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Black Utility Heuristic
Black voters make political decisions by asking “is this good for the Black community?”
Being rich does not protect you from racism
Ex: police brutality
Social Sanctioning
Alternative: even if Black voters want to be republican, they may worry about what other Black people will think
All identities come with expectations about how to behave, and breaking those expectations can have consequences
Racialized policies
Are government programs that are framed as primarily benefitting some racial and ethnic groups while harming others
Welfare–become very racialized because many politicians have been complicit in framing welfare→ implicitly understood as something that helps black people
Affirmative action
Admissions process, providing people of color with an extra advantage in admissions→ illegal now
Symbolic racism
argument says that white Americans oppose these policies because they are prejudiced against African Americans (even if they won’t admit it)
Principled conservatism
argument says that white Americans oppose these policies because they believe in equity and fairness
Expressive responding
Sincere beliefs: republican voters may actually believe the election was stolen
even if they dont believe it, republicans may say the election was stolen to express support for trump
When people knowingly express false beliefs to express support for their political side
Graham and yair find evidence that belief in the big lie is not expressive responding
After 2020 election, republicans bet money that trump would be president–not Biden
Among believers, half strongly beleive and half find it plausible but are not super convinced
Intuitionists
Feelings and instincts
Rely on feelings and instincts for making sense of the unknown
Rationalists
Empirical evidence/ abstract deductions
Rely on abstract deductions that are rooted in empirical evidence
Magical thinking
when we explain events by pointing at unobservable forces or beliefs rather than relying on rational or scientific reasoning. This cognitive process often involves attributing causality to supernatural or mystical elements.
EX: Illuminati, karma, religion, knock on wood
Evil scientists
Must contradict an alternative explanation based on observable forces
Why do people use magical thinking
Magical beliefs help us feel better and give us the illusion of control
I am smart enough to see through the government's secret plan to use COVID vaccines to plant chips
Based on survival instincts developed in the course of evolution
Dual processing model
says that our brain alternates between two different modes
Most of the time we use system 1: quick, impulsive, and mostly unconscious
More rarely we use system 2: slow, effortful, conscious
Ex you are driving and like zoned out which is the first system and then all of the sudden a car swerves and you very quickly change systems to evaluate the situation more carefully and respond appropriately.
Like our thinking in general, most of our thinking about politics rely on system 1
However political events that cause emotions like anxiety can cause us to switch to system 2
We are then motivated to find information that will help us feel calm, even if not accurate
Representativeness heuristic
describes the tendency to assume that things that resemble each other share certain characteristics
Back in sep 2023, RFK J has 16% of the vote which is very high for a third-party candidate (last name is kennedy→representativeness heuristics)
Availability heuristic
describes the tendency to make decisions based on the information that we can most easily recall rather than a full set of possible considerations
The economy is one of the most important predictors of whether a president will be reelected
However, researchers think that the only thing that matters is the economy in the year of the election
By contrast, presidents are not rewarded at all for cumulative economic growth over their four years
Confirmation bias
describes the tendency to seek out information that confirms what we already believe to be true
Taber and Lodge ran experiment with supporters and opponents of gun control
They were given the choice to read stories showing that gun control was either good or bad
Supporters and opponents both chose stories that aligned with their prior beliefs
Media we choose to consume
Fox, msnbc, cnn
Materialists
experienced hardship in their youth, and think of politics as a way to provide for their own economic and physical security
Focused on the economy
Civil rights movement
Post-materialists
experiences security in their youth, and think of politics as a way to achieve belonging, respect, and self-actualization
Identity
Religion and public life
Transgender issues
Framing
The media has the power to spin stories to have a pos or neg perspective
Priming
the media has the power to influence what considerations we use when evalutaitng politicians, policies, etc
When I evalute a politician, at any given time I could be drawing on many different things (tariffs or scandals) and the idea is that media can influence which of those things I am paying attention to
Priming me to think of inflation when I think of Joe Biden
Agenda setting
the media has the power to influence what issues we see as important
Internal political efficacy
refers to believing that you can understand and participate in politics
External political efficacy
refers to believing that the government will listen to you
Substantive representation
is the extent to which elected officials represent the interests and concerns of their constituents.
ex: womens rights
do decisionmakers care about womens interests?
Ppl in power do things that are good for women
Descriptive representation
is the extent to which elected officials reflect the demographic characteristics of their constituents, such as race, gender, or socioeconomic status.
womens rights—>are women physically present when decisions are made?
Authoritative representation
do women have authority in decision making spaces
any feature of communication among decision makers that affects their authority during the decision making process
Populism
Why might intuitionists be susceptible to populism
The engage in magical thinking by giving power to unobservable forces
They are guided by emotion: if something makes them feel good, it must be truePopulism is a rhetorical style that explains politics as a battle between the “people” and the “elites”
Traits of populism: rhetoric
Explains politics as a battle between the virtuous “people” and a small group of nefarious, parasitic “elites”
Trump– for too long a small gorup in our nation’s capital has reaped the rewards of government while the people have borne the cost
Bernie–the greed of the billionaire class is destroying this country and whether they like it not we are going to stop that greed
Traits of populism: style
Has a messy style that can seem oafish or boorish, like a drunken guest at a dinner party
Traits of populism: pessimism
Doom is always around the corner, the economy is always a disaster, and the people are always under threat of being destroyed
Why might intuitionists be susceptible to populism
The engage in magical thinking by giving power to unobservable forces
They are guided by emotion: if something makes them feel good, it must be true
Michael Dawson, Behind the Mule: Race and Class in African American Politics (1994),
Chapter 1
New black politics– characterized by the transformation of protest politics into electoral politics with high levels of black political unity
Image of profound political unity that transcends class
However, the political consequences of class divisions are becoming more pronounced among African Americans
Why have african americans remained politically homogenous even while becoming economically polarized
According to this line of reasoning, because the social, economic, and political realites of whites and blacks differ substaintially because of race, racial interests continue to override class interests
Two ways in which racial identity can become less salient
If information about the political economic and social world of black America becomes less accessible
If race becomes less salient in individuals' own lives
Christopher DeSante, “Working Twice as Hard to Get Half as Far: Race, Work Ethic, and
America’s Deserving Poor” in American Journal of Political Science (2013)
Attitudes toward racialized and redistributive policies like welfare are often thought of as a function of both principled ideological positions and the underlying racial attitudes a person holds. Kinder and Sanders (1996) look at racial resentment as one explanation, while Sniderman and his colleagues look to principled conservatism and authoritarianism as viable alternatives, claiming that racial resentment is merely proxying a legitimate race-neutral commitment to equality of opportunity. This article engages this debate through an experimental design which tests whether "hard work" is rewarded in a color-blind manner. The experimental design also affords scholars the opportunity to separate the effects of the two components of racial resentment: principled values and racial animus. The results show that American norms and implicit racism serve to uniquely privilege whites in a variety of way
Lisa Garcia Bedolla, “They and We: Identity, Gender, and Politics among Latino Youth in
Los Angeles” in Social Science Quarterly (2000)
Objective–explore how latinos think about their identity, politics, voting, and community activity in order to gain some insight into the attitudes underlying Latino participation patterns
Methods– analysis of fifty in-depth interviews with latino high school seniors from neighboring schools
Results
All the respondents have a strong ethnic idenitty but vary in their degree of identification with the immigrant sectors of their community
Most, especially the females, are not interested in formal politics
The respondents felt voting was important but did not feel confident about their ability to participate effectively
The more sociioeconomically disadvantages felt more positive about the community’s ability to use nonelectoral activities to solve problems
187 ballot measure
Majority saw measure as anti-mexican and was against it
80% of garfield repsondents cited identification with immigrants
MHS saw immigrants as “they”
Distincion between legals and illegals
Tali Mendelberg, Chris Karpowitz, and Baxter Oliphant, “Gender Inequality in Deliberation:
Unpacking the Black Box of Interaction” in Perspectives on Politics (2014) [pgs. 18 - 29
only]
Core question: women representation in spaces of power
Women are not equally represented
Experiment to think about if we had the ability to chage how pol decisions were made can we change the set up so women are more included
Main idea: lets run an experient where we make little gov bodies (groups of 5) people are in charge of making decisions to see when women ar einturrpted ir not
Groups of 0-5 women have to make a decision about allocation money
Some groups had a majority decision rule (whatever the majority decided that was the decision)
Some groups had a unanimous ride (had to have all groups support)
FIndings:
Majority vs unanimous rule:
Majority rule:
Women are neg interrupted because they don't need them to pass the law
As there are more women in majority they are interrupted less and the interruptions are more pos
Unanimous
Women experience less/consistent interruptions and they do experience interruptions but they are mos pos
Oliver and Wood, Enchanted America (2018), Preface, Introduction, and Chapter 1
Our central argument is that the most important political division in the US is not simply between liberals and conservatives or between “red” and “blue” states; rather it is between rationalist and intuitionists
Rationalists are people who comprehend reality using nonintuitive sources
Intentionalists are enchanted –rely on internal feelings as a guide to their external reality
Americans exists between these poles
Oliver and Wood, Enchanted America (2018), Chapter 5
Populism and conspiracy theories
People who arent trained in the social sciences often ocmprhend matters of power and money differently
Employ commonsense of folk beliefs
Compare it to things they know
Ex–compare it to their own household expenses
Politics are the same way
Rely on things that are familiar or feel right
Ex syrian refugee crisis→ understood the issue through the lens of inflated threat
Populism and conspiracy
Both target the elites as the central problem
Btoh run counter to traditional description of politics
Intuitive tendencies and magical thinking
Populism
Not an ideology but more of a rhetorical style
Simple description of politics as a conflict ultimately between a virtuious people and a small group of nefarious, parasitic elites
Struggle between the people and the powerful
Good vs evil
Winners vs losers
Simple language
MAGA
Nostalgic longing
Privilege
“If we dont get tough and if we dont get smart and fast were not going to have our cohutnry anymore” Trump
Politics of intuition
Billionaire class
Establishment politicians
As evil being with extraordinary powers they invoke a causal explanation for politics that is far different
Magical qualities that ultimately separate populism from socialism
Conspiracy theories
Any narrative about hidden, malevolent groups secretly perpetuating political plots and social calamities to further their own nefarious goal
Draw from shards of facts to rceate fantastical narratives
Unseen or obscure forces are behind what is happening
Shana Kushner Gadarian and Bethany Albartson, “Anxiety, Immigration, and the Search for
Information” in Political Psychology (2014)
In this article we use the issue of immigration to explore the role of anxiety in response to political appeals. According to previous literautre, anxiety motivates citizens to learn and pay more attention to news coverage. Literature in psychology demonstrated that anxiety is associated with a tendency to pay closer attention to threatening information. We predict that anxious citizens will seek more information but that they will seek out and be attracted to threatening information. In an experiment, we induce anxiety about immigration and then subjects have the opportunity to search for additional information in a website designed to mimic online news sources. The website has both immigration and nonimmigration stories, and the immigration stories are split between threatening coverage and nonthreatening coverage. We find that anxious subjects exhibit biased information processing: they read, remember, and agree with threatening information
Introduction
We argue that anxious citizens are motivated to seek political information but are attracted to threatening news
Politicians and others regularly sound the alarm bells about the dire effects of immigration on the economic health and cultural fabris of the US
The american public is torn on immigration but a significant portion of the public believes that immigrants, particularly undocumented, burden the country’s economic and social system
Hypotheses
Manipulating anxiety about immigration will lead citizens to seek out information and that anxious individuals will seek more information than individuals in the control condition
Manipulating anxiety about immigration will lead to biased information processing
Anxious individuals will be likely to evaluate threatening immigration stories more positively than nonthreatening immigration stories
Jennifer Lawless and Richard Fox, Girls Just Wanna Not Run: The Gender Gap in Young
Americans’ Political Ambition (2013)
Executive summary
Women are less likely than men to express interest in a political career
Based on the results of a new survey, more than 2,100 college students between the ages of 18 and 25, we offer the first assessment of political ambition early in life. Young women are less likely than young men ever to have considered running for office, to express interest in a candidacy at some point in the future, or to consider elective office a desirable profession
Our research suggests that the gender gap in ambition is already well in place by the time women and men enter their first careers
5 factors that contribute to the gender gap
Young men are more likely than young women to be socialized by their parents to think about politics as a career path
From their school experiences to their peer associations to their media habits, young women tend to be exposed to less political information and discussion than do young men
Young men are more likely than young women to have played organized sports and care about winning
Young women are less likely than young men to receive encouragement to run for office from anyone
Young women are less likely than young men to think they will be qualified to run for office, even once they are established in their careers
Tali Mendelberg, Katherine McCabe, and Adam Thal, “College Socialization and the Eco-
nomic Views of Affluent Americans” in American Journal of Political Science (2017)
Affluent americans support more conservative economic policies than the nonaffluent and government responds disproportionately to these views. Yet little is known about the emergence of these consequential views. We develop, test, and find support for a theory of class cultural norms. These preferences are partly traceable to socialization that occurs on predominately affluent college campuses, especially those with norms of financial gain, and especially among socially embedded students. These economic views of the students cohort also matter, in part independently of affluence. We use a large panel data set with a high response rate and more rigorous causal inference strategies than previous socialization studies. The affluent campus effect holds with matching, among students with limited school choice, and in a natural experiment, and it passes placebo tests. College sociaization partly explains why affluent americans support economically conservative policies
John Zaller, “Monica Lewinsky and the Mainsprings of American Politics” in Mediated Poli-
tics (2000)
What does move public opinion? What forces do drive american politics?
The argument of this chapter is that presidents and their parties rise and fall in the publics esteem mainly according to how effectively they govern
Political accountability for war and peace, prosperity and recession, policies that work and policies that dont
Political parties, though given up for dead by how many political analysts are still the most important vehicle by which americans relate to politics and hold leaders accountable
Despite the rise of new forms of communication that might have been expected to destabilize it, american public opinion, at least as regards ot presidential politics, is no more volatile now than in the past
Political fundamentals tend to trump media hype in national politics. By this I mean that politicians who can claim the high ground of peace, prosperity and moderation have dominatied presidential politics through most of this century and will continue to do so
Calvert Jones and Celia Paris, “Its the End of the World and They Know It: How Dystopian
Fiction Shapes Political Attitudes” in Perspectives on Politics (2018)