What is the role of the financial sector?
→ Facilitate savings
→ Equity markets
→ Forward markets
→ Facilitating borrowing
→ Facilitating the exchange of goods and services
Explain facilitating savings:
Enables individuals to save
→ Target savers → save for big ticket items
→ Savings have interest → generates income
→ Precautionary savings ( if on transitory not permanent income)
→ Saving to smooth future consumption e.g. after retirement
Explain equity markets:
Grow wealth through purchasing equities
→ Buy shares at a low price and sell at a high price
→ Pension funds tend to invest into equities
→ Companies sell themselves on the stock market to raise finance
Explain forward markets:
When economic agents agree prices today, but deliver them in the future
→ Most likely commodities (volatile → susceptible to exogenous shocks)
→ Done to minimise costs
→ Manufacturing → Use future contracts → lack certainty
Explain facilitating borrowing:
Both firms and households borrow
→ Fund investment for capital (R&D)
→ Borrowing to buy capital/big ticket items
Explain facilitating the exchange of goods and services:
Financial sector needed for g&s to be exchanged through the use of money
→ Allowing transactions to take place
→ Depends on inflation
Why do financial institutions need to be regulated?
→ Negative externalities
→ Many banks engage in excessive risk taking
→ Left with little liquidity → closer to collapsing → leads to a loss of jobs
What are universal banks?
Operate in both retail and wholesale markets
→ Retail: Everyday banks
→ Wholesale: Big institutions
What is the world bank?
A multinational organisation that provides financing for long term development projects
e.g. infrastructure
→ They perceive developing countries to be risky
What is the IMF?
Promotes global and financial stability
→ Provides short term emergency loans to avoid budget crisis
When does the IMF step in?
→ When the government can’t pay interest on national debt
→ Prevents sovereign defaults
→ Maintains financial stability
→ Prevents currency from crashing
→ Conditionality attached: Must use demand side policy
What is the capital adequacy ratio?
A measure of the amount of banks liquidity as a (%) if its risk weighted credit exposure
→ The riskier the loans, the more capital they need to hold
What are the factors leading to bank failure during a crisis?
→ Savings gluts
→ Deregulation
→ Securitisation
→ Credit rating agencies
Explain savings gluts:
Savings are high due to a high RDY {Developed}
→ Leads to more risk taking → loans given out at a low interest rate
→ Encourages borrowing and lending → unsustainable
Explain deregulation:
Before 2007, there was low regulation → banks didn’t need to hold up liquidity
→ Meant they were unable to react to emergencies
→ Banks invested deposits into risky businesses
→ Deposits could be lost
→ Government didn’t want to regulate finances so that London’s reputation wasn’t harmed
Explain securitisation:
Also known as CDO (Collateral Debt Obligations)
→ Transformation of illiquid and liquid assets → easy to take out
→ Takes place so that an asset can be bought and sold within the financial market
BEFORE 2007:
→ FC → weren’t mortgaged → became securitised into a financial asset
→ Securitised due to high volatility of prices
→ Now MBS (Mortgaged Backed Security)
→ Can be sold to financial institutions
e.g. hedge funds once securitised
→ Investors bought MBS → Thought they’d get healthy returns from mortgage payments
→ Problem : Mortgages were given to risky people due to deregulation → no payments
→ If mortgage payments weren’t given → asses would be taken
Explain credit rating agencies?
Subprime mortgage crisis → giving MBS to those unworthy
→ Rating A: Safe/ Rating C,D: Risky
→ Before 2007, mortgages were give to CDOs with AAA ratings
→ CDOs weren’t factually safe → perverse relationship between banks and CRA
→ Banks used to pay them
What is a stress test?
A test on banks to observe the resilience of firms during an emergency
What is a systematic risk?
The interdependence of financial instituitions
What are the types of regulatory bodies to lower systematic risk?
→ PRA (part of the BofE)
→ FCA (seperate from the BofE)
→ FPC
Explain PRA:
→ Its their job to create a stable financial system at a micro-prudential level
{supervised single firms}
→ Promotes the safety of deposits → no risky investments
Explain FCA:
Ensures customers are given services that aren’t too risky
→ Ensures firms act with integrity
→ They oversee conduct of firms → PRA don’t look at that
e.g. asset managers and hedge funds
Explain FPC:
→ Identify and eliminate risks → within the system
→ Make direct recommendations to FCA AND PRA
→ Conduct random and occasional stress tests to banks
→ Part of the BofE → Prevents future financial crisis
→ Tightens liquidity regulation
What are the criticisms of financial regulations?
→ Harms of globalisation worsens
→ IMF intervention are short term in nature
→ Imposition of Washington consensus
Explain harms of globalisation worsens:
With a increase in globalisation:
→ Trading increases → Interdependence → contagion
→ More natural resource depletion → negative externalities
→ Illicit lending → all contaminated
Explain IMF intervention are short term in nature:
IMF may never have control over the budget deficit
→ IMF only focuses on DSP → not long term
→ The world bank does more for development than the IMF has ever done
Explain the imposition of the Washington Consensus:
The IMF implement regulation and privatisation
TRADE LIBERISATION IMPOSED:
→ Sunrise firms → Bad capital/labour
WANTED TO IMPOSE FISCAL DISCIPLINE ON COUNTRIES:
→ Spending on infrastructure → VAT increases (regressive)
→ Must have competition → Floating ER
DEREGULATION:
→ Lack of control → Bad for consumers welfare
→ Workers rights decreased
→ China shows a different path
Negatives of financial regulations:
→ Neoclassical: laissez faire
→ When regulation imposed → COP increased
→ Regulation time lag
→ Banks should lower interest rate
Financial regulations are neoclassical:
Laissez faire → free markets should be left to S&D
→ Excessive meddling → Market failure → FDI decreases
→ Government failure → Unemployment → EG increases
→ PPF inwards → Costs increases → Interest rate
→ Can’t take loans → consumption decreases → savings decreases
When more regulation is imposed…
COP increases → Demand for high wages
→ May need to employ oversight team
→ Profits decrease
There is a regulation time lag:
IB may create risky financial assets
→ May delude to securitise other assets
→ Banks develop higher risk → higher reward?
Banks should lower Interest rate
Asset price bubble → Burst → House price crash created
→ Supply for homes inelastic
→ Value of homes not equal value they sell it at
→ Negative wealth affect