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Finance
Study of how individuals and firms acquire, spend, and manage scarce resources
Cash flows differ along three dimensions… which are?
size
timing
risk
Compounding means…
the future value
Discounting means…
the present value
Perpetuity
an investment paying a fixed sum (C) at the end of every year forever
Growing Perpetuity
an investment paying a growing sum (at a rate g) every t1 year forever
Annuity
an investment that pays a fixed sum (C) at the end of each year for T years
Growing annuity
is an investment that pays a growing sum (at the rate g) at the end of every year, and stops after T years
Net Present Value (NPV)
PV (benefits) - PV (costs)
Annual rate
AKA the nominal rate or APR is the interest rate as quoted per year without adjusting for compounding frequency
Effective rate
is the actual percentage change in money over one year after computing the compounding
Possible scenarios for annual vs effective rates (compounding)
1. Interest compounded more than once per year effective rate > nominal rate
2. Interest compounded less than once per year effective rate < nominal rate
3. Interest compounded more than once per year effective rate = nominal rate
Interest rate
is the exchange rate that allows us to convert money from one point in time to another
Bond
Is a security (a loan contract) that obliges the issuer to make specified coupon and principal payments to the holder on specified dates
Face Value
AKA principal (amount that needs to be paid back at maturity)
Coupon rate
% paid as interest on a bond
Coupon
amount of interest paid per period on a coupon bond
Yield
the expected annual return on a bond investment expressed as a percentage
Types of bonds
Pure discount/zero-coupon bonds (pay face value at maturity)
Coupon bonds (pay stated coupon at periods and face value at maturity)
Floating rate bonds (pay a variable coupon and resets periodically to a reference rate)
Perpetual bonds (pay coupon at intervals but no maturity date)
Annuity/self amortizing bonds (pay a regular fixed amount each period and part of the fixed amount is interest)
No-arbitrage principle
in an efficient market it is impossible to make a risk free profit because any price discrepancies are quickly corrected (2 investments with same risk and same FV must be priced the same)
Arbitrage
taking advantage of price differences for the same asset in different markets to earn a risk-free profit
Accrued interest
the interest that accumulates between the last coupon payment and the current date
Dirty price
total price of the bond including accrued interest
Clean price
bond price excluding accrued interest
Yield to maturity (YTM)
annualized rate of return an investor earns if they buy a bond at its current price and hold it until maturity (same as the nominal rate)
Credit risk
possibility a bond issuer will fail to pay back (default)
Riskier vs Risk-free bonds
riskier bonds: must offer higher yields to attract investors (junk bonds and corporate bonds)
risk-free bonds: government bonds from stable countries
Inflation risk
risk that the purchasing power of your investment returns will be eroded by inflation
Fisher equation
is the key equation to express the relationship between nominal IR, real IR, and inflation
Real vs Nominal interest rates
nominal rates have not been adjusted for inflation whereas real rates have (investors care about real rates to forecast inflation and expectations)
The expectation theory
Says that long-term interest rates reflect what the market expects short-term interest rates to be in the future (uses a long-term rate to forecast future short-term rates)
The Yield Curve
Is a graph of the YTM against the time to maturity of bonds
· If the yield curve is upward sloping investors are expecting short rates to rise in the future
· If the yield curve is flat investors are expecting short rates to stay the same in the future
If the yield curve is downward slopinginvestors are expecting short rates to fall in the future