First Half Lay the Draw (FH LTD) Trade: Cesena vs Cosenza

Pre-Match Research:

• Italian Serie B match between Cesena (6th) and Cosenza (17th).

• Cesena were strong in first halves at home, topping the 'First Half' home table.

• Both teams showed attacking strength but weaker defense, suggesting goals were likely.

• Cosenza had rarely been level at half-time, making a draw less likely.

Market Context:

• Half-time draw price opened at 2.2, meaning a quick drop below 2.0 was expected.

• Cesena were favorites but not overwhelmingly so, allowing an early trade entry.

Live Stats & Entry Point:

• By the 20-minute mark, live stats showed an open game (shot count: 3-4, corner count: 3-1).

• Despite fewer Dangerous Attacks (DAs), it was normal for Serie B’s slower playing style.

• Entered trade early, laying the half-time draw at 1.8 with a £20.00 stake.

Trade Adjustments:

• Backed Cesena half-time win at 3.5 with £9.00, shifting liability for better profit potential.

• Adjusted positions to maximize profit on the home win while maintaining coverage.

Outcome:

• Cesena scored in first-half stoppage time.

• Immediately laid Cesena at 1.04 with £25.00 to secure a risk-free trade.

• Final profit: £40.67 from £25.00 risk.

Key Takeaways:

• Late goals in FH LTD trades increase profitability.

• Entering earlier allowed for higher returns compared to the Salzburg trade.