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Separation of Exposure Units
Dividing assets or operations into multiple parts so that a single loss event doesn't affect everything; limits maximum possible loss from one occurrence.
Example of Separation
Having two delivery trucks instead of one—if one breaks down, the other continues service; reduces total risk exposure.
Purpose of Separation
To reduce the overall variability of losses and lower the coefficient of variation (COV), which measures true risk.
Downside of Separation
Increases costs (extra trucks, insurance, staff, etc.); must balance cost of added safety versus reduction in risk.
Expected Loss vs. Risk
Expected loss may stay the same, but risk (measured by variation) can be reduced through separation.
Duplication of Exposure Units
Creating a copy of an important asset and holding it in reserve (not in use) to protect against total loss.
Examples of Duplication
Backup data to cloud, spare key at home, duplicate business records—cheap and effective for low-cost items.
Key Feature of Duplication
The duplicate is not exposed to the same risks as the original; it's held in reserve for emergencies.
Limitation of Duplication
Works best for inexpensive items; not practical for expensive assets like vehicles or machinery.
Risk Transfer (of Control Type)
Shifting the responsibility and risk of an asset or activity to another party, often through sale or outsourcing.
Example of Risk Transfer
Selling a rental property—after the sale, the new owner assumes all risks related to tenants or maintenance.
Effect of Risk Transfer
The original owner is no longer exposed to risk unless fraud or misrepresentation occurred.
"Buyer Beware" in Risk Transfer
The new owner must assess potential risks before purchasing; once transferred, the risk is theirs.
Coefficient of Variation (COV)
A mathematical measure of risk that compares variability to expected loss; lower COV means lower risk.
Risk Management as Art and Science
Combines mathematical analysis (science) with judgment about cost versus benefit (art).
Trade-Off in Risk Control
Reducing risk typically increases cost—decisions must balance safety and expense.
When to Use Separation
When the organization can afford redundancy to prevent large losses from a single event.
When to Use Duplication
When it's inexpensive to make copies or backups of critical information or assets.
When to Use Risk Transfer
When retaining the risk is too costly or risky, and it can be shifted to someone better able to handle it.
Expected Loss (EL)
The average or predicted loss value, calculated as the sum of all possible losses multiplied by their probabilities. Formula: EL = Σ (Probability × Loss Amount).
Example of Expected Loss Calculation
A $1,000 laptop with a 10% theft chance → EL = (0.9 × 0) + (0.1 × 1,000) = $100 expected loss.
Risk vs. Expected Loss
Expected loss measures the average outcome; risk measures how uncertain outcomes are around that average.
Coefficient of Variation (COV) Math
A measure of relative risk; shows how variable outcomes are compared to the mean. Formula: COV = Standard Deviation ÷ Expected Value.
Interpreting COV
A lower COV means lower relative risk and more predictability; a higher COV means more uncertainty and higher risk.
Laptop Example - One vs. Two
1 Laptop → COV = 3.00 (higher variation, more risk); 2 Laptops → COV = 2.12 (lower variation, less risk); Risk is reduced even though expected loss stays the same.
Key Math Takeaway
Risk reduction strategies like separation and duplication don't always change the expected loss, but they decrease variability, which reduces overall risk exposure.