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Scientific methodology
•depends on this application of inferential statistics.
experiment
heart of scientific methodology is
Experiment
has been designed to test a hypothesis, and the resulting data must be analyzed.
sign test
is chosen because (1) it is easy to understand and (2) all of the major concepts concerning hypothesis testing can be illustrated clearly and simply.
Sign test
•It ignores the magnitude of the different scores and considers only their direction or sign.
the essential features
•that there are paired scores in the conditions, and the differences between the paired scores are analyzed.
Hypothesis
Guess/Hunch
Educational Guess
Intellectual Guess
Alternative Hypothesis
H1
research hypothesis
other term of alternative hypothesis
Alternative Hypothesis
•is the one that claims the difference in results between conditions is due to the independent variable.
Null Hypothesis
H0
Null Hypothesis
It is the logical counterpart of the alternative hypothesis such that if the ** is false, the alternative hypothesis must be true.
reject the Ho
obt v < crit v = ?
significant or reliable
•Rejecting the null hypothesis allows us to accept indirectly the alternative hypothesis. When we reject it the results are ?
reject the null hypothesis
If the obtained probability turns out to be equal to or less than a critical probability level or alpha level we ?
failing to reject H0
If the obtained probability is greater than the alpha level, we conclude by ?
fail to reject Ho, accept Ha
obt v > crit v =
Type 1 error
is defined as a decision to reject the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is true.
False Positive
Type 1 error
Type 2 error
is defined as a decision to retain the null hypothesis when the null hypothesis is false.
False Negative
Type 2 error
Alpha
limits the probability of making a Type I error.
Beta
is defined as the probability of making a Type II error.
0.05
Alpha levels are used, like **** or social sciences
0.01
Alpha levels are used, like **** for clinical trials
consider the consequences of making an error
To determine a reasonable alpha level for an experiment, we must ?
the probability of making a Type I error
the more stringent the alpha level, decreases?
the probability of making a type II error
making alpha more stringent increases ?
non directional
•If the alternative hypothesis in ??____, we evaluate obtained result or any even more extreme in both directions (both tails).
directional
•If the alternative hypothesis is ??, we evaluate only the tail of the distribution that is in the direction specified by H1
two-tailed probability
•This probability is called a ****__value because the outcomes we evaluate occur under both tails of the distribution.
one-tailed probability
The probability is called a ___ because all of the outcomes we are evaluating are under one tail of the distribution.
significant - statistically significant
If we are able to reject the null hypothesis the results are?
William Sealy Gossett
Student's t Test by:
z test
mean and standard deviation is known
N > 30
1 curve for all sample size, normal curve
t test
standard deviation is unknown - solve for estimates of s
N < 30
Many curves depending on the sample size, varies directly with degrees of freedom
a powerful stand alone test
Degrees of freedom
is the number of scores that are free to vary in calculating the statistic
Parametric Test
Depends considerably on population characteristics
They are robust tests, do not greatly disturb the sampling distribution of its statistic
They are more powerful and versatile
Ratio/Interval Scaling
nonparametic test
Depends little on knowing population distributions, they are often referred to as distribution-free tests.
Nominal or Ordinal Scaling
If extreme violation of an assumption of the pramaetric test or inappropriate scaling is used,
Chi-square
One of main uses is in determining whether two categorical variable are independent or are related.
Contingency table
is two-way table showing the contingency between two variables where the variables have been classified into mutually exclusive categories and the cell entries are frequencies.
Mann-Whitney U Test
Alternative for t test independent groups; atleast ordinal scaling;
Kruskal-Wallis Test
Alternative for one-way ANOVA; atleast ordinal scaling of DV
Confidence Interval
is a range that probably contains the population value.
Confidence Limits
are the values that bound the confidence interval
ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE
anova
R.A. Fisher
F test by
F test
Can be used to form two independent estimates of the population variance
Appropriate occurs when analyzing the data from experiment that use two or more conditions or groups (more common to encounter experiments that involve three or more groups.
F test
Anova is also known as ___ test?
F distribution
Anova uses what distribution?
T test
Wilcoxon signed-rank test is also known as __ test?
T distribution
Wilcoxon signed-rank test uses what distribution?
U test
Mann-Whitney Test is also known as __ test?
U distribution
Mann-Whitney Test uses what distribution?
H test
Kruskal-Wallis Test is also known as __ test?
x2 distribution
Kruskal-Wallis Test uses what distribution?
small effect
0.00-0.20
medium effect
0.21-0.79
large effect
< 0.80
to know if the result is significant
Null-hypothesis approach
does not tell the size or the effect
Confidence-interval approach
affirm that the IV has a real effect and at the same time gives us an estimate of the size of the real effect;
95% and 99%
is the commonly use confidence interval
1. normal distribution 2. homogeneity of variance
assumption for t test