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Overconfidence
Thinking we know more than we do
Hindsight bias
“I-knew-it-all-along” phenomenon
Experiment
Observing factors’ affect on behavior/mental processes
Population
All cases in a group, sample drawn for study
random sample
Fairest representation of the population
Convenience sample
More convenient for scientist
Random assignment
Experimental/control conditions by chance; reduce experimenter bias
Correlational methods
Study behaviors as they are (case studies)
Scientific method:
Hypothesis, experiment, conclusion
Descriptive research
Observation/record behavior
Correlational research
Natural relationships
experimental research
cause and effect
Case study
Deep dive into one person/situation
Survey
Self-reported attitudes/opinions/behaviors
Naturalistic observation
No control/interaction just observation in natural environment
Independent variable
The factor that is manipulated
Dependent variable
The factor that is measured
Extraneous variable
Any variable that can influence the dependent variable and create bias
Confounding variable
Has an unwanted effect on the dependent variable
Experimental group
group exposed to the independent variable
Control group
Group not exposed to the independent variable
Placebo
Inert substance that is in place of the independent variable in the control group
Stratified sampling
Sample represents the population on some criteria
Experimenter bias
Unconscious bias to confirm hypothesis
Double-blind procedure
eliminates experimenter bias and placebo
Hawthorne effect
people behave differently when being watched
Central tendency
Mean, median, mode
Variation
Range, standard deviation
Inferential statistics
Estimating what’s happening in a sample population for the purpose of making decisions about that population’s characteristics.
Statistical significance
Difference between two groups is probably not due to chance; indicates real difference
“Null” Hypothesis
Independent variable had no effect on dependent variable
Generalizability
create a generalization from sample to make a conclusion about the population
Correlation
how well does A predict B?
Correlation coefficient
Statistical measure of the extent two factors vary together, thus how well either factor predicts the other
Golden rule
Correlation does NOT imply causation!
Illusory correlations
Perceived nonexistent, correlation (superstition)
Ethics
Moral principles that govern a persons behavior or the conducting of an activity
Stanley Milgrim
Experiment on obedience
Approving an experiment
Must be approved by ethics board (American Psychology Association) and protect rights/welfare of humans and animals