Statistics Chapter 4

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15 Terms

1
mutually exclusive
  • Will NOT happen at the same time

    • ex. “hot or cold?”

  • could be dependent (A could affect if B happens or not)

  • P[A] + P[B]= Probability of A OR B

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2
not mutually exclusive
  • some data overlap

    • ex. “rainy or sunny (or both)?”

  • P[A] + P[B]- P[A and B overlap]= Probability of A OR B

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3
dependent
  • Influences the other (“Conditional Probability”)

    • ex. outside temperatures→ public pool attendance

  • P[A] × P[B|A]= Probability of A AND B

    • "Probability of B given that A occured”

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4
independent
  • A occurring/not occurring does not change the probability of B

    • ex. outside temperatures → money spent on school supplies

  • P[A] × P[B]= Probability of A AND B

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5
Permutation Rule
  • Order IS important!

  • nPr=n!/(n-r)!

    • n= number of objects

    • r= number of spots

  • “how many ways can x objects be organized by size?”

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6
Combination Rule
  • Order IS NOT important!

  • nCr=n!/(n-r)! × r!

    • n= number of objects

    • r= number of spots

  • “how many ways can this office with y spots be filled by x people?”

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7
3 Types of Probability
  • Theoretical/Classical

    • equally likely events

    • what should happen give past data/knowledge

  • Experimental/Empirical

    • what does happen

    • current data/knowledge

  • Subjective

    • opinion

    • unimportant to Mr. Cutler

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8
3 (1/2) Rules of Probability
  1. The probability of an event is going to be 0-1 ALWAYS

  2. Sum of every event’s probability must add up to 1

  3. The probability of an event NOT occurring is 1-P(event)

    3 1/2. Round everything to three or four decimal places. 0 ≠ 0.0000.

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9
complement
* The probability of an event NOT occurring. The opposite.
* “The complement to all spots being filled by x is having **at least one spot** being filled by y.”
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10
probability
the chance of an event occurring
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11
probability experiment
the process in which events occur
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12
outcome
result of a single trial of a probability experiment
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13
sample space
all possible outcomes of an experiment
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14
equally likely events
every sample space outcome has the same probability
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15
Law of Large Numbers
If a probability experiment is performed a lot, you should theoretically get the same answers for the empirical and the classical hypotheses

* The “should be” = “has been”
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