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Story of Reindeers (St. Matthew Island, Alaska)
29 reindeers released on island (1944)
David Klein visited island-counted 1350 (1957)
Klein counted (1962) population to be 6000.
Recounted (1966) found 42 reindeer left. (1 male, rest female 2yr+)
The logistic Growth Model
Only the model takes into consideration the effects of the environment on population growth (differs from geometric and exponential)
*Not constant with population size (density).
density dependent model
Carry Capacity (K)
The number of individuals of a particular species that an environment can support. Population size at which growth stops or needs to stabilize.
Consequences of Carry Capacity
N«K, population can show exponential growth (r>>0)
N starts to approach K, population grows slowly until it reaches a plateau/equilibrium.
N=K (birth rate equals mortality rate)(r=0)
N=(1/2)K
Equation (carry capacity)
dN/dt = r/N (1-N/K)
Stages of logistic growth
1) Lag phase
2) Exponential growth phase
3) Deceleration phase
4) Equilibrium phase
For sigmoidal curve (logistic Growth). Growth equation
N=K/(1+((K-N0)/N0)e-rt
Assumption to exponential and logistic growth models
Population size are instantaneous.
usually there is a lag in population
Time lag equation (𝜏)
(𝜏)=1/r
Determine “trajectory dynamics” of N around K as follows
𝜏 between 0-0.37: population grows accordance with logistiic growth curve: reaching K.
𝜏 between 0.37-1.57: damped oscillations around K
𝜏 1.57 or higher: stable limit cycles, population continually oscillates about K (never remains at K).