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False Consensus versus Overconfidence
False consensus makes us believe that our opinion is more popular but overconfidence makes us think that we are more correct than we actually are.
illusionary correlation
Perceiving a relationship when it isn't apparent. Correlation =/= causation. A correlation could be the cheese consumption to the amount of divorce in montana. Even if they follow a similar graph, they aren't caused by one another, they are simply correlated.
Belief Perserverance
Thinking that something is true even when proven false Ex: masks reduce the chance of spreading covid
Confirmation bias
Cherry-picking information.
functional fixedness
cognitive bias that limits someone's ability to think outside of the box (use an object that is used in a different way than it is used traditionally)
Theory versus hypothesis
Theories lead to hypotheses.
Case study
looking closely at a small group or individual to determine a correlation
Pros: Good for rare and specific problems, you can see correlation easier
Cons: Can't generalize results, hard to replicate, expensive & time consuming
Naturalistic observation
To watch the participants and be present with them to form a correlation
Cons: Lack of controlled variables, unable to make causation, Hawthorne Bias (people change when being knowing that they're being watched)
Survey
A questionnaire used to get data and form a correlation
Pros: Can detect correlations easliy and swiftly
Cons: hard to avoid framing (the argentian and river survey)
Experiments
controlling all variables but one and measuring the effects of that variable
Fixation
the inability to see a problem from a new perspective
Mental set
To approach a situation the same way you've done in the past
Representative Vs Availability Heuristic
Availabity Heuristic is how judging how likely something is based off of out memory
Representative Heuristic is jduinging the likely hood of events in terms of how they match our prototypes
Concepts
A mental grouping of similar things (Categorization)
Random Sample
a sample that fairly represents a population because each member has an equal chance of inclusion
Random assignment
assigning participants to experimental and control conditions by chance, thus minimizing preexisting differences between those assigned to the different groups
P
Represents the accuracy of an experiment by calculating the chances of an outside factor. If P
R
correlation coefficient, how closely related are these two variables. the closer each is to 1 or -1 is how correlated they are
Aptitude versus Achievement
Aptitude: Measures the probability you are going to succeed
Ex: SAT
Achievement: Measures how much you know from your past learning
Ex: This test I'm studying for right now
Principals of Test Construction
1) Standardization
Involves pretesting a representative sample of people and forming a normal distribution (test scores)
2) Reliability
When a test yields consistent results again and again
3) Validity
When it measures what it is supposed to
(Ex: A reading test shouldn't be given out to measure math level)
types of Validity
Content validity:
How a test measures a behavior/trait of interest
Ex: Driving test that samples driving tasks)
Refers to the success of a test predicting a particular behavior or trait it is designed to predict in the future
Ex: Behavior(College grades) that a test (SAT) is designed to predict