Chapter 13

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1

sales and operations planning

determine the resource and production levels needed to meet demand over a specified time horizon

matches supply and demand at both aggregate and individual product levels
aggregate refers to major groups of products

objectives: establish a company-wide game plan for allocating resources and develop a cost-efficient strategy for meeting demand

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2

sales and operations planning activities overview

sales and operations planning was coined by companies to refer to aggregate planning
captures the importance of cross-functional work
aggregation on the supply side is by product families, and on the demand side by customer groups

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3

competing objectives

sales: aggregate forecasts, many product variations, rapid response, high service, maximize revenue
operations: detailed forecasts, few product variations, long production runs, stable production schedules, maximize output, minimize costs

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4

benefits of sales and operations planning

better organizational teamwork
faster and better-aligned decision-making
greater accountability for performance
better business visibility

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5

s&op process

a structured approach to balancing supply and demand

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6

aggregate production planning

balances production, inventory, resources, and demand
specifies production rates, inventory, employment levels, backlogs, possible subcontracting, and other resources needed to meet the sales plan

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7

aggregate production planning costs

holding inventory: cost of having inventory on hand
regular production: cost of average labor and benefits
overtime: cost of working more hours than standard
hiring: cost of finding, acquiring, and training new employees
fire/layoff: cost of separation packages
backorder/lost sales: cost of expediting supply and lost goodwill
subcontracting: cost per unit and loss of control

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8

aggregate planning strategies - level

produce at a constant rate and use changing inventory levels to buffer supply and demand

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9

creating a level aggregate plan

p = level production rate
di = demand in period i
ei = desired ending inventory level
bi = beginning inventory
n = number of planning periods

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10

aggregate planning strategies - chase

change production to match demand, inventory remains relatively stable and low

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11

aggregate planning strategies - chase methods

hire and fire employees: produce all units internally by hiring in high-demand months and firing in low-demand months
use overtime: produce the required quantity in the lowest-demand month and use overtime to meet other months' demand
subcontract: produce the required quantity in the lowest-demand month and use subcontracting for other months

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12

aggregate planning strategies - hybrid

combination of level and chase strategies

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13

real companies using sales and operations planning

disney world: a master at forecasting aggregate demand
welch’s: uses an s&op model for primary production facilities

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14

example - the good and rich candy company

produces chocolate candies with seasonal demand peaks in winter and valleys in summer
goal: determine whether level production or chase strategy is more economical

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15

example - forecasted demand for chocolate candies

spring: 80,000 lb
summer: 50,000 lb
fall: 120,000 lb
winter: 150,000 lb
hiring cost: $100 per worker
firing cost: $500 per worker
regular production cost: $2 per pound
inventory carrying cost: $0.50 per pound per quarter
production per employee: 1,000 pounds per quarter
beginning workforce: 100 workers
beginning inventory: 0

level production = (80,000 + 50,000 + 120,000 + 150,000) / 4 = 100,000 pounds per quarter
cost = (400,000 x $2) + (140,000 x $0.50) = $870,000

chase demand calculation
cost = (400,000 x $2) + (100 x $100) + (50 x $500) = $835,000

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16

initial step - level production strategy

calculate constant output rate
average demand over the planning horizon

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17

initial step - chase strategy

determine required workforce size

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18

practical considerations - advantages

reduces the cost of preparing detailed forecasts and individual item productivity assessments
aids production planners
allows management to see the big picture

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19

practical considerations - disadvantages

difficulty in defining an aggregate unit of production
rarely reflects political and operational realities

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20

sales and operations planning summary

balancing supply and demand is difficult
s&op is a cross-functional process
a sales and operations plan will either influence demand to match supply or match supply to demand
s&op must be a dynamic, responsive process
multiple costs must be considered
three basic strategies: level, chase, and hybrid
services use yield management

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