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statistic
number that describes some characteristic of a SAMPLE
x̄ = sample mean
p̂ = sample proportion
sx = sample standard deviation
parameter
the TRUE number that describes some characteristic of the population
μ = population mean
p = population proportion
σ = population standard deviation
indicate with TRUE or REAL, if you are certain it is the parameter
p̂ or p-hat
number of successes/total sample = x/n
can sub into the binomal eqns —> μx = np & σ = (npq)1/2
μp̂ = mean of sample proportion
p, or the population proportion
σp̂ = SD of sample proportion
(pq/n)1/2
p = probability success
q = probability failure
n = number of trials
MUST SATISFY THE 10% CONDITION
unlikely or unusual
less than 5%, typically provides convincing evidence against claims
bias in describing samples
where the sample statistics are located
how accurate
high bias = centered around population parameter
low bias = centered around different value
variablity in describing samples
how far the sample statistics are located
how precise
high variability = lots of scatter
low variability = very little scatter
reduce by increasing sample size
sampling variability/error
different random samples of same size from same population may produce different values for a statistic
random chances
sampling distribution
distribution of values taken by the statistics in all possible samples of the same size from the population
multiple samples combined into one
sampling distribution of the sample proportion
the distribution of values taken by the sample proportion in all possible samples of the same size from the same population
individual samples’ proportion value combined into a larger data set
shape of a proportion sampling distribution
three possibilities: skewed to left, skewed to right, and symmetric
n = small, p close to 0 —> skewed to right
n = small, p close to 1 —> skewed to left
n = large, p does not matter —> approximately normal
can be determined with Large Counts Condition (np ≥ 10, nq ≥ 10)
n = doesnt matter, p = 0.5 —> normal
center of a proportion sampling distribution
mean of all sample proportions, essentially the population proportion
variability of a proportion sampling distribution
standard deviation of sample proportions, can calculate
requires the 10% condition
assumptions of sample proportions problems
random (SRS or stated)
Independence; 10% Condition (n < 10%N)
Large Counts (for normal); np ≥ 10 & nq ≥ 10
requirements for describing SD/mean of sampling distributions
On average
indicator of type of sampling distribution ex: proportion, mean
variable differs from the mean by about SD
sampling size
more extreme with probabilities
more extreme depends on the context of the value
z-score is on the left (negative side) —> more extreme is from negative infinity to the z-score
z-score is on the right (positive side) —> more extreme is from z-score to positive infinity
sampling distribution of the sample mean
describes the distribution of values taken by the sample mean in all possible samples of the same size from the same population
μx̄ or mean of sampling mean
μ, or the population’s true mean
σx̄ = SD of sample mean
σ/(n)1/2
must satisfy the 10% condition, n ≤ 10%N
normal distributions of sample means
if population distribution is normal, then the sampling distribution is too
if the population distribution is not stated to be normal, use the central limit theorem to create normality
Central Limit Theorem (CLT)
when n is large, the sampling distribution of the sample mean is approximately normal
n ≤ 30, in most cases
assumptions of sample mean problems
random (SRS or stated)
Independence; 10% condition
approximately normal (stated or n ≤ 30 by CLT)
how to adjust the mean/SD to fit a proportion
use inverse norm on the intended proportion
plug the z-score back into the equation
fill in all other variables, leaving the mean/SD blank (depending on what solving for)
complete!