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Where are federal funds rates determined?
Market for reserves
It's the interest rate at which commercial banks borrow from one another
Demand for reserves
Willingness of banks to buy reserves = demand curve
Reserves = required reserves + excess reserves
Opportunity cost of holding excess reserves
Interest rate on loans - interest rate on reserves
Interest rate on reserves (i_or) is usually set at a fixed amount below federal funds rate (i_ff)
What happens when i_ff decreases?
-cost of holding reserves decreases
-quantity demanded of reserves increases
demand curve is downward sloping and flat at i_or
Supply of reserves
Willingness of Fed and banks to sell reserves
Rs can be split into two parts: nonborrowed reserves NBR and borrowed reserves BR
Discount rate is i_d (cost of borrowing from Fed, which is set a fixed amount above the FFR target)
Borrowing from Fed is a substitute for borrowing from other banks
Shape of supply curve
If i_ff < i_d:
banks won't borrow from Fed
borrowed reserves are zero
supply curve will be vertical
as i_ff rises above i_d:
borrow more and more at i_d and relend the procees at i_ff
supply curve is horizontal at i_d
Conventional monetary policy tools
Used during normal (non-crisis?) times:
-open market operations
-discount lending
-reserve requirements
new since 2008: interest payments on reserves
Non-conventional monetary policy tools
Used during "desperate" times (e.g. 2008 crisis and COVID-19 crisis):
-liquidity provision
-asset purchase
-commitment to future monetary policy actions
Liquidity provision
Setting up Term Auction Facility (TAF)
-fed sets quantity of funds it's willing to lend to banks, then banks bid to borrow those funds
-interest rate is determined by amount of funds made available & competition among banks
-higher quantity of funds available increases Ms
Creating new lending programs
-many created 2008
-esp. for lending to investments banks to prevent their failure (bc they were decided to be too big to fail)
Asset purchase
Aka quantitative easing
OMO involves purchases of short-term govt. securities
(affects short-term interest rates, but these are at 0)
QE involved purchases of long-term govt. securities (to lower interest rates, to stimulate lending & economy)
Forward guidance
Aka management of expectations
-fed commits to maintaining short-term interest rates near zero for a long period of time (means future short-term interest rates are promised to be close to 0).
-creates downward pressure on long-term interest rates
-uses words to affect future expectations about short-term interest to lower current long-term interest rates
-fed's credibility problem (if economy recovers faster than expected, fed will need to increase interest rates sooner than promised)