in eastern europe through spheres of influence as a means of protecting British interests beyond any commitment to democracy in that region
the lubin government
during the war, a polish government in exile existed in London
the ussr supported a pro-communist government which had been set up on polish’s liberation
this was based in the polish city of lubin
Stalin had ensured that non-communist leaders who had existed the Nazis were eliminated so they could not transplant the polish government in exile back into post war Poland
April 1945: Roosevelt wrote to Stalin about his concerns regarding Poland due to the declaration
the part of our agreement which has aroused the greatest popular interest and is the most urgent relates to the polish question
in the discussions that have taken place so far, your government appears to take the position that the new polish provisional government of national unity which we have agreed should be formed should be little more than a continuation of the present Warsaw government
while it is true that the Lublin government is to be recognised and its members play a prominent role, it is to be done in a fashion as to bring into being a new government
i must make it quite plain to you that any such a solution ,which would result in a thinly disguised continuance of the present Warsaw regime, would be unacceptable and would cause the people of the united states to regard the Yalta agreement as having failed