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top-down transition
the dictatorial ruling elite introduces liberalizing reforms that ultimately lead to a democratic transition
collective action problem
individual members of a group often have little incentive to contribute to the provision of a public good that will benefit all members of the group
public good
non-excludable and non-rival in consumption (e.g. clean air, a lighthouse, democracy)
free-rider problem
same as collective action problem
preference falsification
not revealing one’s true preferences in public
revolutionary threshold
the size of the protest at which an individual is willing to participate
revolutionary cascade
when one person’s participation triggers the participation of another, which triggers the participation of another, and so on
selectorate theory
characterizes all governments by their location in a two dimensional institutional space—the size of the selectorate and winning coalition
tipping model
an individual must choose whether to publicly support or oppose the dictatorship
monarchy
an autocracy in which the executive comes to and maintains power on the basis of family and kin networks
military dictatorship
an autocracy in which the executive relies on the armed forces to come to and stay in power; often ruled by a committee or junta
civilian dictatorship
head of government is not a current or past member of the armed forces or from a family and kin network
dominant-party dictatorship
one party dominates office and control over policy, though other parties may exist and compete in elections
personalistic dictatorship
the leader controls all policy decisions and selection of regime personnel
hegemonic electoral regime
the leader’s party routinely wins with overwhelming majorities
competitive authoritarian regime
opposition parties win substantial minorities
dictator’s dilemma
he relies on repression to stay in power, but this repression creates incentives for everyone to falsify their preferences so that the dictator never knows his true level of societal support
personality cult
alter the beliefs of the citizenry and help the leader hold onto power
Condorcet paradox
a set of rational individuals may not act rationally when they act as a group
Borda count
a candidate-centered electoral system used in either single- or multimember districts in which voters must use numbers to mark their preferences for all of the nominated candidates. These preferences are then assigned a value using equal steps to reflect the voters’ preference ordering. These values are then summed, and the candidates with the most “valuable” votes is (are) elected.
reversal paradox
a situation where a trend observed in several different groups of data disappears or reverses when the groups are combined; can lead to misleading or counterintuitive conclusions about voter behavior, policy support, or electoral outcomes.
sincere voting
actors will vote for their most preferred option
median voter theorem
proposal matching the ideal point of the median voter will defeat all other alternatives if there is/are two alternatives, one dimension, odd number of voters, single-peaked preferences, and sincere voting
single-peaked preferences
characterized by a utility function that reaches a maximum at some point and slopes away from this maximum on either side, such that a movement away from the maximum never raises the actor’s utility
Chaos theorem
if there are two or more dimensions and three or more voters voting sincerely there will be no Condorcet winner
Arrow’s theorem
every decision-making process that we could possibly design must sacrifice at least one of Arrow’s fairness conditions— nondictatorship, universal admissibility, unanimity, or independence from irrelevant alternatives— if it is to guarantee group transitivity and hence stable outcomes
vote of no confidence
initiated by the legislature; if the government does not obtain a legislative majority in this vote, it must resign
constructive vote of no confidence
must indicate who will replace the government if the incumbent loses a vote of no confidence
legislative responsibility
a situation in which a legislative majority has the constitutional power— a vote of no confidence— to remove a government from office without cause
investiture vote
a formal vote in the legislature to determine whether a proposed government can take office
formateur
the person designated to form the government in a parliamentary regime; often the PM designate
informateur
examines politically feasible coalitions and nominates a formateur
minimal winning coalition
there are no parties that are not required to control a legislative majority
least minimal winning coalition
the MWC with the lowest number of surplus seats
Gamson’s law
states that cabinet portfolios will be distributed among government parties in strict proportion to the number of seats that each party contributes to the government’s legislative majority
policy-seeking politician
only wants to shape policy
connected coalition
the member parties are located directly next to each other in the policy space
minority government
the governmental parties do not together command a majority of legislative seats
electoral system
a set of laws that regulate electoral competition between candidates or parties or both
electoral formula
determines how votes are translated into seats
district magnitude
the number of representatives elected in a district
ballot structure
how electoral choices are presented on the ballot paper
alternative vote
used in single-member districts, an electoral system in which voters mark their preferences by rank ordering the candidates. A candidate who receives an absolute majority is elected. If no candidate wins an absolute majority, then the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated, and her votes are reallocated until one candidate has an absolute majority of the valid votes remaining
two-round system
candidates or parties are automatically elected in the first round if they obtain a specified level of votes, typically an absolute majority. Those candidates or parties that win the most votes in the second round are elected.
proportional representation
a quota- or divisor-based electoral system employed in multimember districts
electoral threshold
the minimum level of support a party needs to obtain representation
party system
distinguished by the number and size of the parties that they contain
whip
someone who ensures that party members attend legislative sessions and vote as the party leadership desires
nonpartisan democracy
a democracy with no official political parties
two-party system
only two major political parties have a realistic chance of holding power
multiparty system
more than two parties have a realistic chance of holding power
effective number of parties
a measure that captures both the number and the size of parties in a country
social cleavage
urban-rural cleavage, The Confessional cleavage, the secular-clerical cleavage, the class cleavage, the post-material cleavage, ethnic and linguistic cleavages