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GDP
The monetary value of all final goods produced by an economy in a given time period
GDP measurements
Output → value added
Income → wages, profits
Expenditure → changes in inventories, gov. expenditures, intl. trade
GDP = C + I + II + G + (X-M)
C → by household on consumer goods and services
I → gov. investment in: bachinery, buildings, housing
II → firms on changes in inventories
G → gov. on goods and services
X → exports
M → imports
GDP does not include
leisure time, quality of social and physical environment, inequality, depletion of resources, household or volunteer work
Purchasing Power Parity
to compare various countries → expression in the same currency
using PPP exchange rate
PPP exchange rate
rate at which the currency of one country would have to be converted into that of another to purchase the same amount of goods and services in each country
nominal GDP
good’s prices sold in year T are multiplied by quantities sold in year T
princes and quantities in the same year
current prices
real GDP
estimate the nominal GDP
pick a base year
analysis of GDP growth across years across countries
adjusts for inflation thus the base-year
nominal GDP
actual amount of money in a given currency received by worker as a payment for work
Consumer Price Index
metric tracking the total price of shopping basket containing goods&services commonly purchased by goods
Recession
significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts for more than a few months
Central Bank
manages the money supply and interests rates
Monetary Policies
how a country’s bank manages the money supply and interest rates to influence the economy
Expansionary monetary policies
have a positive effect on GDP
Tend to decrease unemployment and/or increase wages through a higher demand for labour
Policies used during economic downs or recessions
decrease in interest rates
Expansionary monetary policy example from the European Central Bank
Interest rate historically low during COVID-19
easier for people and companies to borrow money supporting spending and investment
Additionally:
Bought bonds from private banks → more funds for banks to lend to businesses and households
Bought bonds from the companies → additional source of profit
Make it easier for the banks to borrow from the ECB
Fiscal policies
How government uses spending and taxation to influence the economy
Expansionary fiscal policies
increasing government spending or decreasing taxes
Example of expansionary fiscal policy
Fiscal stimulus packages like COVID-19
increased investments in R&D, innovation, infrastructure, digitalisation, climate
+ public expenditure + investment + consumption = job creation
Additionally:
job training and upskilling
job search assistance
subsidized employment
unemployment benefits
Inflation
general increase of prices in an economy
Contractionary monetary policies
have a negative impact on the GDP
tend to increase unemployment and/or lower wages
Decrease in demand for labour
Tend to slow down the inflation
Example of contractionary monetary policies by European Central Bank
Before 09’/09’ economic crisis → strong economic growth in Europe, prices were rising
ECB increased interest rates several times between 2005-2008