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USD/EUR = 1.165 means
I euro costs 1.165 USD
Bid - Ask means
Bid is buy, Ask is sell
USD/EUR bid ask spread is 1.1648/1.1652 means
The dealer is willing to buy 1.1648 USD for 1 EUR; Sell 1 EUR for 1.1652 USD
Bid and Ask, which one is always higher
Ask, buy low sell high
Central bank or dealer, whose spread is wider
dealer; think about it like retail profit vs wholesale profit
What is the logic behind triangular arbitrage
dealer’s bid can not be higher than central bank offer. Basically if dealer is paying more for what the whole sale market is selling, there is profit to be made
If I have base currency and I want price currency, should I use bid or ask price?
Bid price, because I am selling, I need the price for what is the dealer buying for
When foreign risk free rate is higher than domestic risk free rate, which currency will trade at forward premium
he currency with the higher risk-free rate will trade at a forward discount
What is the value of a forward contract at initiation
0
Does the forward contract value change immediately after initiation
yes, as interest rate and exchange rate changes
What is all in forward rate
sum of spot rate and the scaled forward points
The expected depreciation of for example USD (decline in JPY/USD) is equal
interest rate differential between US and Japan
UIRP, the expected change in exchange rates between two currencies equals
the interest rate differential between them
Does the UIRP assumes investors are willing to take exchange rate risk ?
The parity is "uncovered" because it does not involve a forward contract (unhedged). Instead, it assumes investors are willing to take on exchange rate risk
what does forward rate parity assume
Forward exchange rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot exchange rate
does forward rate parity assume forward rate is a perfect forecast of future exchange rate ?
no, it just assume it is an unbiased one
When forward rate parity hold, what other parity holds
Forward rate parity is based on both CIRP and UCIP, both must hold for forward rate parity to hold
What is the main idea of purchasing power parity
Law of one price, this is about inflation
What is the change in exchange rate under purchasing power parity
change in exchange rate = inflation difference of two country
The Ex-Ante Version of PPP: country with persistent high inflation will see depreciation or appreciation of their currency
depreciation duh
if i am executing carry trade, do I think UCIP hold?
no, i am betting against it, to earn arbitrage profit
carry trade perform well in low or high volatility environment
low
if both covered and uncovered interest rate parity hold, future spot rate is most likely forecasted by the
forward exchange rate