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1917 Constitution
Foundation of Mexican state; post-Revolution; strong presidency
PRI (Perfect Dictatorship)
Ruled 1929-2000; semi-authoritarian, clientelism, stability
AMLO (Morena)
Left-populist president, uses nationalist rhetoric; erodes checks & balances
Gender Quotas → Parity Reform
30%→40%→50% candidates required female; “parity in everything” (2019)
Claudia Sheinbaum
First woman + Jewish president; Morena; feminist branding, PhD energy engineering
V-Dem View
Mexico shows autocratization signs under AMLO
US Guns → Cartels
70% seized cartel guns traced to US stores
Claudia Sheinbaum Rise
Enabled by decades of quota reforms + parity laws creating pipeline
Gender Reform Timeline
1996 rec; 2002 quota 30%; 2008 quota 40%; 2014 parity; 2019 parity everywhere
Why Women Succeeded?
Structural inclusion reforms + normalization of women in power
Sheinbaum vs Gálvez Similarities
STEM background, executive positions, ethnic minority women
Femicide Nation Paradox
Women leaders despite 10 murders/day; <10% cases prosecuted
Aguilar Mexico Authoritarianism (Democratic Backsliding)
Fourth Transformation
AMLO’s populist project to “rebuild Mexico” → justification to weaken institutions
Attacks on Judiciary/INE
Legal reforms to reduce oversight & autonomy
Populism Strategy
People vs elites framing; delegitimizes opposition; centralizes power
Distribution Policies
Welfare + cash transfers used to maintain support and loyalty