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How did Mark Twain describe the difference between weather and climate?
“Climate is what you expect. Weather is what you get.”
Climate
The long-term average weather at a specific location or region
includes mean values and ranges of what is ‘normal’
Weather
The specific state of the atmosphere at any point in space and time
precipitation
temperature
snow
winds
How many years do we use to calculate the climate ‘normal’
~30 years → more or less a generation
Variability
the interannual + decadal fluctuations around climate normals (mean state or averages)
How are adjustments made to the ‘normal’?
Repeated anomalies (slow adjustments)
What is more important than absolute temperature
anomalies
In terms of climate change studies what is an anomaly?
difference from an average or baseline temperature (set from an average of 30 years)
Positive anomaly
temperature is warmer than the baseline
Negative anomaly
temperature is cooler than the baseline
UNEP
United Nations Environment Program
Formed in Stockholm 1972
IPCC
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
Formed by the UNEP and World Meteorological Organization (WMO) in 1988
UNFCCC
Unite Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change
Formed in Rio 1992 to cut down on greenhouse gasses
COP
Conference of the Parties (those in the UNFCCC)
1997 Kyoto COP3
Kyoto protocol is the first GHG emission reduction agreement
2010 Cancun COP16
Green climate fund is established to help reduce emission in developing countries
2015 Paris COP21
Agreement to limit the global average temperature increase (<1.5 C)
What happened in 2020 in regards to the Paris agreement?
The US pulls out (Trump)
In 2021 they return (Biden)
2023 UAE COP28
Discussion to move away from fossil fuels
Solar irradiance
the energy received on Earth from the Sun
Does solar irradiance have an effect on current rising temperatures?
It’s unlikely, but it did play a role in historical climate change
Key GHG (5)
carbon dioxide - natural and anthropogenic sources
methane - natural and anthropogenic sources (cow toots, organic matter decomposition)
nitrous oxide - mostly from fertilizers
chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) - refrigerants, solvents and spray propellants
water vapour
Atmosphere
mixture of gases that surrounds the Earth
what role does the atmosphere play? (4)
shields us from the UV rays of the Sun
traps in heat to warm the planet
allows us to breath
prevents extreme temp. differences btwn. day and night
what are the layers of the atmosphere? (5)
exosphere - satellites
thermosphere - aurora
mesosphere - meteors
stratosphere - planes
troposphere - clouds
where do we find the most ozone?
stratosphere
______ is what absorbs UV to warm the planet
ozone
what are the two main gases in the atmosphere?
78% Nitrogen
21% Oxygen
Why is water not considered a greenhouse gas?
The residence time → it doesn’t stay long in the atmosphere
If the atmosphere was a bed what would the clouds be?
a blanket to keep the planet warm
what happens to atmospheric pressure as height increases?
it decreases
How can volcanoes have a massive cooling effect?
sulphur dioxide and ash release
Aerosols
particles in suspension in the atmosphere → can either aid in retaining heat or in reflecting heat
what happens when SO2 reacts with water?
forms sulphuric acid and sulphate aerosols that stay for up to 3 years
how does atmospheric movement occur?
driven by air pressure → warm air rises (low pressure), cold air falls (high pressure)
Pressure Gradient Force
FPG = ∆P/∆x
change in pressure over the change in distance
Coriolis effect
the force caused by the Earth’s rotation that deflects free moving objects from a straight line path
*important for atmospheric circulation
what are the global atmospheric circulation patterns?
upward motion at the equator from the most direct, highest and consistent incoming solar radiation levels
what does global atmospheric circulation patterns do to pressure?
creates low pressure at the surface and high pressure above
pressure gradient force (PGF) drives distribution of air towards the ______
poles
does the PGF ever reach the poles?
no, as it cools it begins to sink around 30˚N and 30˚S
what does cold polar air do in terms of atmospheric circulation patterns?
creates high surface pressure and causes mass air movement away from the poles, it is forced upward due to warming when it hits larger land masses (~60˚)
what is created when cold polar air hits large land masses?
a major jet stream
Why do we see trade winds and westerlies?
Coriolis effect
what are the important atmospheric forces? (3)
gravity
pressure gradient force
Coriolis effect
*these are the primary drivers but they change t/o the year (driven by solar insolation)
Jet streams
faster upper-air westerlies associated w/ strong pressure gradients where the polar, Farrel and Hadley cells meet
what happens to jet streams when they meet with large patches of water?
They rise?wha
what happens to jet streams when they meet with large patches of land?
they dip
why is it faster to fly to Europe then to return?
You’ve been loaded up with bread.
JK, jet streams!
From a climate change perspective why do we care about jet streams?
They used to be more stable, but now especially in the winter they have started to fluctuate a lot
Drives the large weather systems (ex. -40 for two weeks, likely due to a jet stream)
How much of the Earth is covered by ocean?
~71%
How deep is the ocean?
Highly variably → average is 3800m, but the deepest point (Mariana’s Trench) is 11022m
what is the ocean’s composition?
96.5% H2O
3.5% dissolved salts, gasses, organics and other stuff
Why is the ocean salty?
run off from the rocks on land and openings on sea floor (lithosphere)
also plastic ☹ 🐢
salinity
refers to alll the dissolved ions in the water (ppt)
For a kg of sea water how much is salinity?
34.4g → 35 ppt
what are two factors that vary within oceans?
density and temperature
what drives the current in oceans?
Variety of density and temperature
why is density important?
in nature things want to reach equilibrium
How much denser is seawater compared to freshwater?
~3% → 1026 1026 kg/m3
with a salinity of 35 ppt, what does the freezing point become?
-1.8˚C
how do we gain a knowledge about the ocean?
Sampling!
monitoring buoys and remote sensing to collect data
Are the controls of salinity constant?
No, its a cycle of increasing and decreasing
Why might the controls of salinity increase? (2)
Evaporation of seawater
Freezing of seawater
Why might the controls of salinity decrease? (4)
Precipitation of rain and snow
Melting of ice
River runoff
Groundwater flow to ocean
*all of these dilute the ocean
What kind of forces cause the movement of oceans?
friction from the winds and tides
Internal friction btwn the layers of water
friction against the ocean floor
PGF and gravity also
what are Gyres?
large rotating ocean currents
oceans have a ______ thermal heat capacity
high
what is a high thermal heat capacity good for?
moving heat around the globe
What are slow deep ocean currents?
Cold + saltier (denser) water that sinks to the bottom, warm water then flows to fill the surface area
are currents 2 dimensional?
No! they’re 3 dimensional
Thermohaline Circulation
warmer water rising + colder water sinking
Why are ocean currents important?
movements of nutrients and phytoplankton
control of weather conditions
Oxygen → circulates it around the Earth
Where is ice stored?
Greenland and Antartic ice sheets
Mountain glaciers, icefields, and ice caps
seasonal snow
sea ice
ground ice/permafrost
what are the components of the Cryosphere?
seasonal snow
most important part for global weather and community
important for water resource availability
Sea ice
large influence on Arctic climate; changing sea ice also affects weather patterns
Sea ice formation:
temperature must drop below 1.8˚C
cover begins as “plates” or “pancake ice”
pancake ice fuses to give continuous ice cover
what are breaks in sea ice called?
leads (linear) or polynya (large 2D openings)
how thick is sea ice
it depends how old it is but ~2-5 m thick
what is depth of sea ice controlled by?
overlying snow (insulation)
air temperatures
ocean heat flux (melting from the bottom)
ice ridging (smashing together)
How does sea ice move?
moves with the currents
what is the land distribution of Greenland?
84% ice
15% barren
1% cultivated pasteur (where people live)
what is the highest point of greenland?
Gunnbjorn → 3700m
what is the world’s largest desert?
Antarctica
what is the land distribution of Antarctica?
98% ice
2% bare rock
what is the highest point of Antarctica?
5140m
approximately how much ice per year has Antarctica lost btwn 2002 and 2023
150 gigatons
with ice melting in Antarctica how much does the seal level rise every year?
0.4 mm
approximately how much ice per year has Greenland lost btwn 2002 and 2023?
270 gigatons
with ice melting in Greenland how much does the seal level rise every year?
0.8 mm
which part of Antarctica melting the fastest and how much?
west
losing volumes that equal the weight of Everest every 2 years
Permafrost
Ground that stays below 0˚C for two years or more
continuous permafrost
90-100% of landscape
Discontinuous permafrost
50-90% of landscape
Sporadic permafrost
0-50% of landscape
in the northern hemisphere how much of land area is covered by permafrost?
25%
how much could an increase of 3˚C thaw the top layers of permafrost?
30-85%
what impacts does permafrost thawing have?
slumping
damage to infrastructure
CH4 (methane) release allows microbes to consume organic material
flooding hazard
Contents of Land Surface that influence Climate
surface albedo (reflectivity) → increase in albedo decreases temp.
evapotranspiration from vegetation and evaporation from bodies of water
geochemical and hydrologic cycles - including the carbon cycle
surface roughness and impacts on winds
surface heat capacity
how do we identify anthropogenic CO2?
isotopes → Carbon 13 (naturally occuring), 14 (radioactive doesn’t last long) - 12 (fossil combustion) is found in plant material and is increasingly replacing 13+14
atmospheric O2 levels (ratio of O2:N2) is decreasing
what does the carbon cycle consist of?
Sources and Sinks (stocks and flows)