3.1: Correlation and Variate Relationships

Two-Variable (Bi-Variate) Relationships

  • Explanatory variable: a variable that attempts to explain or influence observed outcomes
      * What is being used to make the prediction
      * Displayed on the x-axis
  • Response variable: a variable that measures some outcome
      * What is being predicted
      * Displayed on the y-axis
Describing Scatterplots and Bi-Variate Data: FUDS
  • Form: linear, curve, u-shape, etc.
  • Unusual Points: outliers, influential points
      * Outlier: a point with a large residual (usually decreases the correlation)
      * Influential: a point which draws the line toward it (usually increases the correlation)
  • Direction: positive or negative association (or neither)
      * Positive association—as one variable increases, so does the other
      * Negative association—as one variable increases, the other decreases
  • Strength: how closely the points follow the form
      * Strong, weak, moderately strong/weak
Residuals
  • Individual points with large residuals are outliers in the y direction because they lie far from the line that describes the overall pattern
  • Individual points that are extreme in the x direction may not have large residuals, but can be very important; such points are influential if removing them would markedly change the results of the calculation
Correlation (r)
  • Gives the direction and strength of a linear relationship
      * Does not imply causation
  • Makes no distinction between explanatory and response variables
      * Can switch x’s and y’s and they would still be correlated
  • Both variables must be quantitative
  • Standardized and will not change if we change/convert units of measurement from x, y, or both
  • r itself has no units
  • Positive r = positive association
      * Negative r = negative association
  • Correlation only measures strength and direction of linear relationships
  • -1 ≤ x ≤ 1 always
  • The closer r is to 1 or -1, the stronger the linear form
      * The closer r is to 0, the weaker the linear form and the more scattered the points are
  • r does not tell the whole story

Displaying Data

Two-Way Tables
  • Two-way table: a table that displays data for two categorical variables about the same group of individuals

 

  • Marginal distribution: the total for one categorical variable

 

  • The yellow box shows the marginal distribution for gender, and the purple box is the marginal distribution of opinions
  • Conditional distribution: the distribution within just one value of one variable
      * Often uses language of the probability of A “given” B
Segmented Bar Graphs
  • Also known as segmented bar charts

  • Segmented bar graph: a chart that displays categorical data as a percentage of the whole
      * Similar to a pie chart

 

Mosaic Plots
  • Mosaic plot: a segmented bar graph used to compare groups where the widths of the bars are proportional to the size of the groups
  • Mosaic plots of the same data from the previous section: