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Success in a campaign needs
Money, Momentum, and Media
Delegate
Voting representative at the convention. The goal of the nomination is to win:
1) State primary delegates
2) State caucus delegates
3) Superdelegates
Superdelegates
Awarded convention seats based on political position - has more power, stops division and ties
Caucus
A meeting of local party members to choose party officials or candidates for public office and to decide the platform- RURAL STATES, roughly a dozen, first is Iowa
ADVANTAGE:
More informed voter
DISADVANTAGE:
Less participation
Why elect delegates?
Power + Control- easier to control thousands over millions
Caucus goes from
Precinct -> Country -> Congressional District -> State Convention
Primary
Elections voters choose nominee/delegates pledged to nominees
NH first
Frontloading
Tendency of states to hold primaries early, each state wants to be earlier bc of media
McGovern-Fraser Commission
Wrote new rules to change Democratic Party conventions more representative and open
Iowa
Leans rural, white, conservative- first caucus
NH
Leans rural, white, liberal- first primary
Convention send off
1. No longer dramatic, winner known
2. Massive send-off
3. Organization & motivation
4. Party platform & announce VP
5. Official nominations & speeches
6. 1-keynote speaker, 2-platform, 3-nominate, 4-speeches
Historical Developments
Self announce colonial
Caucus (closed) 1800~1824 A. Jackson
Convention 1824~1896
Primaries 1896-present
1900-1950 campaigns
Campaign train, candidate and entourage, whistle stop, voters travel to see
Direct mail
A method of raising money for a political cause or candidate, in which information and requests for money are sent to people whose names appear on lists of those who have supported similar views or candidates in the past.
Advertising budget
50-60% control, 6 policy issue ads vs. 1 personal image ad
"Free Coverage"
little/no control cover: campaign strategy, speculation polls, events, size of crowds, mistakes-very little policy
Organize Campaign-Management Positions
1. Campaign Manager
2. Fundraiser
3. Attorney/counsel for election law
4. media consultant
5. logistics- travel/advance planning
6. policy research-academics
7. poll consultant-pollster
8 press secretary
9. hire general staff
Campaign Finance Laws
1970's-> 1)openness (disclosure) 2) limitations (on money)
1974 FECA Federal Elections Campaign Act
1. Disclosure-create FEC (Federal Elections Commission) -create PACs (Political Action Committee)
2. Public finance/limit spending-presidential primaries-$5,000-20 states-$250 matched. If accept fed, $ then spend. limited to 57 million in primary. known as matching funds
3. general election-85 million
4. individual-$1,000
5. Created a presidential campaign fund-to pay
$3 voluntary check off box on tax return
1976 Buckley v. Valeo
no limit on spending on your own campaign
1979 Amendment to 1974 FECA
No limit on soft money party building or generic party ads
Soft money
Funds obtained by political parties that are spent on party activities, such as get-out-the-vote drives, but not on behalf of a specific candidate, finds a way around the law
2002 McCain Feingold Bipartisan Campaign Reform Act
Limits rise with inflation
individual- 2000
Corporations/unions/nonprofit- 5000
Bonus Soft money
No issue ads: 30 days prim/60 days gen
2010 Citizens United v. FEC
Overturns ban on issue ads before elections
Less restricted groups/loopholes
1. 527 groups-tax designation-no limits-non profit-ex. Swift Boat Vets
2. 501 (c) groups-unlimited-not specific do not reveal donors!
PAC
Political Action Committee
The money arm of an interest group
Super PACs
Independent expenditure-only PACs are known as Super PACs because they may accept donations of any size and can endorse candidates. Their contributions and expenditures must be periodically reported to the FEC.
Weaken campaigns impact
selective perception, party ID, incumbency
Primaries (type of election)
Pick party nominees, Indirect Presidential primaries- chose only delegates to go, direct primaries- states, nominees chosen directly by people
General Elections
Select office holders
Direct Election on Issues
Pure Democracy
Referendum
People voting to reject or accept a law
State voters approve/disapprove state act or amendment
Initiative Petition
citizens proposing legislation (usually by gaining signatures on a proposed law)
Famous EX of Initiative Petition
Proposition 13 - CA - 1978 limit on rise in property taxes in CA
1800- Jefferson (DR)- Adams (F) - Burr (DR)
Peaceful transition- party to party
T. Jefferson (DR) and A. Burr (DR) tie
House of Reps breaks tie
Result- 12th amendment, separate ballots (VP +P separate)
Jefferson- 73
Burr - 73
Adams - 65
1896- W. McKinley (R)- W. J. Bryan (D)
Bryan- unlimited coinage silver- miners/Populist
McKinley - Gold stand - bankers
Bryan broke tradition- first campaigned, approx. 600 speeches
Nearly 80% turnout
McKinley wins w 50%
1992 - Clinton (D) - Bush (R) - Perot (I)
Bush - Gulf War, "No new taxes"
Domestic- bad economy
Negative camp.
Bush- worst incumbent 80 yr
Perot- Businessman- balanced budget- best 3rd party- 80 yrs
Clinton (D) - 370- 43%
Bush (R)- 168- 38%
Perot (I) - 0- 19%
2000- G. W. Bush (R) - Al Gore (D)
Hanging & Dimpled chads; butterfly ballots
FL Supr. Court - Gore
Bush v. Gore - US Supr - Bush let the count stand
Popular Vote- Gore
Electoral Vote - Bush
Nader - Green
Political efficacy
The belief that one's political participation really matters - that one's vote can actually make a difference
Civic duty
A belief that one has an obligation to participate in civic and political affairs
Motor Voter Act
A 1993 act that requires states to permit people to register to vote when they apply for a driver's license.
Who votes
older, educated, employed, high income, white
Mandate theory of elections
winner mandate from people
Basing our voting decision
Party ID
Personality -- leadership
Appearance
Policy voting on issues
Retrospective voting - feel better vote for same, feel worse vote for different
Reasons for electoral college
Elites did not trust masses
Electoral college + 3/5 Compromise allows South to catch up with North
Popular v Electoral vote
Total 538, needs 270
No majority: Pres- house, VP- senate
Winners of electoral college
Adams, Hayes, Harrison, Bush, Trump
Criticisms of Electoral College
Winner take all, Concentrate on big states/swing states, electors not bound, favors republicans