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Beneficial Illusions
Provide comfort but may be false (e.g., religion, placebo).
Dark Side
Homeopathy, anti-vaccination → real harm; illusions can spread.
Impact on World – War & Conflict
Overconfidence increases risk (Hitler, Bush examples).
Financial Crises
Overconfidence, hyperactive pattern detection, chance blindness.
Religion
Promotes ingroup cooperation but fuels conflict; slows moral progress.
Moral Progress
Result of critical rational reflection → expanding moral circle, questioning harmful intuitions.
Ancient Greece
Rational thinking
Middle Ages
Dogmatic thinking; Renaissance & Enlightenment
Today’s Challenges
Nuclear weapons, climate change, economic interdependence