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Demography
The study of population characteristics
Overpopulation
When the available resources cannot support the number of people
Density
total number of people
WHat do demographers look at?
How people are distributed by age, gender, occupation, fertility, health
3 Reasons Studying Population is Important
More people are alive at this time
World’s population increased at a faster rate during the 2nd half of the 20th century than ever before
Virtually all global population growth is concentration in developed countries
Ecumeme
The portion of the Earth’s surface occupied by the permanent human settlement increased over time, ¾ of the world population lives on only 5% of the Earth’s surf
Census
Complete enumeration of a population
2 Reasons why a Census is controversial
Nonparticipation - homeless, certain minorities, and immigrants wont participate
Sampling - statistical sampling techniques not used enough
Densely population regions
Low lands, fertile soil, temperate climate
Sparsely population Regions
dry lands, wet lands, high lands, cold lands
Where are 2/3 of the world’s population concentrated?
East Asia
South Asia
Europe
Southeast Asia
What are the other clusters
Northeastern US
Southeastern Canada
Parts of Africa along the Atlantic
Dry lands
Areas too try for farming cover 20% of the Earth’s surface, therefore the ability to grow enough food to sustain a large population doesn’t exist
Wet lands
Areas that receive excessive amounts of rainfall (near the equator). Combinations of heat/water quickly deplete the soil of nurtients and make farming hard
Cold Lands
Land near poles that's hard to sustain between temps/permafrost/lack of animals
High lands
Too high, steep, and cold for people to live in
0 AD
250 millions people
1803 AD
1 billion people
1903 AD
1.6 billion people
1950 AD
3 billion people
1987 AD
5 billion people
1998 AD
6 billion people
Stage 1
High stationary
high death/birth rate
small total population
Examples of stage 1
remote groups
Stage 1 natural increase
Stable or slow
Stage 1 reasons for death rate
Disease, famine, poor medical knowledge
Stage 2
Early expanding
high birth rate
low death rate
Stage 2 natural increase
rapid increase
Stage 2 reasons for death rate
Improvements in medical care and sanitation
Example of stage 2
Egypt, Kenya, India
Stage 3
Late expanding
decreasing birth rate
decreasing death rate
Stage 3 natural inrease
Falls more slowly
Examples of stage 3
Brazil
Station 4
Low stationary
low birth rate
low death rate
Stage 4 natural increase
stable or low increase
Examples of stage 4
USA, Japan, France, UK
Stage 5
Declining
VERY low birth rate
low death rate
Stage 5 natural increase
slow decrease
Examples of stage 5
Germany
CBR
Crude birth rate
Crude Birth Rate
the total # of live births a year of revert 1,000 people alive in the society
CDR
Crude Death Rate
Crude Death Rate
The total # of deaths in a year for every 1,000 people alive in the society
NIR
Natural Increase Rate
Natural increase rate
the percentage of growth of population in a year, computed as the CBR minus the CDR
doesn't include migration
usually measured in percentages
TFR
Total Fertility Rate
Total Fertility Rate
The average # of children a women will have throughout her childbearing years
IMR
Infant Mortality rate
Infant Mortality Rate
annual number of deaths of infants under age 1, compared to total live births
Doubling Time
the # of years needed to double a population, assuming a constant rate of natural increase
Life Expectancy
the average # of years an individual can be expected to live, iven current social, economic, and medical conditions
#1 country with highest population
China
#2 country with highest population
India
#3 country with highest population
USA
#4 country with highest population
Indonesia
#5 country with highest population
Brazil
#6 country with highest population
Pakistan
#7 country with highest population
Nigeria
#8 country with highest population
Bangladesh
#9 country with highest population
Russia
#10 country with highest population
Japan
Population Pyramid
graph that shows the age-sex distribution of a given population
Sex
On the left/right sides of the pyramid
Age
On the y axis
Cohort
Each age grouping
Dependency Ration
the # of people who are too young/old to work, compared to he # of people in their productive years
Dependents
0-14 or 65+
Workers
15-64
Sex Ratio
number of males per hundred females
Europe/North America Sex ratio
95:100
Rest of world sex ratio
102:100
Sex ratio - developing countried
have large # of young people and lower percents of older people
Arithmetic Density
total number of people / area of land measured in km2 or mi2
Physiological density
number of people per / unit of area of arable land
Agricultural Density
number of farmers / total amount of land suitable for agriculture
Agricultural Revolution
10,000 BC
Thomas Malthus (1766-1834 England)
Felt pop was growing too fast for our resources. Believed we needed to practice moral restraint to lower CBR or have a disaster to increase CDR
Critics of Malthus
resources aren't fixed, possibilism and technology oleads to more resources
lack of food is due to distribution of wealth
pop growth stimulates the economy
Karl Marx
overpopulation is the product of capitalization and unjustsocial/economic institutions, not pop growth
Esther Boserup
pop growth supports technological innovation
Julian Simon
ultimate resource is the human mind
Reality
Malthus’s theory has been proven false. Pop has grown rapidly but world food production has grown at a faster rate
Neo-Malthusians
many countries experiencing population growth due to transfer of medical tech
new pop is stripping world of resources
Result of pop > food supply
war
scarcity of food
scarcity of farmland
scarcity of clean air
Stage 1 - Pestilence and Famine
Characteristics - high mortality rates, low life expectancy (30-40)
Causes of Death - Infectious diseases, malnutrition, famine
Population Impact - deaths occur at all ages, slow pop growth
Stage 2 - Receding Pandemics
Characteristics - mortality rates begin to fall due to improvements in sanitation, nutrition, meds
Causes of Death - Epidemics occur less
Pop Impact - life expectancy raises to 50, pop growth speeds up
Stage 3 - Degenerative and Man-Made Diseases
Characteristics - less death from diseases
Causes of death - heart diseases, cancer, diabetes, lifestyle related issues
Pop Impact - life expectancy increases to 60+ years, pop growth rate slows down
Stage 4 - Delayed Degenerative Diseases
Characteristics - deaths from degenerative diseases are delayed
Causes of Death - Similar to stage 3, treatment prolongs life
Pop Impact - life expectancy raises to 70+, stable pop growth
Stage 5 - Reemergence of infections Diseases
Characteristics - reemergence of infectious diseases due to antibiotics resistance, globalization, urbanization
Causes of Death - Infectious diseases return with degenerative diseases
Pop Impact - life expectancy may slightly decline