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forecasting planning process
consider company strategy
forecast / estimate demand
estimate available supply
compare estimated need and availability
develop plan to address gap
monitor results and revise as needed
forecasting labor needs
consider business activity, anything impacting this
forecasting tools
-ratio
-regression
-trend analysis
-judgement forecasting
-return on investment
forecasting internal labor
-fit
-culture
-no sign of relocation bonus
-known performance
-employee retention and morale
tools for estimating labor availability
-talent inventory
-employee survey
-judgement
-replacement charts
forecasting external labor
-new ideas / perspective
-expertise, skills, experience
tools estimating labor availability
bureau of labor statistics website
action plan to address gaps
-long and short term of predicted labor shortage
-long and short term of predicted labor surplus
predicted labor shortage: long term
-increase salary
-increase supply of labor
-retraining
-automate some functions
predicted labor shortage: short term
-hiring incentives
-use temp workers
-more expensive recruiting methods
predicted labor surplus: long term
-layoffs / downsizing
-reduce hours
-early retirements
-buyout incentives
-retraining
predicted labor surplus: short term
-reduce hours
-temporary layoffs
-move to another department
timeline
-submit application
-phone screen
-test
-in person interview
-offer
-acceptance
costs
-testing
-travel / relocation
-meals
-time
-reviewing resume
transition matrix
a table used by recruiters to track candidates and the actions taken at each stage of the hiring process
judgmental forecasting
relying on the experience and insights of people in the organization to predict a firm’s future employment needs
return on investment analysis
measures whether the value created by new hires is greater than the cost of recruiting them
scatterplots
graphically shows how two different variables are related
talent inventories
database that summarizes each employee’s skills, competencies, and qualifications
replacement charts
shows each of the possible successors for a job and summarizes their present performance, promotion, readiness, and development needs