First Half Lay the Draw (FH LTD) Trade: Salzburg vs Austria Klagenfurt

Pre-Match Research:

Used Custom Filter with LTA Colours to find a strong home team (Salzburg) and a weaker away team (Austria Klagenfurt). Salzburg showed solid home performance, while Austria Klagenfurt often trailed at half-time.

Market Context:

Austrian Bundesliga game with lower liquidity due to competition from bigger leagues. Salzburg were heavily odds-on favorites with the half-time draw priced at 3.60 pre-kickoff.

Live Stats & Entry Point

At the 30-minute mark, Salzburg had strong attacking stats (6 shots, 4 corners, 79% possession), indicating dominance. Austria Klagenfurt were still attempting to attack, reducing the risk of a 0-0 half-time score. The draw price dropped below 2.00, prompting a lay entry at 1.8 with a £20.00 stake.

Trade Adjustments:

Backed Salzburg half-time win at 2.7 for £9.00 to shift more profit towards home win and increase liability on the draw.

Outcome:

Salzburg scored in the 40th and 44th minutes. Lay exit on Salzburg at 1.05 secured a no-lose trade. Final profit of £33.37 from a £25.00 risk.

Key Takeaways

Entry timing was crucial due to high starting prices. Strong in-play stats justified entering trade. Salzburg’s dominance made for a solid, calculated trade opportunity.