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Chapter 15, 18, and 19
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1500
The Dawn of Capitalism (with property rights, social organization, & worker conflicts too)
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP)
Translates foreign currency to make comparable value estimates
Virtuous Cycle
Ahead & able to maintain to grow (provides bare necessities to continue/advance)
Viscous Cycle
Difficulty getting ahead or getting started (often lacks basic necessities to succeed)
Prompts Low Productivity: diseases & famine often associated
Economies of Scale
Virtuous Cycle; can make bigger by already invested in basic necessities (cheapens)
Capacity Utilization: saves resources/investments; can produce big supplies cheaply
(Needs a big market with an array of competition or becomes monopolistic)
Technology Transfer
Requires initial investment funding to yield the “next best method or product”
Workers, methods, resource sold for research/development/use
EX: Vaccines, Medicines, Phones, Factory Equipment, Generalized Technology (AI)
Intellectual Property Rights
Copyrights, Patents, Trademarks, Trade Secrets to Protect Successful Methods/Ideas
Credits original creator’s ideas, protects profits; WTO gives 20 years no competition
(Can prompt virtuous cycle if profits are secure/protected for 20 years)
BRICS
Brazil, Russia, India, China & South Africa’s “developer” economic alliance
Asian Tiger
Economic force (quick growth) BUT not in the BRICS or a developed nation
South Korea, Malaysia, Vietnam, Taiwan → NOT China or Japan
Transnational Corporation (TNC)
Headquartered in a developed country but outsources
EX: Nestle, Behr, Boeing are headquartered in EU/US but no work
(Known as homeless organization for less subjectivity to regulation)
World Trade Organization (WTO)
Made in 1995 to assist developing nations navigate fair trade
Polices government entities & TNC’s in global trade / guides trade rules
Only international government entity available to address globalization
International Monetary Fund (IMF)
Developed nations give money to help developing nations seeking assistance
Primarily funds loans for development initiatives & infrastructure projects
Made at end of WW2 to rebuild the war-stricken economies
United Nations (UN)
International union with minor role on international affairs (negotiation forum)
Made at end of WW2 as method for negotiation mediation
World Health Organization (WHO)
Sponsored by the UN to identify, address & stop disease spread (globally)
Disease is a primary reason for low productivity preventing development
6% of the world lives in famine & around 20% of world lives in disease
Andean Pact
A South American “trade bloc” operating between 1969 and 1993 (pre-WTO)
North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
A trade agreement for North America (US, Canada, Mexico) that seeks to eliminate trade barriers by reducing tariffs, creating a common marketplace, and increasing investments
European Union (EU)
An economic union between 28 European countries sharing currency/borders
Seeks to eliminate trade (& movement) barriers while strengthening currency
Non-governmental organization (NGO)
Non-governmental organization; volunteers/citizens organize to provide aid
Often non-political & non-profit; researches & assists nations
(Any profits are reinvested in the mission)
Keys to Developing a Country
Stability & Peace
Development Funds
Infrastructure
Well-Functioning Government Structures
Skills / Education
Health Control
Government Control
Infrastructure
The physical and organizational structures needed for the operation of a society, including transportation, communication systems, and utilities. Essential for economic development and quality of life. Encompasses the essential facilities and systems that support a society's economy, such as roads, bridges, and sewers. It plays a crucial role in enabling trade, improving access to services, and fostering overall development.
Big Issue of Capitalism
Cumulative Race/Chase that Never Ends (No Security)
Social Darwinism
Competition prompts the best environment for economic growth; survival of the fittest
Per Capita
Money made per person
Income
Money received on a regular / timely basis
Average / Mean
Add all & divided by the # added
Quintile (5th)
Stats in 5 pts (20% intervals)
Decile (10th)
States in 10 pts (10% intervals)
Technology Gaps
Circumstances needing a “new method”
Requires research & development
(EX: COVID Shots)
Infrastructure
Basics to function - road, sewers, electric, water, food
Fosters economic development by accessibility & trade
(Many nations lack adequate infrastructure for disasters)
Health Control
No major public health crisis or outbreak with casualties
(One crisis can kill an economy - Ebola, Covid, Plague)
Methods of Government Control
Tariffs, Technological Regulation, Investment Limits (Foreign)
Less common in the US; more common in China’s economy
Well-functioning gov is key (even if unlikable) to foster growth
TNC’s
Major enabler of development by investing companies in developer nations
Homeless organizations - less subject to international or “home” nation laws
Taxes & governmental involvement determine where investments occur
(EX: strong police government & low wage standards)
Tax Havens
Incentivizes (foreign) investment with lower taxes & regulations
Transfer Pricing
Get to pick the prices (& determine the profits)
Immigration
Plays a factor on economic development (good & bad)
Waves / influx can cause high demand & lower supplies
Generally supports or fills most market-worker gaps
The Great Depression & the 2008 Global Financial Crisis
2 Major Recessions (recessions are fairly common cleansers)
Great Depression
(Lasted from the 1920s to 1930s)
War sparked investor panic which caused the stock market crash during a time of gold standard complications, Smoot Hawley tariffs and federal reserve contractions.
Prompted less work, lower income, default, & depressed conditions
Damage of WW2 (on others) & strategic alliances helped recover (look better)
2008 Crisis Origins
1930s, post WW2 changes, deregulation, housing bubble burst
(Before WW2, the US didn’t globalize the economy; smaller trade / export rates)
(After WW2, US globalized to become an international leaders - 2008 hit the world)
True
Recessions are common in the US as “cleansers” - according to Schumpeter
True
The US has had at least 7 major recessions
2008 Precursors
Reagan & Bush banking deregulation; Dot Com recession; 9/11 panics; extra funds to banks
Housing Bubble Burst is the Direct Cause (ranging from 2007 - 2009 with 2015 ending)
Glass Steagall Act
FDR passed to create FDIC & separate Wall Street from Main Street banks
FDIC
Made by the Glass Steagall Act
Insures deposits and the 1st agency able to regulate banks
2008
Glass Steagall Act: separates Wall Street from Main Street Banks (repealed in 1999)
Deregulation: began during Reagan & Bush administration (ex: 1999); slowly loosened the federal banking standards & allowed Wall Street to de-regulate / reunite certain practices
Greed: banks realized middle class held 2/3 of US wealth in home values and sought a way to make profits —> began to predatorily target the middle class
Residential Mortgage Lending Era: Main Street banks began to target the middle class with predatorily written home loans/mortgages to purposely tie those individuals into contracts capable of gradual refinancing by the bank for higher interest / profit. Gradually, Main Street found it as a quick profit scheme and began to write too many loans to unqualified borrowers, causing inability to pay, refinancing at higher interest rates (making even harder to repay), default, and occasionally ending in bankruptcy or foreclosure. Accordingly, the Main Street banks adopted methods with the banks’ best interest at thought. Many banks gave Liar’s Loans that allowed lending to an individual without extensive background checks, often resulting in an inability to pay. Similarly, Ninja Loans allowed borrowers with no income and no assets, despite unlikeness of repayment. Seeking to prevent a bank run upon taking too many bad loans, Main Street banks began to take loans with Wall Street to afford the loans being given. The government eventually began to support the procedure via financing securitization in which the government sponsored funding and organizations to hold loans with disadvantaged borrowers. Accordingly, the government created credit agencies to rate the riskiness of lending, which were eventually abused by the Main Street banks to persuade Wall Street banks into purchasing the terms of the loan (with some seeking those likely to foreclose or those with higher interest rates for profit).
2008 Recovery
Led by Obama via the TARP program (2008) - known as the Bank Bailout
Began to take an effect in 2015: higher employment, increased income, higher GDP
TARP
Bank Bailout led by Obama (funding approved by Congress)
Government sought to buy out the bad loans / bonds but couldn’t find the original owners
Used funds to assist any “major & active bank” - became a banking stimulus to recuperate losses
(Didn't really address or trickle down to help the civilians until late 2015)
Dodd Frank Law
Government can regulate any industry capable of national / systemic harm
Liar’s Loans
Loans given to borrowers without extensive investigation; can lie about income (likely default)
Ninja loans
No income and no assets; no plan for any payback (likely default)
Adjustable Rate Mortgage
Teaser to get the borrower to sign into a contract (offers low interest rate) and promotes the promise that the home value will increase, but when refinanced, increased interest rates from 2% to 13% causing an inability to afford the mortgage/loan OR being stuck in a contractual payment worth an artificially inflated value
Underwater
Stuck in a contract worth more than it’s value
(Contractually tied into a loan worth more than the home’s value with no ability to escape)
Flippers
Sought to buy foreclosed homes at low value (fix up a little bit) and sell for an inflated price (ultimately causing the housing market to artificially increase value)
Mortgage Backed Securities
An investment that represents a claim of cash flow (subsidy for mortgage loans) by bundling mortgages together and selling shares of the pool to the investor. Can be issued by the US government, government sponsored enterprises, or private institutions (EX: GSE’s include Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginny Mae - considered as the highest credit value).
Government Sponsored Enterprises
Government entities to assist the distribution of home loans/mortgages (EX: Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginny Mae - considered as the highest credit value).
Prime Loans
Refers to a classification for loan terms (preferable & less risky so lower interest rates)
Subprime Loans
Refers to a classification of loan terms (less preferable terms, years longer, higher interest rate; deemed a risky borrower)
True
Around 40 panics/recessions have occurred since the Panic of 1819
True
Most artisan manufacturing was water powered; located near waters by the 1860s
True
Credit Contractions cause Recessions
True
Industrialization took hold in Europe by the 1500s but the United States waited until closer to the 1800s
True
3/4th of Incorporated Inequality in World is Concentrated in a Few Nations
False
A country becoming capitalism guarantees development
True
Technology gaps and power gaps are consequences from virtuous and vicious cycles
True
Nations starting development earlier had an advantage over latecomers
True
Distinguishing characteristics of a nation’s economy include the rules and institutions relating to or restricting economic activities
True
Major productivity increases can arise from learning and using new technologies
False
Investment by TNC always fosters development with positive effects in practice
True
In the United States, the richest 5% of households is roughly 75x the average income of Bangladesh
8 steps to develop a national economy
Stability & Peace
Financing
Well Functioning Government
Skills
Education
Infrastructure
No Public Health Crisis
Access to Foreign Markets
Infrastructure
Consists of roads, railways, airports, harbor facilities, bridges, tunnels, water, sewage, public utilities, electricity grids, & communication networks such as telephones and internet. (Fosters economic development through accessibility and trade).
True
The total value of goods and services demanded need not equal the total value produced in a year —> total demand can exceed or fall short of the supply.
True
When demands equals supply, there will generally be some unemployment
Employment Patterns
When demand exceeds supply, firms will hire more workers.
When demand falls short of supply, firms will lay off workers.
When demand equals supply, firms will not alter the size of their workforces.
Levels of Employment
A governments demand for goods and services (with policies regulating interest rates) determine _____.
Mortgage Lenders, Issuers of Securities called Derivitives (like MBS and Adjustable Rate Mortgages) & Credit Rating Agencies
The 3 groups benefitting from the 2008 incentive structures in the Housing Bubble
MBS, Adjustable Mortgage Rates
Example of derivative
Regulation
Prolonged depressions in the 1920s - 1930s, finally led to ____ of the financial sector
Provoke new regulations able to shorten the length & severity of the next potential recession
Deep crisis’ tend to reoccur to _______.
Financial fragility hypothesis
Deregulation causes complacency, increasingly risky firm behavior, and increasing debt (fostering another recession - vicious cycle)
Social Safety Net
The extent and recovery of a recession are determinable by the _______.
ARM
Adjustable Rate Mortgage - teaser rate subject to refinancing
MBSs
Mortgage Backed Securities: supported funds for loans (often issued by
Derivative
A contract - a type of security - derived from some underlying entity or entities (MBS, Collateralized Debt Obligations)
Moral Hazard
An instance in which a person or firm that is insured acts with greater recklessness (EX: too big to fail)
14 trillion
Amount spent on bank bailouts
10
Since the mid-19th century, the US economy has not gone more than __ years without a recession.
Over investment and underconsumption
Non-financial causes of crisis
Government lobbying
Firms can increase profits without investing through _____.
Tax policy/enforcement, regulatory regimes, & government contracting
The corporate influence is growing in
Revolving Door
Hiring government personnel who formerly regulated them or administered contracts
Bid rigging
Illegal collusion among bidders to predetermine the outcome of a bidding process for a contract