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Why Americans think the way they do and how we know.
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Benchmark Polls
Polls done before campaigning to assess public opinion and what to focus on.
Demographics
Groups of individuals each sharing a common characteristic.
Exit Polls
Polls conducted after exiting voting places.
Focus Groups
A diverse group compiled to examine something from multiple perspectives
Framing (polling)
Specific wording, context or presentation of a question that may change ideas.
Gallup
famous trusted company that produces public opinion polls.
Gender Gap
The gap between the way that men and women vote/their ideologies.
Generational effect
How shared experiences such as wars or recessions affect political beliefs and values.
Heuristics
People’s ability to make decisions based on little information (informational shortcuts)
Impressionable years hypothesis
Political attitudes are strongly influenced by what happens during one’s formative years
Liberal, Moderate, Conservative
Political labels
Margin of Error (polling)
Non-Response Bias
When people chosen for a poll don’t respond, it makes the results inaccurate as they do not represent the full breadth of opinions. This skews public opinion data and affects election predictions.
Opinion Saliency
How important an issue is to respondents/voters.
Partisanship
People’s attachment to their political party
Party sorting
Aligning issue positions with a particular party
Perception Gap
The difference between how Democrats and Republicans view each other’s stances on issues, vs what each group actually thinks on those issues.
Political Efficacy
Belief in your ability to effect politics and make change
Political Elites
People with a disproportionate share of political power
Political ideology
Beliefs about what the government ought to pursue.
Political legitimacy
Having gained power through popular approval
Political socialization
Lifelong process of people developing their political attitudes
Polls/Polling
Survey of public opinion
Public Opinion
How people think or feel about certain things
Public Opinion Poll
sample taken from a smaller group to predict the likely behavior of a larger group.
Push poll
fake polls, made to push an idea or group.
Question wording (polls)
Phrases used to describe policies in polls
Random Sampling
In the context of polling, pulling data from of randomly-chosen respondents
Sampling Error
Social Desirability Bias (polling)
In the context of polling, people will often choose the answer they deem to be the most socially acceptable even if it is not what they actually believe.
Socioeconomic status
How wealthy you are, also known as Class: upper, middle or lower. Impacts the way you respond to polls.
Stratified Sampling
Divides a population into distinct subgroups based on a common trait (i.e. income, gender, or age)
Symbolic Ideology
Simple, value-based label associated with political parties (generalizations)
Tracking Poll
Repeated survey used to track the changing of public opinion around a certain topic.
Known Generations
Silent Gen, Baby Boomers, Gen X, Gen Y/Millennials, Gen Z.