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Organizational Behavior
systematic study and application of knowledge about how people and groups act within organizations
Goal of OB
understand and predict how people will behave
Decision Making
Making choices among alternative courses of action, including inaction
Why study decision making?
Decisions affect lives of others and change course of an organization
Decision Making Models/Theories List
1. Rational
2. Intuitive
3. Bounded Rationality
Rational Decision Making Theory
a series of steps if goal is to maximize outcome and make the best choice
What are the steps to Rational Decision Making Theory (8)
1. Identify the problem
2. Establish decision criteria
3. Weigh decision criteria
4. Generate alternatives
5. Evaluate the alternatives
6. Choose the best alternative
7. implement the decision
8. Evaluate the decision
What are advantages of the Rational Decision Making Theory?
(1) Establishes decision criteria
(2) Generates alternatives
What is decision criteria?
a set of parameters against which potential options will be evaluated
What are alternatives
the possible solutions to a problem in the decision making process
What are assumption in the Rational Decision Making Theory
1. People completely understand decisions to be made
2. People know all available choice
3. People have no biases
4. People want to make optimal decision
Do people use the rational decision making model?
Nope, they use a consequential model (evaluate the consequences)
Why do people not use the rational decision making model?
(1) Too much info and (2) too many choices can lead to analysis paralysis
What is the Intuitive decision making model?
arriving at a decision without conscious reasoning
Why use the intuitive decision making model?
B/c when influenced by time pressures, constraints, uncertainty, and changing conditions it is difficult to use rational decision making model
What process does the intuitive decision making model use?
Assessing only one option at a time
What is bounded rationality decision making theory?
recognizing limitations of decision making process
What process does bounded rationality use?
Satisficing
what is Satisficing
finding the first acceptable alternative "good enough" based on limiting options to a manageable set
Why is bounded rationality more commonly used?
Decision maker saves cognitive time and effort by accepting first choice that meets minimum threshold
What are heuristics
mental short cut or rules of thumb to make decisions quickly (anticipating outcomes)
What is a consequence of heuristics?
overreliance on heuristics can lead to predictable cognitive biases
what are cognitive biases?
errors in perception that lead to faulty decision making
what is bias?
tendency for people to over- or under- estimate the true parameter
what are the types of bias? (list)
1. availability bias
2. conjunction fallacy
3. representative bias
4. anchoring & adjustment bias
5. framing bias
6. confirmation bias
7. escalation of commitment bias
8. hindsight bias
9. correlation and causality bias
what is availability bias?
situation in which information that is more readily available is viewed as more likely to occur
what can influence availability bias?
Events that are emotional, vivid, or more easily imagined also tend to be more available in our memory
what is conjunction fallacy
people inaccurately judge that 2+ events are more likely to happen at once than one event
what is representative bias
tendency to assess an event as more likely to occur based on our own stereotypes
what influences representative bias
Largely based on one's own personal experience or familiarity with a situation
what is a consequence of representative bias?
People tend to disregard or ignore potentially relevant info (sample sizes, base rates, etc.)
what is anchoring & adjustment bias
tendency to rely too heavily on an initial figure and failing to adjust sufficiently
what can cause anchoring & adjustment bias?
Occurs even when numbers are arbitrary or irrelevant
why does anchoring & adjustment bias occur?
People are not good at perceiving things in absolute terms. Better at sensing relative terms
what is framing bias
tendency to be influenced by the way that problems are presented
what causes framing bias?
loss aversion: people are more sensitive to losses than wins
why does loss aversion happen?
When propositions are framed as losses, people engage in riskier behavior to avoid the pain of dealing with a loss
what is confirmation bias
tendency to process and analyze info that supports one's preexisting ideas or beliefs
why does confirmation bias occur?
People tend to be ego-affirming and see what they want to see, not seek out discomforting info or evidence to the contrary
What are remedies to bias?
Awareness and training, think from a 3rd person pov, and play devil’s advocate
what is awareness and training
gaining different experiences over time can help you become less susceptible to cognitive biases
what are methods of awareness and training
.
What is the key takeways for the rational decision making model
best for important, long-term decisions
What is the key takeways for the intuitive decision making model
best for when analysis paralysis would be costly
What is the key takeways for the bounded rationality decision making model
Best for when minimum criteria are clear and you are not trying to maximize outcome
what is the key takeaway for heuristics
Heuristics can save people cognitive time and effort
what is the key takeaway for bias
heuristics can result in biases and faulty decision making, which can be predictable and avoidable.
what is escalation of commitment bias
When people continue on a failing course of action after info reveals this may be a poor path to follow
why does escalation of commitment bias occur
Occurs because people do not want to admit they were wrong
Desire to save face and preserve reputation
what is sunk cost fallacy
people are reluctant to abandon decisions they've already invested significant time, resources, or energy into
what is hindsight bias
When people look at the past and judge a mistake that was made as if it should have been recognized in the moment
Why does Hindsight bias happen
1) Once we know the outcome, it is harder to imagine how much someone would have acted without knowledge
2) It is easier to pass judgement and conclude something should have been obvious after the fact
what is correlation & causality bias
When people confuse an association or connection between two events as a "cause and effect" relationship
People mistakenly believe "because X, therefore Y"
What is an example of correlation & causality bias
fire trucks and fires
what is perception
Process of how people detect and interpret environmental stimuli
how are perceptions impacted?
by biases which causes people to pay selective attention to some aspects or ignore other elements
what is the disconnect with perception
People tend to perceive themselves and others very differently
what is self-enhancement bias
people tendency to see themselves more positively than others do
what can self enhancement bias lead to?
When we perceive ourselves, we are subject to the false consensus error
We often overestimate how similar we are to other people
what is overconfidence bias
People have the tendency to overestimate their abilities (and even luck) to predict future events
what can overconfidence bias lead to? (list)
Planning fallacy and Endowment Effect
what is planning fallacy
People often underestimate the amount of time they will need to complete a task
planning fallacy occurs regardless of what
individual's knowledge or familarity with task at hand
what is endowment effect
Tendency for people to value something they own at a higher value than its market value
what is social perception
How we perceive others or form impressions directly influences how we treat or behave toward them
what does social perception led to?
attention to parts of the environment while ignoring other parts when perceiving others
what are types of selective attention? (list)
First impressions
Halo effect
Stereotypes
what are first impressions
Initial thoughts about people tend to be stable and have a lasting impact
what is the halo effect
Tendency for people to form an overall positive impression of someone based on a single characteristic or trait
what is the horns effect
Forming an overall negative impression of someone based on a single characteristic or trait
what is a stereotype
Generalizations based on a perceived characteristic (either positive, negative or neutral)
what can stereotypes become?
discriminatory when people generalize from a group to a particular person
what influences sterotypes? (one term)
selective perception
what is selective perception
Info that goes against our beliefs is seen as an "exception to the rule" and tends to get discounted
what is a self-fulfilling prophecy
Cycle that occurs when people believe a stereotype is accurate, leading to behavior that confirms the stereotype
what are attributions
Casual explanation we give for an observed behavior
what are the types of attributions (list)
internal and external attributions
what are internal attributions
explaining someone's behavior using their internal characteristics
"That's just how she is"
what are external attributions
explaining someone's behavior using the environment or situation
"that seems out of character for her"
"it must be the situation, not the person"
what are the types of attribution dimensions?
consensus
distinctiveness
consistency
what is consensus
do other people behave the same way?
what is distinctiveness
does this person behave the same way across different situations?
what does high consensus mean
everyone else behaviors this way
what does low consensus mean
no one else behaves this way
what does high distinctiveness mean
this person does not usually behave in this way in other situations
what does low distinctiveness mean
this person usually behaves this way in other situations
what is consistency
has this person behaved this way before in the same situation?
what is high consistency
every time this person is in this situation, they act this way
what is low consistency
this person does not usually behave this way in this situation
what are the fundamental attribution errors (list)
self-attribution and social attribution
What does self-attribution mean?
It refers to how individuals explain their own successes and failures.
In self-attribution, who gets credit for a positive outcome?
Yourself (internal attribution)
In self-attribution, who gets blame for a negative outcome?
Others but you (external attribution)
What does social attribution mean?
how individuals explain the causes of behavior and outcomes in social contexts (of others)
In social attribution, who gets credit for a positive outcome for a friend?
Not the friend (internal attribution).
In social attribution, who gets blamed for a negative outcome for a friend?
The friend (external attribution).
what is the key takeaway for self perception
people tend to be self-serving and ego-affirming
what is the key takeaway for social perception
people tend to be harsher and do not give people the benefit of the doubt
what is the key takeaway for attribution
We tend to prefer simple explanations for people's behaviors and default ot internal attributions about others' behaviors
what is the attribution dimensions of internal attributions?
Consensus L distinctiveness L consistency H