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net present value
present value of cash flows minus initial investments
opportunity cost of capital
expected rate of return given up by investing in a project
net present value rule
accept all projects with a positive net present value
internal rate of return (IRR)
discount rate at which NPV = 0. the rate of return generated by the cash flows and their timing
profitability index
ratio of net present value to initial investment
capital rationing
limit set on the amount of funds available for investments
soft rationing
limits on available funds imposed by management (picking one with the highest NPV)
hard rationing
limits on available funds imposed by the unavailability of funds in the capital market (credit rating too low so you can’t barrow anymore)
payback period
time until cash flows recover the initial investment of the project
payback rule
accept a project if its payback period is less than a specified cutoff period
market index
measure of the investment performance of the overall market
the dow
index of the investment performance of a portfolio of 30 “blue chip” stocks
S&P 500
index of the investment performance of a portfolio of 500 large stocks
how to measure risk
variance and standard deviation
variance
average value of squared deviations from mean
standard deviation
square root of variance. measurement of total risk
specific risk
risk factors only affecting that firm or industry (unique risk)
market risk
economy wide sources of risk that affect the overall stock market (systemic risk)
correlation
the tendency of the returns on two assets to move together
positive - move up and down together
negative - move in opposite directions
+1 —- 0 —- -1
when thinking about risk…
risk can be measured
some risks look big and dangerous but really are diversifiable
market risks are macro risks
market portfolio
all assets in the economy
beta
sensitivity of a stocks return to the return on the market portfolio (left over)
portfolio betas
equals the weighted average of betas of the securities in the portfolio
market risk premium
difference between market return and return on risk-free treasury bills
capital asset pricing model (CAPM)
theory of relationship between risk and return. states that the expected risk premium on any security equals its beta times the market risk premium
company cost of capital
opportunity cost of capital for investment in the entire firm. the company cost of capital is the appropriate discount rate for an average risk investment project undertaken by the firm
cost of capital
what is the cost of funding? the return the firms investors could expect to earn if they invested in securities with comparable degrees of risk
capital structure
the mix of long-term debt and equity financing
weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
the expected rate of return on a portfolio of all the firm’s securities, adjusted for tax savings due to interest payments
3 steps to calculating WACC
calculate the value of each security as a proportion of the firms market value
determine the required rate of return on each security
calculate a weighted average of the after-tax return on the debt and return on the equity
when estimating WACC…
do NOT use book value, use market value
market value of bonds
present value of all coupons and par value discounted at the current yield to maturity
market value of equity
market price per share multiplied by the number of outstanding shares
for dividend discount model (DDM)…
use cost of equity
for free cash flow to equity (FCFE)…
use cost of equity
for free cash flow to firm (FCFF)…
use WACC