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A type 1 error occurs when researchers concludes based on their ____, that an effect ___ when it actually occur in the
sample data, that an effect exist when it actually does NOT occur in the population
type 1 error occurs due to ___
Sampling error
What's the symbolizes the probability of making a type 1 error
Alpha
When do we define the probability of making a type one error
Beginning of the study
false positive aka type ___ error
I
false negative aka type ___ error
II
how does type 1 error influence null hypothesis
type 1 error falsely rejects the null hypothesis whenwe shouldn't have rejected the null in population
when testing one sample mean, we wanted to know if the ____ is actually equal to the ____
sample mean
sampling distribution of the mean is a conceptual/frequency distribution
conceptual (based of an infinite set of numbers)
symmetry, modality, and variability of sampling distribution of the mean
symmetrical (normally distributed, bell shape)
unimodal (mew= population mean)
variability= standard error of the mean
mean of sampling distribution of the mean =
population mean (mew)
standard deviation vs standard error
SD= average deviation of a score from mean of a variable
SE= average deviation of a sample mean from population mean
Standard Error of the mean vs population standard error of the mean both calculate ___
however, you use SEM in ___test, where ___unknown/known
you use PSEM in ___, where ___unknown/known?
Both calculates the average deviation of sample mean from population mean
Sxˉ (SEM)= when population SD is UNknown, used in T-test
σx- (PSEM)= when population SD is know, used in Z-test
why is it unlikely that sample mean would exactly equal to population mean
sampling error
why do we use standard “error" instead of SD to describe variability in sampling distribution of the mean?
bc SD is the average deviation of a score from its mean, but in sampling distribution of the mean, the average deviation of a score from its mean= average deviation of a sample mean from the population mean
“distribution of statistics for samples randomly drown from population”
= sampling distribution
sampling distribution of the mean in simpler words
the distribution of a ton of means randomly drawn from the population
how to make a sampling distribution of the mean
randomly select a sample size of N from the population, get the mean of the sample, repeat
why is it important that sampling distribution of the mean is normally distributed
this allows researchers to mathematically determine the probability of any particular sample mean (inferential statistics like Z-test and T-test assume that distribution of sample is normal)
4 steps of testing one sample mean
state null and alternative hypothesis
make a decision about the null hypothesis (set alpha)
draw conclusion from analysis
relate result of analysis to research hypothesis
why do we set Alpha
to decide the threshold of statistical significance (aka critical value)
alpha is the level of ___ needed to ___
statistical significance
reject null hypothesis
what does alpha of 0.05 mean
the null hypothesis is rejected when the p>0.05
why do we refer to the scores of standard normal distribution as z-statistic rather than z-score
because we are using this distribution to calculate a statistic that tests the difference btw a sample mean and a population mean (aka SD of sample mean from population mean), not just btw score and its mean
when it is a 2 tail test, alpha is ____ regions of rejection
split into 2 half (0.025+0.025)
How to get critical value in one test
Find the region or rejection’s corresponding z-statistic
ones we determined the critical values (ex: +- 1.96), we can set the decision rule:
if z < -1.96 or z> 1.96, reject null hypothesis; otherwise, do not reject null (aka if the sample mean falls in these 2 regions of rejection, it means that the statistic have a low probability of occuring
When do we do a z test for one sample mean?
To compare sample and population mean + population standard deviation is known
What’s in the numerator is what we’re testing, so in the z-statistic formula the numerator is__
Sample mean - hypothesized population mean
population standard error of the mean (σxbar)=
The average deviation of the sample mean from population mean (known)
z statistic= what divided by what
(sample mean-hypothesized pop mean) / pop standard error of mean (PSEM)
What does it mean that the standard error of the mean = 0.21 sec mean (flex arm hang
The average deviation of sample mean from population mean is 0.21 sec
What does it mean if you obtain a z- statistic of 4.76 mean? (If your critical value is +-1.96)
there is a statistically significant difference btw the sample mean and the population mean, so we reject the null
when drawing conclusion, what do we need to mention about inferential statistics of a Z-test
Z-statistic and P statement
which is the descriptive statistics of the variable
M=8 sec
μ=7 sec
“the sample is statistically significantly greater than the population“ stated what component of a conclusion
nature and direction of finding
Assumption of z test for one mean
random sampling
Must be interval/ ratio level of measurement
normality of dependent variability distributed shape (Unimodal, symmetrical, mesokurtic)
How to tell if a distribution is unimodal
Look at histogram
How to tell if distribution is symmetrical
Skewness statistics
relationship btw mean & median
Look at histogram
How to tell if a distribution is mesokurtic
Kurtosis statistics
Why do we do a T test for one sample mean
We also wanna know the difference btw sample mean n hypothesized population mean, BUT we don’t know the population SD
When should we use T test instead of z test
When pop SD is unknown
Similarity and differences btw T distribution and standard normal distribution (aka Z distribution)
Mean =0
SD is different (Z’s SD is always 1)
Mean of T distribution
0
How does T distribution shape change with sample size
Approximately normal, but the shape gets closer to normal distribution as sample size increase
What’s 3 thing u need to read a T table
Alpha, df, one /two tail test
What’s degree of freedom
Number of values that are free to vary when using a sample statistic to estimate a population parameter
If you can’t find the exact cv on table, you pick the one that’s ___ from center of distribution
Conservative, further away from center of distribution
If you increase sample size, this will ___ standard error of the mean and ___ t statistic and critical value get ___ to center of distribution because ___ gets larger
Decrease SEM
Increase T-stat
closer
Degree of freedom
Larger sample size = greater ___ to reject null hypothesis
Probability
How does a larger alpha affect the likelihood of rejecting null hypothesis
CV move towards center of distribution» larger region of rejection» increase probability of falsely rejecting alpha
Why don’t we increase alpha to reject null easier
Bc you would increase your probability of making type 1 error / false positive/ falsely rejecting (what alpha is)
Is it easier/ greater likelihood to reject one tail or two tail
One tail
similarities and differences btw the formula for z-score and z-test for one mean
finding probability of different reasons
both based off standard normal distribution (
proability of a statistic falling in a range
z=(score-mean)/SD =in standard normal distribution, how many SD is the score from the mean (mean=0, SD=1)
z test= (sample mean-hypothesized population mean)/population standard error of the mean = how many PSEM is the sample mean from the hypothesized pop mean (mean of z-test=0, pop mean & pop SD is known)
what 2 factors influence the variability in a distribution of sample mean
SE= pop SD/root
pop SD
sample size