SH LTD trade: Lincoln City vs Rotherham United

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5 Terms

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League & Teams:

  • Lincoln were historically stronger at home, especially in second halves.

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Research & Selection Process

  • Pre-Match Filtering:

    • Match passed initial criteria for second-half trades.

    • With 0-0 at half-time, additional research was done to confirm trade viability.

  • Key Findings:

    • Lincoln had a better second-half performance compared to Rotherham.

    • Rotherham showed attacking intent, reducing risk of defensive play.

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Trade Execution

  • Live Stats Analysis (75 minutes):

    • Lincoln attacking but Rotherham slightly leading in shots, corners & Dangerous Attacks (DAs).

    • Lincoln made 3 substitutions, a sign of pushing for a win.

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Adjustments After Goal

  • Rotherham scored (85'), prompting trade refinements:

    • Lay Away Win at 1.16 (£20 liability) → removed liability on the draw.

    • Lay Away Win again (£14.29) → balanced profit between outcomes.

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Final Profit & Takeaways

  • Profit Secured:

    • £14.00 locked-in minimum profit, despite trade going against initial expectations.

    • £76.72 potential profit if Lincoln had completed a comeback.

  • Key Lesson:

    • Live research + flexibility helped ensure profit even when the trade didn’t follow the ideal plan.