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Prognosis definition
A prediction as to the progress, course and outcome of an "even"
Prognosis (In dentistry)
A prediction as to the progress, course and outcome of a "disease/event"
Prognosis systems (Periodontal aspect)
Tooth Loss:
Good
Fair
Poor
Questionable
Hopeless
Periodontal Stability:
Favorable
Questionable
Unfavorable
Hopeless
Favorable
very likely after I treat this patient back to health
Questionable
I may or may not be able to bring this patient back to health
Unfavorable
Unlikely I am going to be able to bring this patient back to health
- Smoker patients
Hopeless
Unreasonable to treat (most likely extraction)
Systemic factors that may lead to unable to control perio outcomes
- Diabetes
- Smoking (hardest to control)
- Etc
Normal distance from the CEJ to the bone crest in normal conditions
1.5-2 mm
Example Hopeless prognosis (radiograph)
Nothing from a periodontal standpoint can bring that tooth back to stability

Main etiology of periodontal disease
Poor oral hygiene
Factors influencing prognosis: Individual Tooth prognosis

Factors influencing prognosis: Overall prognosis

Patient specific factors
Age
Disease severity
Plaque control
Compliance
Systemic/environmental factors
Systemic diseases/ conditions
Genetic factors
Stress
Smoking
Others
Anatomical-related factors
Root form
Cervical enamel projections
Enamel pearls
Bifurcation ridges
Root grooves/concavities
Root proximity
Furcation involvement
Tooth mobility
Local-contributing factors
Biofilm/calculus
Prothetic/restorative factors
Abutment selection
Caries
Non-viral teeth
Root resporption
Subgingival margins
Risk factor definition
The probability that an event will occur
Risk factor in health sciences
An aspect of personal behavior/lifestyle, an environmental exposure, and or an inborn/inherited characteristic which, on the basis of epidemiological evidence, is known to be associated with health-related conditions(s) considered important to prevent
Risk Assessment (Health sciences)
A systemic process of evaluating the potential risks that may be involved in a projected disease/event
Takeaway:
- Step by step process to predict event
Risk factors associated with periodontal disease
Scientific evidence:
- True risk factors
- Risk indicators
- Risk Determinants
- Risk Marker
Therapeutically-driven
- Modifiable factors
- Non-modifiable factors
True Risk factors defintion
An environmental, behavior, or biological factors confirmed by temporal sequence usually in longitudinal studies, which if present directly increase the probability of a disease occuring and if absent or removed reduces the probability. Once the disease occurs, removal of a risk factor may not result in a "cure"
True risk factors for periodontal disease
Smoking
"Keystone" pathogens
Diabetes
Risk indicators definition
Probable or putative environmental behavior or biological factors that have been identified in cross-sectional studies, but not confirmed through longitudinal studies.
Correlation between risk factor with condition can be deceptive
Risk Indicators for Periodontal Disease
Osteoporosis
HIV/AIDS
Obesity
Stress
Alcohol
Pregnancy
Risk Predictors/Markers definition
An attribute or exposure that is associated with increased probability of disease, but it is NOT necessarily a causal factor
Risk Predictors/markers for periodontal disease
Bleeding on Probing
Mobility
Gingival Recession
Previous periodontal disease
Rx bone loss
Risk determinant (demographic) definition
An attribute or exposure that cannot be modified
Risk Determinants for Periodontal disease
Age
Race/Ethnicity
Genetics
Risk Modifiers Definition
Factors that can change a person's risk level and/or progression of a disease
NOTE:
Any risk factor that can increase progression of a disease
- Smoking
- Diabetes
Treatment success depends on treating the ____ not the ____
person, disease
SUMMARY: Prognosis and risk assessment methods are not
sufficiently precise
SUMMARY: A myriad of risk factors (local contributing/ anatomical, patient-related, etc) can affect
the prognosis and used for risk assessment
SUMMARY: Types of risk factors
level of scientific evidence vs Modifiable/ non-modifiable
SUMMARY: Endpoints of prognosis systems
tooth loss vs periodontal stability