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Why was the fall of the Berlin Wall significant to globalization?
opened up new markets; enabled creation of EU and euro; countries now looked to the victors, the west, for their political and economic role model
Pros and cons of outsourcing/offshoring (Boeing example)
Pros: got them foreign clients, made them more efficient, cheaper
Cons: went too far and lost competency
What do those in favor of globalization say?
skilled jobs increase, outsourcing reduces costs, developing countries buy from developed, environmental standards rise, global institutes serve members, income per capita increasing
What do those opposed to globalization say?
good manufacturing jobs lost, wage rates compressed by global competition, trade deficits widen, environment degraded, global institutes control members, income gap widens
Political Systems
2 dimensions: individualism v. collectivism (state-owned communism); democratic v. totalitarian
Economic Systems
market (private businesses), mixed, command (state owned businesses)
What is IP and why is it important to global business?
intellectual property rights (patents, copyrights, TM, trade secrets) are important bc if rights are low, no one will want to do business there
Foreign Corrupt Practices Act
illegal to bribe foreign government official in order to obtain or maintain business over which foreign official has authority; can use grease payments
Relation of Political Economy and Economic Development (country examples)
Vietnam economic development has taken off after privitization, increased FDI, joining WTO and free trade agreements
Privitazation
the transfer of state-owned property to private ownership
Deregulation
The lifting of government restrictions on business, industry, and professional activities.
Acts 17:16-34 & Global Business
Paul takes what Athenians do well (religious fervor) and uses it to share the Gospel to them; he doesn't force his own way of thinking on them
Principles for Operating in Another Culture
1. understand and demonstrate your understanding of the culture
2. beware of your own biases when assessing a culture
3. get to know the person as well (don't stop at stereotype)
4. simply your communication
5. don't think of yourself more highly than you ought
Advice for Christian in Ethics in Business
1. ethical dilemmas are complex, seek info before making decision
2. start with Scripture
3. understand applicable standards and cultural norms
4. demonstrate leadership in areas that are in accordance with worldview
Matthew 25:38-46 & Global Business
as you did it to one of the least of these my brothers, you did it to Me
Standards for Ethical Decision Making
Floor of Social Protection
essential health care for all; income security for children, unemployed, elderly, disabled
Why is free trade controversial?
macro-gain, micro-pain (gains are nice til I close hometown factory); not always fair trade; globalist v. nationalist
Comparative Advantage
country should specialize in production of goods it produces most efficiently
Economies of Scale
the more you make, the cheaper it gets for you to do so
First Mover Advantage
advantages that accrue to early entrants into an industry
8 Instruments of Trade
import tariffs, export tarriffs/bans, subsidies, import quotas, voluntary export restraint, local content requirements, admin policies, antidumping duties
Import tariffs
winners: government
losers: importer
Export tariffs/bans
winners: domestic consumers
losers: domestic producers
Subsidies
winners: domestic producers and consumers
losers: domestic consumers
Import Quota
restriction on what can be imported
winners: domestic producers
losers: domestic consumers
Voluntary export restraints
quota on trade imposed by exporting country
winners: domestic consumers
losers: domestic importers and exporters
local content reqs
winners: domestic producers
losers: domestic producers, foreign producers
admin policies
rules designed to make importation difficult
winners: domestic producers
losers: domestic importers
antidumping duties
punishing firms for selling goods at lower prices abroad than they do @ home
Why do governments intervene in trade?
protect jobs, protect national security, retaliate, protect consumers, foreign policy, human rights
Why is FDI important to economic development of nation?
it is amount of foreign-owned assets in country; it is way of getting money into country without making it yourself
Maquiladoras
materials from US imported to FOREIGN OWNED factory in Mexico; goods transformed in Mexico are then exported back to US
5 Levels of economic integration
1. free trade area
2. customs union
3. common market
4. economic union
5. political union
Pros and cons of regional integration
pros: comparative advantage, increased FDI, freedom of movement, less risk of conflict, easier than global
cons: macro-gain micro-pain, national sovereignty, trade diversion forces countries to buy from specific country
Why was EU formed?
peace; maintain relevance compared to US, China, and Japan; potential economic benefits
Freedom of Movement
an citizen of an EU nation is a citizen of all EU nations and can thus move around Europe easier (no customs)
Benefits / drawbacks of Euro
benefits: just one stable currency; easier to compare and help each other
drawbacks: can't make own monetary policy; some EU nations stronger than others; have to help the homies
Why did citizens vote for Brexit?
surging immigration from eastern Europe, growing power of EU bureaucracy in Brussels, inability to make own trade deals
How is Brexit working out?
new customs; new regs on local content; slow border crossing; have to sign new trade agreements; loss of business investment; London no longer finance hub of Europe
NAFTA benefits / drawbacks for each country
benefits: MEX more jobs and FDI; US+CAN lower prices and increased competeablitity
drawbacks: MEX more pollution and loss of sovereignty; US+CAN job loss and declining wage levels
USMCA benefits / drawbacks for each country
benefits: more needs to come from NA and high-wage factory; increased access to dairy market; increased IP protection
drawbacks: trade diversions, higher cost to NorthAm producers, higher prices for consumers
Trade Diversion
occurs when you would have traded with someone if not for something political
Does USMCA result in trade diversion?
yes
Use of foreign exchange by global business
sometimes have to convert currency in trade; short-term investment; speculation (day trading currency)
How do you know if a currency is strengthening or weakening relative to another?
if it now takes MORE currency to equal the other, said currency is weakening
Why does a currency strengthen or weaken relative to another?
low interest rates lead to high inflation rates; if this is only going on in one country then we have a difference in strength
Spot Exchange
rate of exchange between 2 currencies at specific date/time
Forward Exchange
agreement on the rate of exchange at some point in the future
Currency Provision
we'll agree to this exchange rate within a margin of 5%, for example
What ails Turkiye?
high inflation has lead to weakening lira; no one wants weakening lira so Turkish importers have to convert to USD and they lose money
Money Supply and its relationship to foreign exchange
increasing the money supply often weakens the currency relative to currencies with stable amounts
Inflation and its relationship to foreign exchange
inflation leads to devalued currency
Interest Rates and its relationship to foreign exchange
interest rates have INVERSE effect on exchange rates
Transaction Risk
income from transactions are affected by fluctuations in foreign exchange values
Translation Risk
impact of currency exchange rate change shows up on the reported financial statements of a company
Argentina and relation between interest, inflation, money supply
interest rates were low; inflation then hitstagflation height which led to terrible exchange rate
Hedging the Thai Baht
Thai baht weakens to USD so US has to pay less for Thai products; Thai gov't recommends currency provisions like hedging against future exchange rate fluctuations
Floating Exchange Rate System
foreign exchange market determines the relative value of currency (US, EU, UK, JPN)
Pegged Exchange Rate System
value of currency is fixed to reference currency (like USD)
Managed-float
value of currency is allowed to float, but central bank will intervene if its beyond their liking
Fixed Exchange Rate
countries fix their currencies against each other (Europe pre-euro)
Dollarization
country utilizes foreign currency as its standard
Tight monetary policy
interest rates up, control money supply, spending slows, businesses contrast, risk recession
Loose monetary policy
interest rates down, money supply increases, spending quickens, businesses expand, risk inflation
What are conditions of IMF assistance?
public spending controls (reduce subsidies), higher interest rates, constrain money supply, change exchange rate policy to floating, increase taxes, deregulate and privitize
Why is Argentina considering dollarization?
better value, stronger, less volatile
Pakistan and the IMF
Pakistan has needed help 13 times since '80s; public debt, trade deficit, high inflation, weak currency; tried to fix it by propping rupee and buying it with USD, but now they have no USD for trade; IMF loaned them ~6.5 billion but with heavy conditions; Pakistan didn't follow
Airbus and the Euro
Airbus sells in USD but buys in euro; USD dropped in value so Airbus profit squeezed; they hedged currency, started buying in US, and forced European supplier to sell in USD, opened factory in Alabama
Business strats for currency management
hedge, manage transaction and translation exposure, establish production cites in different countries, outsource manufacturing across globe, include currency provisions
Who are biggest trade partners of US?
MEX, CHN, CAN, JPN, GER, VTN
What do biggest trade partners of US have in common?
big economies; they sell us more than they buy from us
What are main reasons for US trade deficit?
import a ton of computers and vehicles
What is reshoring, and what is the trend for it in the US?
bringing jobs back to the US has been increasing since 2010
Why does US want to change trading relationships?
feel like we're being taken advantage of and that we're no longer industrial power
Costa Rica
ton of FDI coming in bc high English literacy, education, and freedoms; good place but could be trending downward if corruption and violence left unchecked
Gemany
declining population; fertility rate below death rate; 3rd largest economy in world; inflation shot up from Russia closing pipeline; trade surplus; cars; politically free; good economic freedoms and IP protection
Ireland
super free; really market FDI, but since their labor isn't cheap, its mostly pass-through FDI; declining fertility rate as they develop; higher GDP PPP per capita than US; have lot of FDI bc only EU nation with English 1st language and closest to US
Mexico
heavily dependent on US; new tariffs could have bad effect on them; always had trade deficit this century except COVID