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The level of economic activity
Natural fluctuations of GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) indicates level of economic activity
GDP
•Gross (total value)
•Domestic (within country)
Product (final goods and services, undergoing no further production)
Expansion Describe
Increase in consumer confidence and demand
Expansion explain
Willing to pay higher prices because full employment and wage growth
High = +4%
Expansion leads to
Business higher sales revenue
Higher profit margins
DUE TO: ability to charge higher prices
Contraction Describe
Decrease in consumer spending and confidence.
Minimal price rises (eg petrol)
Below 2%
Contraction explain
Consumer fear loss of jobs during a contraction- casual hours reduced, and layoff may occur as sales decline in business
What influences spending
Business – spending more on wages and increase production
Consumers – higher disposable income = luxury products
Interest rates
cost of borrowing money
Expansion interest rates
RBA uses to slow economy
As interest rates increase rents and mortgage repayment increase (housing necessity/need)
People have less discretionary spending
Contraction interest rates
RBA uses to encourage spending.
As interest rates decrease rents and mortgage repayment decrease (housing necessity/need)
People have more money left for discretionary spending.
Unemployment
% of labour force ready and looking to work
Expansion affecting unemployment
workers needed for increase production
Fewer people without jobs
Low below 4%
CONTRACTION affecting unemployment
Workers lose jobs as production slows.
High above 6%
if economic activity is strong (expansion), people will feel
secure in their jobs and believe they will have stable income.
If economic spending is high this increases confidence =
higher levels of spending.
during expansion Consumers are more likely to use debt for major purchases because
because they are confident, they will be able to pay it off.
During expansion Consumers are more likely to purchase more
Luxury items
If the economy is weak (contraction),
people will be worried about their jobs and part-time and casual workers may have their work hours reduced.
During contraction consumers less confident =
reduced spending
during contraction consumers are more likely to
purchase cheaper items
During contraction consumers are more likely to focus on
needs rather than wants.