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Criminology
The scientific study of why people commit crime and why some places have more crime than others
Scientific method in criminology
Use of hypotheses, systematic observation, theory testing, and empirical evidence
Hypothesis
A specific, testable prediction based on prior knowledge or theory
Empirical research
Research based on observable and measurable evidence rather than authority or opinion
Why criminology is scientific
It develops hypotheses, tests them systematically, and applies findings to theory
Philosophical or legal approach to crime
Uses logic and deductive reasoning without hypothesis testing
Journalistic approach to crime
Relies on anecdotal evidence and case-by-case analysis
Religious approach to crime
Authority-based and guided by dogmatic principles
Theory
A set of concepts linked by statements to explain phenomena
Purpose of theory in criminology
To provide testable explanations for criminal behavior
Can theories be wrong but useful?
Yes, theories can make accurate predictions even if incorrect
Burke and Hare case example
Shows consistent criminal motives across time periods
Theoretical paradigm
A broad framework guiding assumptions about crime and behavior
Four major criminological paradigms
Classical, Positivist, Conflict/Critical, Integrated
Classical School assumption
Humans have free will
Classical School view of behavior
Rational and hedonistic
Classical School explanation of crime
Individuals weigh costs and benefits before offending
Classical School focus
Deterrence and individual choice
Positivist assumption
Humans lack free will or full rationality
Positivist view of crime
Behavior is determined by forces beyond individual control
Factors emphasized by Positivism
Genetics, IQ, education, peers, parenting, employment, economics
Goal of Positivist criminology
Scientific identification of causal factors
Conflict theory assumption
Laws serve those in power
Conflict theory level of analysis
Group-level
Conflict theory view of law
Used by powerful groups to control less powerful groups
Focus of Conflict theory
Differential application of the justice system
Integrated theory assumption
Multiple factors work together to explain crime
Strength of integrated theories
Broad explanations of crime
Weakness of integrated theories
Potential logical inconsistencies
Micro-level analysis
Focus on individuals
Macro-level analysis
Focus on groups or societies
Consensus model of law
Laws reflect shared values of society
Conflict model of law
Laws reflect interests of powerful groups
Strain theory assumption of human nature
People are born good but corrupted by society
Control theory assumption of human nature
People are born bad and need control
Differential association assumption of human nature
People are blank slates shaped by environment
Parsimony
The simplest explanation is preferred
Example of parsimony
Low self-control theory
Scope
The range of phenomena a theory explains
Logical consistency
Theory concepts make sense together
Example of poor logical consistency
Lombroso’s tattoo theory
Testability
Theory can be empirically tested
Empirical validity
Theory is supported by research evidence
Example of empirical validity
Differential reinforcement theory
Policy implications
Theory provides practical solutions
Example of policy implications
Broken windows theory
Temporal ordering
X must occur before Y
Correlation or covariation
Changes in X are associated with changes in Y
Spuriousness
Relationship explained by a third variable
Z variable
An alternative explanation for a correlation
Ice cream and crime example
Temperature explains the relationship
Challenge in criminology research
Cannot randomly assign criminogenic conditions
Ethical constraint in criminology
Experiments cannot manipulate harmful conditions
Uniform Crime Report (UCR)
A national measure of crime based on police reports
UCR advantage
Longest historical crime data
UCR reliability
Reliable for murder and motor vehicle theft
UCR limitation
Dark figure of crime
Dark figure of crime
Crime that goes unreported
UCR best used for
Historical trends and homicide research
National Crime Victimization Survey (NCVS)
A survey measuring victimization experiences
NCVS advantage
Captures unreported crime
NCVS limitation
Excludes homeless, children, and businesses
NCVS does not measure
Homicide
Telescoping effect
Respondents misreport timing of events
NCVS best used for
Victimization patterns and unreported crime
Self-Report Data (SRD)
Surveys where individuals report their own offending
SRD advantage
Captures psychological and social factors
SRD limitation
Potential dishonesty and lack of national estimates
SRD best used for
Theory testing and individual-level factors
Crime peak of 1920s–1930s
Prohibition and Great Depression
Crime decline of 1940s
World War II demographic changes
Crime increase of 1960s–1980s
Baby Boom and age-crime relationship
Crime decline since 1990s
Multiple contributing factors
Regions with highest crime rates
South and West
Urban-rural crime pattern
Urban higher than suburban, suburban higher than rural
Hot spots
Crime clusters in specific locations
Theory supported by hot spots
Opportunity theory
Juvenile crime peak time
Around 3 PM
Theory explaining juvenile crime timing
Supervision theory
Adult crime peak time
Around 11 PM
Seasonal crime pattern
Higher in summer
Theory explaining seasonal crime
Routine activities theory
Age-crime curve
Crime peaks in adolescence and declines after
Peak age of offending
Around age 17
Gender pattern in violent crime
Males commit 80–98 percent
Theory tested by gender patterns
Biosocial and social learning theories
Equivalency hypothesis
Lower class has higher violent offending and victimization
Property crime class pattern
Lower class offenders, middle and upper class victims
Race and crime pattern
Crime is largely intraracial
Native American victimization
Highest victimization rates
Effect of controlling for poverty
Racial differences diminish
Purpose of crime patterns in theory testing
To evaluate how well theories explain real-world crime