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Why are interest rates and bonds inversely related?
When market interest rates rise, newly issued bonds pay higher coupons
This makes existing bonds less attractive —-and so investors will only buy them at a discount
The opposite applies —-and so interest rates and bonds are inversely related
What are your thoughts on the market for the next 6 months
Well currently the market is going through relative uncertainty due to the tariff situation.
However, I believe that Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve is going to be cautious and hold interest rates until they fully understand the effect of tariffs on inflation.
The Treasury yields curve to slightly steepen and but the bond market should be good
What determines a schools line of credit?
A school's line of credit is determined by the Property Tax Revenue of its District if not Tuition or a different collateral asset
What does the “tax-equivlaent yield” mean?
Tells you how much a taxable bond needs to yield before taxes, so that after taxes it has the same take-home return as a tax-free bond
How does fund accounting for non-profits differ from standard accrual accounting?
The main difference is that the goal is to make revenue match expenditures as closely as possible
How would an issuer decide on taxable vs tax-exempt issuance?
An issuer would decide on taxable versus tax-exempt issuance based on the nature of the project (like if its a public project), the associated tax implications, investor demand, and the overall financial strategy.
How do revenue bonds and general obligation bonds differ?
While General Obligation Bonds (GO) and Revenue bonds are both municipal bonds they differ signficantly in how their paid and security.
General Obligaiton bonds are backed by the full faith of municpality meaning the municipality pledges to use all its available resources to pay off the debt
While Revenue Bonds are only secured by revenue generated by a specific asset like a toll road.
what types of revenue bonds tend ot be riskier and less risky?
What to know about Stifel answer in the why
Stifel is the largest Underwriter of high schools and elementary schools in the US
- That’s even how I first got introduced to public finance, while I was in high school my school underwent a $140 Million renovation, and I wondered how this was possible coming from a Ugandan background, where the only good schools were private schools. (My mentor informed me it was public finance)
- When I finished middle school, my school had just started construction
Stifel also has been more very intentional about helping lawmakers public pension systems as financial illiteracy is something that effects many, Stifel has actively tried to make sure as people reach retirement their social security isn’t their sole source of income
Municipal bond
Are fixed income securities issued by states and local governments to finance public projects like schools, infrastructure, and hospitals
Walk me through a DCF
First you project out a company’s financials using assumptions for revenue growth, expenses and Working Capital
Then you get down to the unlevered FCF for each year
You finally discount the the FCF since Year 1 and the Terminal Value using the WACC to get the Enterprise Value
You sum it up and you have the EV
Walk me through how you get form Revenue to FCF in the projections?
You subtract COGS and Operating Expenses from Revenue to get EBIT
Afterward you multiply EBIT by (1-Tax Rate)
You then add back Depreciation and non charges charges
Finally you subtract Capex and the change in Working Capital
Why do you use 5-10 years for DCF projections?
Well its because that as far as you can reasonably project into the future. More than 10 years would be to difficult to predict due to the many changes that could happen in between.
What do you usually use for the discount rate?
Usually you use WACC
How do you calculate WACC?
Weighted average cost of capital is
Cost of Equity (% of Equity) + Cost of Debt (% of Debt) all times* (1-Tax Rate) + Cost of Preferred Stock * (% of preferred stock)
How do you get to Beta in the Cost of Equity calculation?
You look up the beta for each Comparable Company and take the median of the set
*NOTE DIVIDENDS are ALREADY FACTORED INTO BETA
How do you calculate the Terminal Value?
Using the Gordon Growth Method it would be:
Final Year Cash Flow * Growth Rate / (Discount Rate - Growth Rate)
Multiples method of deriving Terminal Value
You take the final projected year and multiply it by a Public Comparables Multiple for Valuation (like EV/EBITDA)
How do you select the appropriate exit multiple when calculating Terminal Value?
You would look at the Comparable Comapaneis and pick the median of the set or something within that range
What’s the relationship between debt and Cost of Equity?
More debt means a company is more risky and its Levered Beta would be higher,
so all else the same Higher Debt higher Cost of Equity
What type of sensitivity analyses would we look at in a DCF?
Things like Revenue Growth vs Terminal Multiple
How do you determine the discount rate on a bond?
You get the principal and coupon payments and run calculations that make the present value today equal to the market price
For a new issue of bonds you typically get a comparable risk free rate and add a credit spread
What is a Request for Proposal (RFP)?
A Request for Proposal is a formal document that a government issuer uses to invite firms to submit bids for services.
It outlines the projects objectives, required qualifications, and evaluation criteria. Its purpose to encourage competitive contractor bids.
Can you describe the economic cycle and explain where we are currently within it?
I would say America right now is in the late expansion or early-contraction stage of the economic cycle
Real GDP growth was down first quarter (Q1) though unemployment is currently low
What is the current yield of a 10-year treasury note?
4.42%
What is a bond?
A bond is a fixed income security representing an investor’s debt to a borrower
It can be issued by corporations and governments, and municipalties
A bond is a fixed income debt security issued by governments, municipalities, and corporations to investors
What is YTM in Bonds?
Yield to maturity is the overall return of the bond until it matures.
It could also be described as the bonds’s IRR
What is the 2 year-Treasury Yield?
3.9%
What is the 30-year Treasury Yield?
4.94%
What is the economic cycle?
There are 4 stages:
Expansion: Which is full of increasing economic activities like higher employment and spending
Peak: Which represents the highest point of economic growth before a downturn begins
Contraction: Which is characterized by declining economic activity, declining GDP, and decreased consumer spending
Trough: This is the lowest point of contraction and characterized by low access to credit and unemployment