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What does the financial sector consist of?
Banks, forward markets, stock markets, pension funds and insurance companies
what is their role?
channel savings into investments
make risky investments safer
transform short term saving opportunities into long-term loans
what does the banking sector consist of?
retail and investment banks, building societies and shadow banks
what is the role of retail banks?
they are used by the public and businesses. They accept deposits, provide loans, and offer various financial services to individuals and businesses.
they assess risk by measuring collateral and income levels and checking credit history
what does an investment bank do?
evaluates mergers and acquisitions
IPO Deals - helping companies transition from ltd to plc
Proprietary Trading - they trade using the firm’s money. This involves speculating, which was controversial during 2008
Private Wealth Management
what are forward markets?
Forward markets are platforms where participants can buy and sell contracts to deliver assets at a future date for a price agreed upon today, allowing for hedging against price fluctuations.
this takes away risk but there is a cost, and firms could miss out on potential profits if prices move favourably.
stock markets
current shareholders can sell shares or new businesses want to raise money. this encourages investment
how do pension funds work?
they accumulate and invest funds from existing workers. they then pay pensions to retired workers
they mostly buy government bonds → secure + guarantee returns
this enables workers to move consumption from today to their futures
what are liability driven investments?
This is when you’re always ensuring that your assets can cover your liabilities
It involves hedging risks (sacrificing huge returns to avoid huge losses) by using interest rate swaps (effectively betting on interest rates falling)
The problem is if gilt interest rates fall - so pension funds hedge the risks by betting on interest rates falling
what are insurance companies?
they minimise exposure to risk of loss of assets which encourages trade
what were the causes of the financial crisis?
recession after 9/11. various firms saw different effects (in terms of shares and profits) and there was a sharp rise in oil and gas prices
low interest rates initially. this increased the demand for mortgages. this drives house prices up - there are lots of price volatility due to PED
sub-prime mortgages became more common - lending to borrowers with poor credit histories at high interest rates, leading to higher default rates and significant financial instability.
CDOs (Collateralised Debt Obligations) were financial instruments that pooled various debt obligations and sold them as securities, often becoming highly risky due to the inclusion of sub-prime mortgages.
Rating Agencies were inadequate
When interest rates rose, prices went down, so many people had to default on their mortgages. Supply increases and prices fall further, CDOs became worthless
insurers fail to pay out on credit default swaps - this was a system wide failure
bank assets were wiped out, confidence plummeted and they stopped lending to each other
what effects did the financial crisis have on the economy?
AS and AD plunging
consumption and business spending down
uncertainty in trade
government spending was the main driver of AD
demand - deficient unemployment
wealth and lending go down
what effect did the crisis have on businesses?
lack of credit so:
lack of demand for goods
lack of small businesses
no working capital and no investment
how did the government attempt to resolve it?
in the UK, they used a bail out and then austerity + QE
they increased banking regulation and put limits on bonuses
what effect did the crisis have on the public?
The financial crisis led to increased unemployment rates, reduced public services, and a decline in household wealth. Many individuals faced foreclosures and heightened economic insecurity.
greater inequality since QE leads to land prices etc increases
what sort of banking regulation was implemented?
increased bank capital requirements
separates retail and investment banking
regulating credit reference agencies and mortgage lending more
there is a deposit guarantee of £85,000
but banks are too big to fail - there is an incentive to take risks knowing that the government can bail them out
what sort of regulation was there before the crisis?
1986 Financial Services Act de-regulated banks and allowed free movement of capital
BASEL 1 established capital adequacy ratios - so they ahead to have a certain amount of capital determined by the risk of their assets. Overall it was 8%
what is capital?
Tier 1 is shareholder money - retained earnings, general reserves etc
Tier 2 is when banks hold subordinated debt and preferred stock. Capital is crucial for absorbing losses and ensuring financial stability.
what regulation came after the crisis
BASEL 3 - common equity Tier 1 ratio was raised from 2% to 6%
stress tests were implemented - ensures that they they can deal with adverse scenarios. They have a strong enough system
Also relying less on short term loans and accepted limits on bonuses
Deposit guarantee (£85,000)
who monitors banks?
Financial Policy Committee (BoE) - systemic risks
Prudential Regulation Authority (BoE)
FCA - competiton and consumer protection
what scandals have occurred in banking?
LIBOR scandal - rate at which banks borrow against each other
Exchange Rate scandal - speculating on exchange rates and bringing in bonuses
what market failure is there is banking
Asymmetric, lack of or misleading information
moral hazard
regulation failing
what problems does implementing banking regulation have?
less profit for banks, so less investment and lending reduced
high bank funding costs which can be passed on to consumers and businesses
costs of administration
regulatory capture
there must be a balance
what role does the bank of england have?
determines monetary policy
provides banking services to the Government and acts as a banker to retail and investment banks
regulates and control banking activity
they are a lender of last resort - provides liquidity and ensures stability (but is this a moral hazard?)
how does quantitative easing work and how does it help?
In response to a sharp fall in demand
The bank purchases assets (usually government bonds) from private sector businesses. This increases prices and reduces yield (income payments received from holding it). So return on these assets fall
So other assets are purchased and their yield reduces
This lowers the cost of borrowing
It can help to increase wealth since cash is spent on other assets
It increases bank liquidity. Consumption and investment increases