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causality
criteria:
the variables must be associated
the cause must precede the effect in temporality time
the relationship cannot be explained by no confounding third variable
Internal validity
trust the relationship between your variables within your study
necessary before we can infer causation
will depend on study design, implementation, and data analysis
additional threats to internal validity
selection bias
history
testing
maturation
attrition
instrumental changes
compensatory rivalry/demoralization
ambiguity about direction
selection bias
the control and the intervention groups aren’t as similar as they appear to be
participant motivation level to change can be a big factor
you can control for the variable you think of, there could be others
randomization
creates equivalent groups based on probability theory
controls for selection bias
controls for confounding
only relevant to experimental study designs
not random sampling
history
events that happen beyond the control of the researcher that can affect results
catastrophic events
political events
personal tragedies successes
testing
repeatedly taking a test will make you better at the test
maturation
simply getting older, more experienced
children
life stages
professional development
attrition
AKA loss to follow up
participants drop out before study completion
also form of selection bias if one group has higher attrition than the other
studies should plan on attrition when estimating sample sizes
incentives offered throughout long-term studies may reduce attrition
Instrument changes
if the pre-test and post-test aren’t the same, are they really measuring the same thing?
If the questionnaire or method for measurement used to collect data changes over time the researcher has to make assumptions about how to condense data
Compensatory rivalry and demoralization
If groups are aware of each other…
They might become competitive, and one group might change more than the other (rivalry)
the control group might feel resentful and may have less commitment to remain in the study (demoralization)
Ambiguity about the direction of casual inference
When timing of the independent variable and the dependent variable cannot be conclusively determined
participants who complete a drug treatment program were more likely to stay sober than those who dropped out
did they stay sober because they were in the program?
or did they complete the program because they were sober