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3 Looming Public Health Crises
Malnutrition, Diabetes, Antibiotic Resistance
Malnutrition
Individuals experiencing undernutrition or overnutrition
Undernutrition
Diet lacking calories or nutrients
Underweight= low weight-for-age
Stunting= low height for age- outcome of gross undernutrition and persistent infection in first 1000 days of child’s life
Long-term effects= Diminished cognitive and physical development (skeletal and neurological), reduced productive capacity, poor health (immune system development), increased risk of overweight/obese later in life
Wasting= low weight-for-height- often indicates severe weight loss
Micronutrient deficiencies
Overnutrition
Diet with excess calories
Overweight/Obesity= abnormal or excessive fat accumulation that may impair health
Overdosing on micronutrients
Types of nations carrying burden of insufficient calories, how do we know this undernutrition is fixable?
Global South, non-industrial nations
Almost a billion people are going hungry, while we waste 1/3 of the food we produce
Obesity
Energy is never destroyed, only converted- excess energy results in obesity
Rates have risen in every country- today, around 641 million obese
Increases risk of: Heart disease, cancer, endocrine diseases, hypertension, fatty liver disease, atherosclerosis, Type 2 Diabetes
Obesity and Socioeconomic Status
In a food insecure nation, the impoverished are more likely to be undernourished, bearing the brunt of stunting and wasting
In a food secure nation, the impoverished are more likely to be obes
Countries’ Composition of Daily Diet
Top 5 GDP countries have more sugar, sweeteners, meats milk
Bottom 5 GDP countries have more cereals and starchy roots
Dual/Triple Burden of Malnutrition
Coexistence of over and undernutrition at all levels of population
1/3 people globally suffer from at least one form of malnutrition: 1 billion undernourished, 2.5 billion overweight/obese, 3 billion micronutrient deficient
Global Diabetes Epidemic
Obesity and Type 2 Diabetes are linked
Diabetes is a disease that occurs when your blood glucose (blood sugar) is too high
Type 1= Pancreas does not produce enough insulin, non-reversible, genetic, not linked w/ obesity
Type 2= Insulin does not stimulate glucose uptake from blood, reversible, poor diet, obesity, too much sugar, insulin can’t lower it fast enough
Every 6 seconds, 1 person dies from Type 2
3/4 people with diabetes live in low- and middle-income countries
Wonder drug- Revolutionized Medicine- Antibiotics
Antibiotics= common metabolic products of aerobic bacteria and fungi
Chemicals that can slow/stop growth of bacteria
Preferentially kill bacteria w/out harming human/animal host
Target what’s unique about bacterial cells
Natural Selection and Drug Resistance
Large populations of microbes include drug resistant cells due to prior mutations or transfer of plasmids- no growth advantage until exposed to drug
If exposed, sensitive cells are inhibited or destroyed while resistance cells will survive and proliferate
Eventually, population will be resistant- natural selection
Timeframe of microbe generation- 10-20 minutes
Causes of Antibiotic Resistance
Over prescribing antibiotics (used against non-bacterial illness)
Patients not finishing treatments
Poor infection control at hospitals and clinics
Lack of hygiene
Discovery Void- lack of development of new antibiotics
***Overuse of antibiotics in agriculture
Used as growth promotrs
Proactively to stop density dependent infections
Rapid increase in AR are directly attributable to rise of CAFOs
Spread of antibiotic resistance
Natural Selection
Coupled with bacterial short generation times and high genetic variability
Antibiotics sold in the US
81%- livestock
19%- humans
Global Economic Costs of Malnutrition
Globally, costs about $3.5 trillion per year
Undernutrition/micronutrient deficiencies- $2.1 trillion/year
Obesity/obesity related diseases- $1.4 trillion/year
GDP was about $85 trillion in 2020, so malnutrition represents about 4.1% of global GDP
Individual Costs of Undernutrition
Often generational cycle
Short and long-term causes and consequences
Short: Mortality, morbidity, disability, (childhood consequences)
Long: Adult height, cognitive ability, economic productivity, reproductive performance, metabolic and cardiovascular disease (adult consequences
Individual Costs of Overnutrition
2/3 adults in US are considered overweight/obese
Higher risks of:
Heart disease and stroke
High blood pressure
High cholesterol
Diabetes
Cancer
Mental health problems
Medical costs are 36% higher for obese individuals on average
In US, annual costs= $2646 for men and $4879 for women- wage discrimination, direct medical, short-term disability, productivity, sick leave, life insurance, disability pension insurance, car gas
High Cost of Diabetes Explained
Medicare coverage of Kidneys (End-Stage Renal Disease, ESRD) signed into law by Nixon in 1973
Has saved hundreds of thousands of lives w/ dialysis and kidney transplants BUT when program was designed, they expected the number of patients would plateau at 40,000 (thought diabetes a rare condition)
However, by 2021, 786,000 have ESRD (71% on dialysis, 29% have received kidney transplant)
$1/$7 health care dollars is spent treating diabetes and its complications
Raises questions of aggressively marketed food, government subsidies for processed food ($13.4 billion on food advertising in 2017 vs. $1.2 billion public health CDC budget for all chronic disease prevention and health promotion)
Problems with Antibiotic Resistance
Effective antibiotics= prerequisite for global developmental goals
Poverty
Universal health coverage
Health inequalities
Economic growth
In US, estimated
8 million additional hospital days
20 billion dollars in direct health care expenses
35 million dollars in lost productivity
More annual deaths than all cancers combined
The Discovery Void
Drug approval is a rigorous process
10-20 years from discovery to approval
95% failure rate
1 billion in research costs before potential product approval
Why are companies investing less?
Duration of antibiotic effectiveness is declining
Average length is substantially less than 2 years
Cost of R&D no longer profitable
Long-term repercussions
Share of food purchased at supermarkets
Grew quickly after first one opened in 1930
1948- 28%, today- almost 100%
Walmart has market share of grocery food sales equal to 2nd- 8th sized grocery stores combined
Why Supermarkets Expanded
Agriculture policies put in place and never removed
US became urban-majority country in 1920s- US gov’t policy wanted to ensure the agriculture sector could feed growing urban population
USDA invested heavily in research to make food more abundant and cheaper (engineering for productivity-enhancing farm equipment, research into road materials to connect rural and urban areas, more typical agricultural breeding research)
Subsidies for corn/soy began and have never ended
How supermarkets helped end Cold War
Exemplified choice for consumers, introducing concept of self-service
Sept. 1989, Russian president Boris Yeltsin visits US grocery, thought it was staged, realized it was norm which shattered his view of communism- felt “sick with despair for the Soviet people
Supermarket= end point of US gov’t battle for agricultural abundance against the USSR
Were the US weapon that helped lead to the fall of communism and global dominance of capitalism
Power of Marketing- Predatory Pricing
Think- Walmart’s business model: offer cheap prices w/in new community, other mom & pop shops go out of business because they can’t compete, Walmart raises prices
Squeeze suppliers, making them decrease how much they charge Walmart each year by threatening to break up w/ them since they’re their biggest customer
Power of Marketing- Loss Leader Pricing
Prime purpose= gain market penetration and attain a customer base
Mainly targeted to attract customers to the business by using price as a weapon to fight competitors
Needs to be properly executed, as it may lead to bankruptcy of business
Main purpose= draw more traffic from competitors and thus generate more sales
Works best in way of introducing the customer to the cheapest product/service
Consumers are losers because they think they’re saving a ton, but it’s maximizing sellers’ profits
Power of Marketing- Weaponized Architecture
Architecture for profits optimization
Entry & Exit points
Impulse/lower-cost items near checkouts and high-traffic areas
Aisle set-up
Products placed at eye level= more likely to be purchased (more expensive, specialty items placed higher)
Bottom shelves are generic store brand
End caps more likely to be purchased
Kids dictate
Candy/chips/sugary cereals placed on lower level
Kids’ gifts/toys placed near checkout to increase contact time
Power of Marketing- Slotting Fees
Supermarkets charge significant fees before retailers see their products on shelves
Large companies buy up enough shelf space they can effectively design store’s layout to maximize product visibility
Make it harder for small businesses to compete
Slotting fees for seasonal features/ promotional displays appear at end of aisles
Junk food manufacturers have taken over valuable in-store real estate, leading consumers to choose less healthy options
Came about in mid-80s
80-90% of new products fail
Rise of Shop Keeping Unit (barcode)- many vendors were throwing new products up against wall to see if any would stick w/out consumer research
Slotting fees became solution to massive influx of new products and space scarcity
Truth about food marketing
Marketing directly impacts what we eat- food market mostly used for
High fat, high sugar, high salt, beer
Significant amounts of marketing target children, particularly minority children
3.4 billion food ads on children’s websites in one year, many claiming to promote healthier choices
8/10 food ads seen by Hispanic children on Spanish-language TV promote fast food, candy, sugar drinks, snacks
Is what you eat fully a personal choice?
Marketing is increasing the cost to the government through healthcare costs (and individuals, via tax dollars)
Global Movement of Sugar Cane
Origins of SE Asia
Domesticated in Papua NG around 8000 BC
Spread Eastern Pacific and Indian Oceans carried by seafarers
India refined it around 2500 years ago
Reached Mediterranean in 13th C
Subtropical plant (wet, humid native regions)
Early sugar
Medieval times- considered exotic spice
Medicinal glaze
Sweetener for elites- refined sugar was a luxury good
White gold mined w/ black bodies
Pre-industrialization, harvesting sugar required backbreaking and dangerous labor
Takes 14-18 months for sugarcane to mature- entire crops mature together and will spoil quickly once maturity is reached
Once cut, must be ground by hand w/in 24-48 hrs or will rot
Sugar crystals created via boiling, requiring large amounts of heat, harvesting forests, chopping wood
Slaves exploited to supply growing demand- sugar slaves life expectancy shorter than cotton slaves, often would “drop dead” after 7 years
Triangle Trade (1501-1867)
Approx 12,570,000 slaves shipped from Africa to Americas (survivors)
Estimated 1-2 slaves died and thrown overboard for every slave that reached Americas (terrible human sacrifice to turn luxury good into staple)
1720s- 1 of every 2 ships in city’s port carried sugar, sugar products, or enslaved people
Estimated value of enslaved people represented tens of millions of dollars
LA led nation in destroying black lives in name of economic efficiency
Atrocities of sugar
Child labor
Hot sugar syrup- 3rd degree burns
Sugar roller grinding- missing limbs/fingers/sepsis
Continual slave trade needed due to death rates exceeding births
Modernization found new ways to extract additional wealth from slaves
American independence thanks to sugar
UK and Euopean nations- more than 3900 sugar plantations around Caribbean- 60% UK’s trade was on plantations or supporting them (rum!)
UK, FRA, SPA, NED continually at war
British colonies declared ind. in 1776- Carib sugar industry was more important component of British economy- represented lifeline
UK had to maintain strong force in Carib during Rev War- likely aided northern colonists in winning- crush unruly teenagers or protect economic livelihood
Shows how food systems shape geopolitical boundaries
Global sugar production
110 countries produce
Sugar trading hit record level in 2021- 63 million tons, expected to decrease marginally due to artificial sugars
Sugar used as livestock feed, fiber, energy (biofuel), or electricity generation(bagasse)
2 crops: sugar cane- tropical crop (80%), sugar beets- cooler weather crop (20%)
Top exporters: Brazil (18%), India (17%), EU (11%), China (6%), Thailand (5%), Russia (5%), US (5%)
US Sugar Production
Dominos produces 120 4-lb bags of sugar every minute of every day (in season)- 8 lbs/second, 9 million tons annually
Ranked 7th globally- net importer of sugar
4 billion in annual subsidies- price supports, guaranteed crop loans, tariffs, imported sugar regulation
Average citizen eats 77.1 lbs of sugar/year
Twice the max. limits of nutritionists
High sugary diets are linked to diabetes, obesity, and cancer YET gov’t keeps subsidizing sugar production, leading to an increase in healthcare costs they complain about having to pay for
Sugar and public health
After industrial revolution, became a necessity for middle class families b/c source of cheap energy
Carbs= highest energy source out of macromolecules
When we have too much, we need to store it —> obesity
Responsible for approx. 20% of caloric content of modern diet- largely sugary drinks
Central to world’s economy
Sugar and rise of dentistry
Archaeological examination of teeth from ancient burial sites- no deterioration in dental condition/no cavities
Dental problems initially wealthy problem- stoic royalty
Cavities= most common non-communicable disease globally AND expensive- 5-10% industrialized nation health care budget spent on treating cavities
Addicting the public to sugar- the Bliss Point
Hyper-palatability- triggering of pleasure centers in brain causes you to crave more, affects hunger hormones- stimulating you to eat more
The Bliss Point= optimal ratio of sugar (fat or salt) that stimulates the reward center of brain
Zero calorie sweeteners
FDA initially rejected in 1980, Hayes broke deadlock but wasn’t in his power to do so, forced out of FDA and got job at General Foods (creator of Aspartame)
Today- difficult to recall granted approval-
aspartame toxicity
reports of migraine
linked w/ dementia + mental decline
increased levels of obesity (training brain to disassociate slowing down eating because you’re used to zero calories/no limits)
Considered carcinogen
Illegal in Europe
Agricultural Labor Today
2 billion people work in food systems
50% of global workforce directly work in agriculture
Poverty for small-medium scale farmers is incredibly high
Farmers make up 50-75% of those earning less than $2/day
30% US farmers below national poverty line- make millions in profits for agribusiness, but can’t afford same food they labor to produce
In US, 10.3% of labor in ag. and food industry, but only 1.4% of total labor is in farming
Federal labor laws exclude protections for farm labors- no right for collective bargaining or overtime, less safety protections
Dangers for farm laborers
Repetitive motions
bent over many hours
heavy lifting
hot weather- heat stroke, only CA and WA require shade and water access
Inadequate water
Infrequent breaks, punishment for taking them because workers paid by piece
Heightened exposure to pesticides- birth defects
CAFOs- gas exposures, drowning, antibiotic resistance, exposure to skin infections
Social Sustainability and Labor
Social Sustainability= inclusive, just, and resilient societies where citizens have voice and governments listen and respond
Fights persistent inequality and racial discrimination
Fosters public empowerment, poverty reduction, economic growth, environmental sustainability
Trafficking and modern slavery: involuntary servitude, peonage (employer compels worker to pay off debt through labor), debt bondage, exploitation, poor wages & wage theft
Human trafficking and modern slavery- involuntary servitude
Recruitment, transportation, transfer, harboring, or receipt of persons by means of threat/use of force or other forms of coercion, abduction, fraud, deception, abuse of power, etc. for purpose of exploitation
2020:
108,613 documented cases across 164 countries
50% cases under 18 yr olds
Majority (79%) sex trafficking
Forced labor in food systems= 18% (may be misrepresented)
Global market is $150 billion, in US- $32 billion
Approx $9 billion is in trafficking for farm laborers
Fastes growing “business” for mafias and criminal enterprises
Land Theft- Peonage & Debt Bondage
Land investments- purchasing land often to meet global demands for ag products
Often described as land theft/grabbing due to negative impacts
Lack of transparency
Communal land sold (no consultation w/ local land users)
Violation of human rights (subsistence farmers displaced)
Peonage
Debt bondage (coercion converting private subsistence land to crops for export)
Indentured servitude
Farm laborers’ protection in US Ag
Major protective laws generally protect less than 2% of ag. workforce
Year-round food and farm industries like dairy and poultry processing plants are not eligible for H-2A workers, and many have come to rely on undocumented labor
Developed illegal/questionable strategies to recruit vulnerable foreign workers
Migrant and Seasonal Ag. Worker Protection Act (MSAWPA)
H-2A program
Farm lobbies see how it helps negate the nationwide farm labor crisis due to restrictive immigration policy
However, farmers are against proposals to create “path to citizenship” for immigrants currently living illegally in US
Farm lobby is worried once we legalize immigrants, they won’t want to work on farms anymore
Increasing wages would be required to attract workers + increase food costs or cut into profits
Farm lobby official position= mandatory farm labor
H-2A Protections
Receive the wage promised in your contract
Receive the housing provided by your employer at no charge to you
Receive 3 meals each day, or a place to prepare meals
Employer must reimburse you for transportation costs when you complete half the season
If you have been given H-2A visa to work in US, you must be paid for at least 75% of season, even if you don’t work entire season
Traditional Intensive Monoculture
Monoculture= single crop on large tract of land
Ploughing= homogenizing & breaking up top layer of soil prior to planting
High-input, energy-intensive, soil and biodiversity depleting
Requires high fertilizer inputs and pesticide use
Supports mechanization
Benefits= low labor, high-yield form of agriculture practice
Conservation Agriculture Practices
Polyculture= growing multiple crops on same plot of land
No-till (no ploughing): decreasing erosion & compaction, promotes soil formation, improves water retention, biodiversity increasing
Crop rotation: increase resistance against pests and disease, increase soil quality, can improve total yields per area by taking advantage of symbiotic relationships
Residue retention: increase in amount of water available to plants through increased infiltration, reduced runoff, and reduced evaporation
Regenerative ag
Soil is greatest asset- ?= can they maintain soil for productivity
Land Management Approach= notion of ‘success’ going beyond yield and farm size
Considers ag as a web rather than linear supply chain
Incorporations scientific principles of interactions, matter cycles, trophic levels, etc. to manage long-term sustainability
Takes into account ecosystem services, carbon sequestration, water recharge, evolutionary relationships
System of farming and grazing practices that increases biodiversity, enriches soils, improves watersheds, and enhances ecosystem services
Not one size fits all- constant monitoring, thinking in large, food-web scales, can we make this ecosystem work so every species gets what it needs
Economic Sustainability of Regenerative Agriculture
Can bring higher yields, but requires monitoring and willingness to use holistic approach
Lower costs in: machinery purchase and maintenance, fossil fuels, pesticides, herbicides, chemical fertilizer costs, antibiotic costs (for livestock)
Greater financial security from diversified revenue streams
Personal and regional economic benefits
Increased resiliency in face of climate change and severe weather
Social Sustainability of Regenerative Agriculture
Many regen. farmers have deep appreciation of social and historical contexts in which they operate
Acknowledge unjust policies that have shaped ag.
Provide on-farm staff w/ fair wages and seat at decision-making table
Facilitate local employment
Networks of growers who exchange information
Farmers/farmers markets build stronger relationships between consumers and their food- make people feel responsible for where food is coming from
Mental health benefits- many regen. farmers and ranchers report satisfaction in their profession
Physical health benefits- health of farmers, farmworkers, and downstream communities all benefit from reduced exposure to harmful chemicals
Environmental Sustainability of Regenerative Agriculture
Increased biodiversity- reduced need for pesticides and other chemical inputs
Support pollinators
Improvements in soil health- improves water retention, reduced soil erosion, greater carbon sequestration, better carbon cycling
Reduced chemical inputs and thus reduced water pollution
Increased resiliency- less damage from severe weather
Long term- increased yields
Basic Tenants of Regen. Ag.
Understand context w/ ecosystem approach, investing in externalities
Protect SOIL and soil microbiota- cover soil and maintain living roots year round
Practice crop diversity- invest in diversity
Reduced inputs
integrate livestock
Ecosystem Approach and Investing in Externalities
Ecosystem approach= utilize diversity of crops and livestock to mimic natural cycles
Invest in Ext:
Fight climate change- reduce carbon emissions and increase carbon sequestering practices
Promote and maintain biodiversity- species biodiversity increases beneficial interactions
Conservation buffers can act as windbreaks and habitat biodiversity
Protect water ways: riparian buffers minimize water pollution and mitigate flooding
Minimize soil disturbance and protect soil microbiota:
No-till farming= no plowing or limiting mechanical disturbance, crop residue remains on soil surface to decompose naturally
Long-term soil health improvement- increased organic matter and water holding compacity
Increased beneficial soil microbes
Better water quality b/c decreased sediment run off
Less carbon dioxide released from soil
Less soil erosion
Reduced consumption of fossil fuels
Soil Biota to Improve Yield, Drought, Pest Resistance, and N&C sequestration
AMF (arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi) provide plant w/ nutrients and water AND confer drought stress resistance and pest resistance
Rhizobium bacteria live in mutualistic relationship w/ many species of legumes
Nitrogen and carbon fixation via soil biota can reduce synthetic N fertilization, increase crop yield
Cover the soil & maintain living roots year-round
Cover cropping- maintain living roots= practice of planting crops in soil that would normally otherwise be bare after cash crop grown and harvested
Reduces soil erosion
Increase soil health
Increase water retention
Increase biodiversity
Weed control
Plant Root Engineering for CO2 Sequestration
Deeper roots matter to mitigate climate change- hold onto more soil, hold more water, decrease nutrient leaching, increase drought-resistance, increase carbon sequestration in soil
Practice/Invest in crop diversity
Crop rotation= planting different crops sequentially on same land plot- improves soil health, optimize nutrients in soil, combats insect pests and weed pressure
Intercropping= practicing growing two or more crops in proximity
Agroforestry= indigenous practice wherein growers mimix forest systems by integrating trees and shrubs into crop and animal systems
4 year crop rotation: legumes (add nitrogen) —> greens/brassicas (require ample nitrogen) —> fruiting veg (need ample phosphorous and some nitrogen) —> root veggies (light feeders, like more potassium and phosphorus than nitrogen)
Pesticides
Pesticides= any form of chemical control of unwanted biological agents- rodents, insects, weeds, pathogens (herbicide most common)
Global consumption increasing b/c up to 40% of global crop production lost to plant pests and diseases, insects alone cost at least $70 billion in crop losses annually
Pesticides drawbacks
Affects food chains
Unintended species affected
Do not stay in place of application
Resides run off, contaminating drinking warer
Residues left on food for consumption- adversely affecting human health —> 385 million cases of PESTICIDE POISONING occur worldwide every year
Increases global energy consumption
Increases carbon emissions
Cost and ineffectiveness of many pesticides causing search for alternatives
Monopolization of Pesticide Production
4 corporations from Global North control 70% of global market
They’re expanding business to Global South, where pesticides are less strictly regulated
Pesticides that aren’t permitted in Europe for ecological or health reasons are still produced here and exported to other countries
Other Approaches other than pesticides
Beneficial insects= natural enemies of pests and creating beneficial environments for them can help reduce the use of pesticides
Integrated Pest Management- IPM
Biopesticides
Regulation- In US, 3 agencies involved
EPA- sets allowable tolerances for residues
FDA- monitors tolerances on foods
USDA- monitors tolerances on meat, poultry, and eggs
Stockholm convention (2004)
Panned 9/12 most dangerous chemicals
178 countries and the EU- but NOT the US
US and EU export thousands of tons of pesticides/yr
Many have been banned
Developing nations now exposed to toxins
US/EU can import foods from these countries
EU working on global export bans
Integrated Livestock
Ecosystem approach includes having benefits of consumers and producers both present and participating in system
Goals= crop residue grazing, cover crop grazing, manure/compost inputs instead of synthetic fertilizer, soil aeration, increasing biodiversity
Presence of all trophic levels necessary for a healthy food system
Trophic Levels- how we lose energy
Monocultures and traditional ag focus on one specific level of trophic system to produce the most product
Producers- if the major product is a plant
Consumers (mostly herbivores)- if product is an animal pruct
This is why animal products are more costly environmentally
This focus on only one portion of pyramid can unbalance matter and element cycles
Grazing Techniques
Holistically managed grazing AKA intensive rotational grazing= mimics the interactions of large animals moving as herds across grasslands
Improves soil fertility by maintaining natural matter cycles —> nitrogen via excretion and manure inputs
Allow pasture grasses time to regrow between grazing periods —> increases carbon sequestration
Barriers to Regen Ag
Requires education and understanding of system
Obsession w/ animal products —> can’t make switch and produce same amounts of dairy and meat
Monetary- short-term investment costs, benefits take time to accumulate
Difficult to apply on large scales- must incentivize or force break up of large monocultures
Farmers tend to be older —> would have to recruit younger workforce
Circular Economy
Aims to eliminate waste by creating a closed-loop system mimicking natural regeneration
Global phosphorus supply and scarcity
Phosphorus= second most important of main 3 plant nutrients (first=nitrogen, third=potassium)- any bag of fertilizer has NPK % on side
US, Morocco, and China own 80% of Phosphorus
Rock phosphate—> you mine in big cave/hole in ground
Problem= supply problem
During 2008 housing crisis and petroleum/food price crisis due to bank loans —> phosphorus prices shot up —> China saw price of food go up and thought it should keep phosphorus to Chinese farmers
Unlike Nitrogen, phosphorus is finite —> non-renewable
After you eat it, ends up in bones
Options to combat scarcity
P-use efficiency: hard to coordinate- no global governing body, is it ok for developing countries to have to rely on rich countries using less resources?
Recycle P: sewer sludge in developed countries (likely runoff from ag. fields), microalgae to recover P from rice mill wastewater, recover naturally occurring P in animal bones***
Converting animal bones to p-fertilizer- why rural Ethiopia?
Largest collective herd of livestock in Africa
Calculations suggest annual bone supply in Ethiopia would offset 28-40% of annual P imports
Challenged by high fertilizer prices and food security concerns
No competing use for animal bones
Don’t have tech. to render bones into chicken feed
Circular economy —> take this waste for another good
Jimma, Ethiopia
Partnered w/ Jimma University
Focused on low-tech, locally available technologies whenever possible
Locally manufactured barrel-kiln to pyrolyze bones and remove risk of animal borne disease and concentrated P
Find bones
Locally constructed Pyrolysis chambers
Construction and firing the kiln
Bone char and fine grinding
Making pellets
Final product- withstood battery of post-production strength tests
Independent Lab Chemical Analysis —> ~30% phosphate in pellets
Conclusion
P-Fertilizer from animal bones= possible
Produced bone char fertilizer from bones in Jimma, Ethiopia
Bone char fertilizer is 31.5% phosphate vs. 46% for TSP (triple super phosphate imported)
Bone char fertilizer more bulky, but same nutrient content
Cost comparisons:
Using costs faced in field, and assumptions where necessary
Local TSP equivalent costs 16-39% less than imported TSP
DAP (Di-Ammonium Phosphate) equivalent costs 5-24% less than imported DAP
Acceptance:
Collecting raw inputs could be an entrepreneurial opportunity for the poor
Small WTP study- about 150 farmers outside of Jimma showed no price bid differences between imported P and locally sourced P
Top Grains
Corn (1207 million metric tons)
Wheat
Rice
Barley (beer)
Sorghum
Oats
Rye
Why corn most produced grain/cereal?
Subsidized
Easy to grow
Versatile
Natural History of Corn
Teosinte- comes from Nahuatl Indians, interpreted to mean “grain of gods”
Originally grass found in SW Mexico
Hard seed encasing, not easily edible to humans (need lots of processing)
Domesticated 7000-9000 years ago
Cultivated in Mexico and SW US for at least last 3000 years
Skepticism over Teosinte being precursor- plants very different
Tesosinte- many stalks, hard to digest, transported by animals’ excretion
Corn- one stalk, easy to digest, people expand global reach since maize just drops ear where it is
1970s- agronomy suggests only 5 genetic differences
1990s- genetic confirmation
Sweet corn vs. field corn
Sweet corn= what we eat
Almost all corn produced in US is field corn (yellow #2)
Taller, thicker, sturdier
Intended for livestock feed, processed foods
Commoditized: it must fit special conditions like specific moisture content, weight, density, etc.
Commoditization also means farmers grow it + only care about quantity, as there’s no premium for quality/service
With commodity, it becomes a race to least common denominator —> financial system set up to push farmers to grow as much as they can at lowest cost, w/out concern for much else
Sweet corn vs. field corn= differentiated good vs. commodity
Is there an incentive to grow more eco-friendly —> no —> only way to differentiate product is by weight —> produce greatest amount for least possible cost
Corn’s growth trajectory
In 1800s, corn mostly eaten by poor- cheap, prolific, consumed by farmers and prisoners
Industrial Rev:
Iron plow allowed MW farmers to sow deep into soil on much larger scales
Rise of trains/rail infrastructure allows corn to move beyond local markets
1920s-30s, scientists bred hybrid maize strains that could be grown closer together —> much more corn on same amount of land (today ~35,000 plants/acre)
1910s- Haber-Bosch process led to more commercial nitrogen fertilizers
Roughly 7x increase in yields in US over last 100 yrs
Mechanization (tractors) also led to increases in output
Borlaug said tractors saved him from life of farm labor
What do we do with all this corn?
38%- feed and residual for livestock
29%- ethanol (fuel)
16%- exports
9.7%- other (what we eat)
HFCS
Glucose and dextrose (sugars)
Starch
Cereal
Beverage & industrial alcohol
Seed
7%- Ethanol extraction leftovers goes into animal feed
Farm subsidies (helping corn industry grow)
Long history of US farm subsidies (mostly to corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, rice) —> dating back as far as 1862 w/ land grants for agricultural colleges —> in 1860s, US said we wanted to support ag. and funded 1 tax-free university per state in exchange for ag. service and sharing info w/ state farmers
5 states receiving most subsidies= Iowa, Texas, Illinois, Nebraska, Minnesota
Roughly $240.5 billion in subsidies distributed between 1995 and 2020
8 types of subsidies (Farm Bill)
Crop Insurance- largest subsidy, US gov’t pays roughly 62% of premiums of insurance ($8B/yr over last five years)
Compensated if crop fails
Problem w/ gov’t paying 62% —> since you’re guaranteed 62% of your crop, creates a moral hazard problem- if you know you’re covered, you have incentive to pull in land that may not be highest quality, but you don’t care b/c inexpensive insurance
Ag. Risk Coverage- guarantees farmers a certain revenue per acre ($3.7B in 2017)
Problem= have incentive to bring in land that shouldn’t be used for this, since you’re guaranteed specific revenue per acre
Price Loss Coverage- guarantee for specific crop prices ($3.2B in 2017)
Still compensated if demand drops and price must also drop
If huge supply, there is a guaranteed minimum price for you to sell at
Conservation Programs- pay farmers to improve lands or hold land out of production (up to $5B/yr)
Marketing Loans ($160M/yr)
Disaster Aid ($1.9B/yr)
Marketing and Export Promotion ($300M/yr)
Research and other support ($3B/yr to run USDA)
Why do other 45 states vote to pass this when 5 states w/ relatively low populations reap benefits
Omnibus Bill- mashes together kind of unrelated things into one bill (Farm Bill) that benefits all, so if you pass it, you’re benefiting even if other things are benefiting too
Clever Politics to Perpetuate farm subsidies
Farm Bill renewed every 5-6 yrs
5 states get 38.2% of total: Iowa, Texas, Illinois, Nebraska, Minnesota
SNAP and food stamps included as part of Farm Bill- politically, this means urban legislators WILL support it (first included in 1973, nutrition/SNAP estimated at 84% of budget)
Food aid for international relief programs, also called Food for Peace included- legislators interested in humanitarian aid will thus support the bill (first included in 1954)
Funding for conservation efforts also included- conservation-focused legislators will support (first included 1985)
Who benefits from subsidies
Subsidies redistribute wealth upwards- biggest companies get most of subsidies- recently found more than 60% of subsidies went to largest 10% of farms
Market distortions- farmers putting marginal land in production b/c insurance rates so heavily subsidized
Subsidies and trade-war
Early 2018- Trump slaps tariffs on steel and aluminum imports, angering China, who retaliate by slapping tariffs on 1000s of agricultural products like pork, soybeans, dairy, nuts
Trump admin. increases subsidies to “farmers”- but those benefitting are wealthy farms/people claiming to be farm manager, rather than actual farmers
Structural Transformation Process
Labor moves away from ag. and into cities/service industries
Strong inverse relationship —> the wealthier you get, the more you can trade labor for tech
Vertical Integration and Consolidation
Vertical Integration= combination in one company of two or more stages of production normally operated by separate companies (one company controls diff. stages along supply chain)
Private label products at grocery stores often vertically integrated —> meaning store owns every step from farm to retail sale of final good
Chains like Kroger, Albertson’s, Meijer vertically integrate dairy supply chain- milk, cheese, butter, ice cream commonly sold under private label brands
How does Costco make rotisserie chickens so inexpensive? vertically integrate ($400M investment in poultry production facility in Nebraska in 2019, own everything from hatchery to processing)
Consolidation= merger and acquisition of many smaller companies into a few much larger ones
Farm size- large farms are consolidating cropland across the country
Meat production- 4 largest corporations now produce 85% beef, 65% pork, 51% poultry (risk of oligopoly)
Seeds and pesticides
Farm machinery
Pros vs. Cons
Benefits=
cheaper for consumer
more consistent quality
Negatives=
monopolization makes it hard for small farms to stay open
marketers misleadingly make products look like they’re from family farms
small farmers must pay monopoly prices for seed, fertilizers, feed
“big 4” companies not necessarily in every state/area
meaning it could be one company holding all power
Right to repair- all tractor companies have est. that farmer not allowed to try to fix tractor themselves
Larger entities getting largest share of subsidies
Food/Beverage: Nestle, PepsiCo, Anheuser Busch, Coca-Cola, Mondelez International, Archer-Daniels, Diagero, Kweichow, Tyson Foods, Danone, Cargill would be in top 100 if privately help companies included
Machinery companies: John Deere, Caterpillar
Chemical/fertilizer/seed: Bayer, BASF, Monsanto
Health impacts- why does salad cost more than Big Mac
Embedded subsidies make market get prices wrong
If we have a bunch of corn, we use it- ethanol for cars, food for animals (cows eat grass naturally, not corn), sweetener (HFCS= cheapest way to sweeten something), packaged foods/starch
Meats made less expensive than should be —> would be good if we were not eating more than recommended amounts
If overconsumption of red meat is bad for our health, does this put undue strain on health system? Implications if our tax dollars go into this system?
Fast food hamburger meat is chemically 93% corn (C13 isotope)
Describe yellow corn #2 in terms of tech. treadmill
Producer of a commodity can only compete on quantity
Incentivized to produce MORE
Must adopt new technologies to keep income stable
High supply benefits consumers due to resulting cheap prices
Farm Bill Debate 23/24/25 and Beyond
2018- Farm Bill signed into law in Dec., w/ expiration date of Sep 30, 2023 —> needs renewal for another 5 yr cycle
On Nov 16, 2023, Congress passed and Biden signed one yr extension of 2018 bill until Sep 30 2024
Neither party wanted to deal w/ it in election year, so it’s now expired again
Temporary extension signed again by Biden in one of last acts as President (dec 2024), so technically extended until Sep 2026, BUT current administration fighting to not fund SNAP
Palm Oil- the plant
Pericarp= where palm oil is extracted
Endosperm= where palm kernel oil is extracted
Fruit- produced in bunches
Tree life span= 25-30 years
Fruit surrounds kernel, which is enclosed in very hard shell —> both flesh fruit and nut have high amounts of oil and are extracted and processed separately
Palm Oil: 17-27% extraction rate, unrefined is reddish in color due to high beta-carotene, approx. 49% saturated fat content
Pal Kernel Oil: 4-10% extraction rate, does not contain beta carotene, approx 81% saturated fats
Refining palm oil & palm kernel oil
RBD —> refining, bleached, & deodorized —> removes beta-carotenoids, often increased saturated fat levels
Must be processed w/in 2 days, or fruit will go rancid —> must be able to do an initial process in this time frame
Global movement of oil palm plant
Originated in W. Africa- early palm oil used as far back as 5000 years ago, widely as cooking oil, highly sought after as lubricant during Britain’s Industrial Rev, in 1870s, became primary export in W Africa
Started as ornamental in Indonesia and Malaysia
Malaysia started palm oil as secondary crop to rubber in 1960s
Late 1980s- early 1990s- shift in palm oil demands —> palm oil became global juggernaut
Today, SE Asia= main supplier of palm oil- producing 85% of world’s palm oil —> palm oil produced all over world
Global Palm Oil Production
~43 countries produce —> top 2= Indonesia (59%), Malaysia (25%), followed by Thailand in 3rd w/ 3%
Production: In 1970, 2 million tons; in 2022, 79 million tons —> expected to increase
Uses (versatile product):
Foods: over 2/3 (68%) used in foods ranging from margarine to chocolate, pizzas, breads, cooking oils —> 50% processed/packaged foods contain palm oil
Industrial applications: 27% used in industrial applications and consumer products such as soaps, detergents, cosmetics, cleaning agents
Bioenergy: 5% used as biofuels for transport, electricity, or heat
Palm Oil and Environmental Sustainability- Ecosystem Biodiversity Loss
Only grows in tropical regions/rainforests —> increasing demands —> expanding production —> MASSIVE DEFORESTATION
Leading crop for deforestation in Southern Asia
Contributor to climate change
Conversion of peat lands to agriculture releases massive amounts of CO2
Peat= result of years and years of organic matter being pushed down and condensed underground, transition stage before organic matter becomes petroleum
Burning peat lands undoes one of nature’s ca
Palm Oil and species biodiversity loss
Species diversity is NOT equally distributed globally —> hot spots= areas w/ higher proportion of globe’s diversity than would be expected for its size
1.5% of terrestrial surface, greater than 40% of all species
Endemic species= species that only live in one area
Contain high numbers of threatened and endangered species
Produce large portions of world’s oxygen (20% from Amazon alone)
Rainforests are hot spots —> also are habitat for palm oil
2/3 of all species live in rainforests
80% of all insects
Deforestation rates of 2000 trees/minute
Estimates loss of 137 plant/animal species everyday due to rainforest deforestation- many of which wre never identified
Two horned/Sumatra Rhino —> only about 80 left b/c pushed out of palm oil habitat
Last orangutans- Borneo= only known habitat for orangutans, over 50,000 orangutan deaths directly attributed to palm oil production, will be extinct in 10 yrs if deforestation for palm oil continues (loss of habitat- burning/transformation to palm oil, malnutrition, poaching/killing)
Palm Oil and genetic biodiversity loss
Palm oil= monoculture w/ little genetic diversity
Little known about this factor in env. sus. of palm oil BUT for other species: vast reduction in species populations has reduce genetic diversity of species, making conservation efforts difficult
Externalities- Palm Oil + Climate Change
Burning of peat lands & rainforests releases massive amounts of sequestered carbon into atmosphere
Peat lands= only terrestrial systems that store more carbon than they source
Burning of peatlands amounts to 2.5 times the carbon emissions of burning rainforests
Peatlands cover approx. 3% of earth’s landmass, but hold around 25% of global carbon stock
Worldwide peatlands hold about twice as much carbon as world’s forests
Burning creates horrible public health problems