M22 (Magic 2-2)

📌 Concept:

• Around 5% of football matches end 2-2.

• At kick-off, the price should be around 20.0, but it's usually 13.0-16.0 due to market expectations.

• M22 takes advantage of better odds later in the match for improved risk/reward.

🔎 Qualifying Criteria:

• The key is the score pattern:

  1. A team leads 1-0 (or 0-1).

  2. They fall behind 1-2 (or 2-1).

  3. This setup has a high probability of reaching 2-2, especially when in-play stats support a trade.

• The Live Stats Module (LSM) monitors matches and provides alerts when this score pattern appears.

• Home favorites chasing an equalizer are ideal—crowd support often influences late goals.

• Away underdogs sometimes equalize but tend to have longer losing runs, making it tougher for new traders to manage losses.

📈 Entering the Trade:

• Trades are entered late in the game (from 80 minutes onwards).

• If early goals occur, the LSM waits until 70 minutes before showing alerts—giving time for research.

• Two trade positions:

  1. Lay 'Under 3.5 Goals' in the Over/Under 3.5 Goals market at a maximum price of 2.00.

  2. Back 'The Draw' in the Match Odds market.

• Important: Wait for first position to be matched before backing the draw—this prevents risk if a quick goal makes the score 3-1 or 1-3.

⚡ After a Goal is Scored:

• If the wrong team scores (making it 3-1/1-3), the trade ends at scratch.

• If the score reaches 2-2, traders can either:

  • Do nothing and let the trade run.

  • Lay 'The Draw' to secure profits even if another goal is scored.

• Once the fourth goal goes in, the trade cannot lose.

📊 Example Trade:

• Cracovia Krakow vs. Widzew Lodz (Polish Ekstraklasa)

  • Cracovia took the lead, then fell 1-2 behind.

  • LSM alert at 86 minutes—match qualified under M22.

  • Mid-table teams tend to score and concede, ensuring great risk/reward.

  • Cracovia had been dominant in the second half but conceded unexpectedly.

  • Aggressive attacking substitutions indicated they would push hard for an equalizer.

  • Trade placed:

    • Layed 'Under 3.5 Goals' at 1.32 with £25.51 stake.

    • Backed 'The Draw' at 7.20 with £11.84 stake.

  • Outcome: Cracovia equalized late, securing £89.27 profit.