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Natural hazard
Natural event with potential to cause harm
Natural disaster
Natural event that actually causes harm
Risk
The likelihood of a hazard occurring combined with the potential severity of its impacts
Risk equation
Hazard frequency x vulnerability to a hazard
Vulnerability
Susceptibility of a population to impacts of a hazard
Mitigation
Addresses hazard causes
Hazard adaptation
Long term adjustments to reduce vulnerability to hazards
Factors determining hazard perception
Socio-economic status, education, employment, religion/culture, past experience
Hazard perception
Key factor influencing vulnerability, how a population perceives the threat posed by a hazard
Fatalism (hazard perception)
Acceptance of hazard, no action taken
Adaptation (hazard perception)
Significant action taken, prediction, protection, preparation
Fear (hazard perception)
Leaving the area in fear of a natural hazard
Risk sharing
Distributing the physical/economic burden of a hazard across many parties through insurance, education etc. to reduce individual vulnerability
Integrated risk management
Human response to hazard risk through analysis of interconnected social, economic, and political factors to reduce vulnerability
Hazard management cycle
Illustrates the ongoing process of all levels of society planning for and reducing the impacts of a disaster before, during, and after an event
Hazard management cycle leads to
Reduced vulnerability, better preparedness and warnings
Hazard management cycle main goal
Promotion of sustainable livelihoods and protection and recovery during natural disasters
Hazard management cycle benefits
Reduces vulnerability, promotes a shift from reactive to proactive hazard response, versatile - can be applied to many hazards, promotes community education and resilience, causes continuous improvement through evaluation of past performance
Hazard management cost effectiveness (benefit)
Studies show that money saved from future damages far exceeds money spent on resilience in relation to hazard management cycle
Hazard management limitations
Model heavily favours HICs which can afford all mitigation methods without considering LICs which lack resources and wealth to mitigate with, does not provide specific, realistic timeframes for recovery, implementation can receive public resistance and ignored warnings, argued to be too vague
Park model
Designed to show that hazard events have varying impacts over time in terms of quality of life
Park model benefits
Provides clear graphical representation of how quickly an area deteriorates and recovers to specific events, useful for comparing effectiveness of disaster responses, highlights when specific management strategies should be implemented in the response
Park model limitations
Lacks quantitative data such as death tolls, damage costs, specific magnitude of event, ignores preparation stage (adaptation and mitigation), assumes a linear/straightforward recovery - ignores potential aftershocks etc., provides little guidance to how governments and authorities should manage the disaster response
Core
Made up of solid inner section and molten outer section (5000+C)
Mantle
Thickest layer of Earth’s structure, made up of semi molten and molten rock
Crust
Outermost layer made of either thicker, older continental crust, or thinner, denser, younger oceanic crust
Plate tectonic theory
The lithosphere is able to slide over the asthenosphere allowing for plate movement which is driven by forces that are not yet fully understood
Evidence of plate tectonic theory
Similar glacial/fossil deposits found in different continents across the world
Continental drift theory
The theory that Earth’s continents were once joined into one single supercontinent (Pangaea) and have since drifted apart over geological time due to the plate tectonic theory
Lithosphere
Crust and rigid uppermost layer of mantle - roughly 100km deep - divided into today’s tectonic plates
Convection currents
Cells of heat transfer caused by uneven distribution of temperatures in the mantle that play a supporting role in tectonic plate movement
Ridge push (gravitational sliding)
The sliding away from a constructive boundary ridge caused by gravity of condensed, less young crust
Slab pull
The effect of a subducting oceanic plate pulling exerting a force of slab pull on the rest of the plate
Sea floor spreading
The process where tectonic plates diverge at mid-ocean ridges, allowing magma to rise, cool, and form new oceanic crust
Constructive (divergent) plate boundaries
Where rift valleys and mid ocean ridges are formed as new lithosphere is created as plates move apart
Rift valley
Linear shaped lowland regions formed by tectonic plate divergence where the continental lithosphere stretches, fractures, and sinks between parallel normal faults
Example of rift valley
Great Rift Valley of East Africa
Destructive (convergent) plate boundaries
Where subduction takes place, nature of the boundary depends on the types of tectonic plates involved
Destructive
Plate boundary associated with the most powerful earthquakes
Oceanic and continental plate destructive margin
Where subduction, young fold mountains, and deep sea trenches occur
Subduction
When the denser oceanic crust is forced under the lighter oceanic or continental crust and sinks into the mantle at destructive margins
Young fold mountains
Formed by either sediment accumulating at the edge of the continental plate in a subduction zone and being deformed by folding and faulting and uplifted to form mountains often with active volcanoes, or by sediment being forced up at a destructive margin between 2 continental crusts causing no volcanic activity but shallow focus earthquakes
Andes
Example of young fold mountains
Deep sea trenches
Long, narrow V shaped depressions in the sea floor formed in the subduction zone
Oceanic and oceanic plate destructive margin
Where island arcs and deep sea trenches are formed
Island arcs
Chains of volcanic islands formed by magma upwelling from the Benioff Zone
Continental and continental plate destructive margin (collision boundary)
Where young fold mountains occur. No subduction takes place
Magma plumes
A theory suggesting that localised heating at the core/mantle boundary causes a plume of magma to rise through the mantle and eat into the plate above forming a hotspot where lave breaks through the surface forming active volcanoes forming chains of volcanic islands as the crust above slowly moves
Effusive volcano
Produce gentle, frequent eruptions of low viscosity basaltic lava, common at constructive boundaries and hotspots, typically form shield volcanoes
Distribution of volcanoes
Typically formed at destructive and constructive plate boundaries as well as hotspots such as Hawaii
Explosive volcano
Produce violent, infrequent eruptions of high viscosity andesitic lava and high gas content, common at destructive boundaries, typically form stratovolcanoes
Nature of lava and its viscosity
Main factor in determining the type of volcano and volcanic activity
Tephra
Solid material of varying sizes from ash to volcanic bombs that are ejected into the atmosphere
Less viscous lava
Tends to cause less intense, more frequent eruptions as less gas is able to build up - often forms shield volcanoes with gentle slopes
More viscous lava
Tends to cause more intense, less frequent, but more widespreading eruptions, as huge amounts of gas and hence pressure is able to build up
Pyroclastic flows (nuees ardantes)
Extremely hot (800+C) gas charged, high velocity flows made up of a mixture of gas and tephra that usually hug the sides of volcanoes at up to 700kmh
Lava flows
Virtually unstoppable low velocity flows of lava that rarely injure people due to its speed but severely damage anything in its path unless diverted
Volcanic gases
CO2, carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide etc.
Lahars (volcanic mudflows)
When unconsolidated ash combines with water and sweeps down river valleys as a hot, dense, fast moving mudflow which is generally caused by heavy rain post eruption - secondary effect of volcanic eruptions
Volcanic flooding
Secondary effect of volcanic eruptions when the eruption causes melting of glaciers/ice caps
Volcanic landslides
Secondary effect of an eruption where great momentum carries huge amounts of rock and soil often across valleys and up slopes
Acid rain
Secondary effect of volcanic eruptions where sulphur emitted combines with atmospheric moisture
Volcanic climate change
Rare secondary effect of the most extreme volcanic eruptions where huge amounts of ash released into the atmosphere block out sunlight and reduce global temperatures - believed to have caused historical climate change
Signs that a volcanic eruption may be imminent
Increased release of various gases, upwards bulging of surrounding land due to pressure from below, increased number of small earthquakes caused by rising magma, rise in the level of lava lakes in volcanic craters
Volcanic hazard mitigation
Risk assessments (before), diverting viscous lava (during)
Earthquakes
A build up of stress between masses of rock that is suddenly released causing a shaking motion
Focus
The specific point in the ground below the epicentre where earthquake pressure is released from
Shallow focus
Causes most dangerous and destructive earthquakes - between 0-70km deep
Moment Magnitude Scale (MMS)
Measures the size of an earthquake in terms of energy released in a logarithmic scale
Human activity
Potential emerging cause of some minor earthquakes caused by building large structures such as reservoirs or mining
Mercalli scale
Measures the intensity of an earthquake event and its impact (I-XII)
Most dangerous and deadly impacts of earthquakes
Primary and secondary factors such as roof collapse, tsunamis and landslides rather than the ground shaking/earthquake itself
Soil liquefaction
When soils with high water content lose their mechanical strength after ground shaking and start to behave like a fluid, can lead to mudflows and sinking of buildings/infrastructure - secondary effect of earthquakes
Pacific Basin
Where around 90% of tsunamis are generated, typically at destructive plate boundaries where subduction occurs, disrupting the sea bed
Preparedness for an earthquake
Storing items at a low level, establishing emergency plans, ensuring buildings are structurally sound, specialised earthquake insurance
Seismic hazards mitigation
Early warning systems before shockwaves radiate out from the focus, earthquake resistant buildings, tsunami protection
Earthquake resistant buildings
Achieved through rubber shock absorbers on foundations, adding cross bracing to buildings, retrofitting, or putting a large concrete weight on top to counteract stress using computer assistance
Tsunami protection
Pressure sensors attached to buoys which can give early warnings of intensity and direction of tsunamis, prevention walls of up to 12m high have been proven ineffective against severe tsunamis that smash through them
Adaptation to seismic hazards
Land use/planning regulations in areas most at risk, putting key buildings such as hospitals in low risk open spaces, including open spaces in design plans to escape from falling debris, emergency services equipped with heavy loading gear and first responder trained for trapped individuals
Where tropical storms are formed
5-20 degrees north or south of the Equator over seas of 27C+ and 70m+ deep where the coriolis force can act on converging winds to create accelerating air spirals around a depression of low pressure
Westwards
The direction that tropical storms tend to travel in the vast majority of the time due to prevailing winds
Saffir Simpson scale
The scale measuring the category of tropical storms based purely on wind speed (suggested to be changed as 90% of USA tropical storm deaths in recent years were not the result of wind, instead water - storm surges, flooding etc.)
Impacts of climate change on tropical storms
Causing them to decrease in overall frequency but significantly increase the frequency of the most intense events due to increased ocean temperatures, causing them to last longer on average, causing them to move slower on average due to warming of polar areas decreasing the difference in pressure and hence reducing wind speeds that carry tropical storms - causing storms to drop more rainfall as they move away slower
Preparedness for tropical storms
Prediction is increasingly sophisticated and accurate allowing for evacuations, drills are practised and education is improving, evacuation/response plans are made
Adaptation for tropical storms
Increasingly important due to increased frequency of extreme events due to climate change: Land use/planning restrictions in vulnerable areas, building sea walls, breakwaters, and flood barriers to weaken impacts of storm surges, retrofitting structures to become more wind resistant
21,400
Amount of tropical storm related deaths recorded in the 2010s after it was over 200,000 in the 1990s (most of the reduction has taken place in LICs)
Mediterranean climate
The type of climate that the most susceptible areas to wildfires possess: Winter rainfall which encourages vegetation growth (fuel), and hot, dry summers with occasional lightning storms that can result in a fire hazard (e.g. California, SE Au, Southern EU)
Natural benefits of fires
Can clear vegetation, aid new seed germination, stimulate the growth of certain plants, and rid an area of insects/parasites
Pyrophytic vegetation
Plant species that have evolved to tolerate or in some cases depend on wildfires to reproduce due to adaptations such as fire resistant bark
Primary effects of volcanic hazards
Tephra, pyroclastic flows, lava flows, volcanic gases
Secondary effects of volcanic hazards
Lahars, flooding (melting of glaciers/ice caps), volcanic landslides, tsunamis, acid rain, climate change (large amounts of ash released into atmosphere can lower temperatures by blocking the sun - believed to have caused past climate change)
Primary effects of seismic hazards
Ground shaking caused by shock waves radiating out from focus, ground rupture - visible breaking/displacement of Earth’s surface (poses major risk to large man-made structures such as dams, bridges, and nuclear power stations)
Secondary effects of seismic hazards
Soil liquefaction, Landslides/avalanches, fires (caused by broken gas pipes or collapsed electricity systems), tsunamis
Primary effects of tropical storms
Wind causing structural damage and carrying debris in the air dangerously, heavy rainfall, storm surgesS
Secondary effects of tropical storms
Contamination of soil in agricultural areas (can take a long time to recover from), landslides after heavy rainfall, contaminated water supply
Primary effects of wildfires
Loss of crops/timber/livestock, loss of life (generally avoided unless fire moves unusually fast causing people to be trapped), loss of property, release of toxic gases and particulates, loss of wildlife, damage to soil structure and nutrient content
Secondary effects of wildfires
Evacuation (people are often not allowed back into damaged areas for a long time), increased flood risk due to loss of vegetation and hence interception of rainfall, large amounts of carbon emissions exacerbating climate change
Hazard nature
The physical characteristics of a hazard including its causes and processes
Hazard incidence
The number of hazard events occurring in a given area over a specific period of time
Hazard resilience
The ability of people or systems to absorb, recover from, and adapt to hazard impacts