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Sampling
The process of deciding what or whom to observe particularly when we cannot observe anything or everyone
Heterogeneous opinions in any population
Limited resources
Probability sampling
Type of sampling where the sample is selected on probability
Typically involves some random selection mechanism
Large representative samples
Key characteristics
Selection through random choice
Everyone has an equal probability of selection
Benefits of probability sampling
Representativeness→ a sample has the same distribution of characteristics as the population from which it was selected
Generalizable→ degree to which you can apply the results of your study to a broader context
Cost efficient
Avoids bias→ can be conscious or unconscious, those selected may not be typical or representative of the larger population
Margin of error→ the degree to which a sample average differs from the population average
Size of margin
Larger sample → smaller margin of error → closer approximation to true population
Identifying population
Group we are interested in generalizing
Establishing sampling frame
The list of units composing your population
Use random selection to sample your elements
Individual units comprising your sample
Simple random sampling
Pulling names out of a hat
equal probability of selection
Random number generator chooses people
Systematic sampling
Pick every k^th observation, fixed interval as to who is being chosen (based of scramble data)
Cluster Sampling
Randomly select individuals from clusters
Sampling frame does not exist
Stratified Sampling
Divide people into different groups and then sample them based on belonging
In proportion to population portions or oversample certain groups necessary
Randomly select people in these groups
Non-probability sampling
A sample that is not drawn using a method of random selecion
Not generalizable (all have their own forms of bias, but typically have a reason to do so)
Convenience sampling
Selected due to convince
happen to be in the area and they are easy to reach
Not suggested unless the people passing are the actual target sample or you are doing exploratory work (and need something cheap and easy)
doesn’t have a sampling frame
Purposive sampling
Units selected based on which will be the most useful or insightful
Think about the quality of the data the give will give you and then select the individuals based on what you want
specific groups with unique characteristics
Late diagnosed autistic women (would not be able to do this from random sampling
A thing like picking big brother contestants would be random sampling
Could be used to access small populations
Key consideration: Can we access that people that we need
What type of cases should be purposively examined?
typical:
Wanted to study the comeback of being a rustbelt city
Would want to look at pgh
Extreme:
Anything but extreme
Trad wife—> Resemble the rise of tradition gender roles in america
study trad wives and see why they want to be this way
Important:
Choose cases about what is most important foe your group
Like harvard, yale, Princeton when studying elite universities
Devient
Unusual, unexpected, hard to explane
Anomalies or outliers
Like characters in zombie movies that are immune to virus
Contracting type
Two things that relate to study, but have different outcomes
Two people grow up in the same way, but go down two different paths
Sampling for range
Maximizing respondents’ range of experience with the phenomena under the study
Quota sampling
Units are selected on the basis of pre- specifies characteristics, so the sample will have the same distribution of characteristics assumed to be in the population being studied
Hand selection
Snowball sampling
Interviewees are suggest additional people for interviewing
useful when we don’t know a lot about the population or when the population is difficult to locate
Word of mouth
Networks
Key Informants
The first point of contact a researcher has with their population
We want someone who is high up and can give strong connections
Saturation
When additional data fail to yield new insights and simply reinforce what the researcher already knows
What are the benefits of non representative samples?
Rich information
Function of the sample size
When to stop?
When you have reached saturation
Causal Mechanisms
Rich data helps because we can literally ask why
X causes Y
Survey
A social research method in which researchers ask a sample of individuals to answer a series of questions
Pre-written questions
Typically closed ended, so there are fixed responses
Highly structured
Not much room for conversation
Often examine thoughts, opinions, and behaviors
What are the advantages of surveys?
Good for describing large populations (when used with probability sampling
Large samples are feasible
Breadth of topics
Reliability and comparison
Very reliable
High external validity→ results can be generalized
What are the disadvantages of surveys
Assessing causality is difficult
Measurement validity→ The question asked may suffer from validity problems
Hard to get complex ideas from surveys
Lack of context→ Does not give a feel of the way that the situations we are asking about are playing out
Sampling error in surveys
if we want to generalize, there will be a little bit of error
Can have error between sampling frame and population→ Results are not representative
Nonresponse error
Hard to get people to respond to surveys
Not generalizable of the population that we are targeting
Data are only as good as the questions asked
Closed ended questions
Subjects can respond only in present ways
Present options given
Open ended questions
Subjects can respond in their own words
hard to analyze
Dichotomous questions
Closed ended
Only 2 options are given (eg. yes or no)
Lickert scale
Closed ended
Ranking
Measures things like satisfaction, importance, quality, etc.
Survey Block
Group of questions within the survey
Typically related to the same thing
Streamline the process for respondents
Bipolar scale
Takes 2 opposing statement and put them on opposite ends of a scale
Closed ended
Measuring preferences along a spectrum and the subject are asked to answer on the scale
They are forced on either end of the scale even if you don’t believe that they are opposing each other. Researcher creates the scale
Nominal
Closed ended
Set of choices
Thinking like a select all that apply from a list of races
Ranking
Respondents rank their priorities or preferences
Problem: What if you feel equally about thing or what if you don’t care about any of them
Vey hard to analyze
Mutually exclusive
Categories that do not overlap one another
are the options distinct
Example of mutual exclusivity
eg. What best describes your age?
if given 21-25 and 25-35, it is not mutually exclusive, confusion is caused for survey takers
** How can we make this mutually exclusive?
give the options of 21-25 and 36-35
Exhaustive
All potential responses are available
are any options missing?
To make a question exhaustive…
brainstorm all of the categories
If you run out of all brainstorming capacity, can add the “other” category
“other can also be used if you have a primary focus, but you do not want to force subjects into an answer
What is pilot testing when thinking about exhaustive questions?
Can give the question to a small group and ask them to think of anything that is missing
Forced choice questioning
Removing some options from the menu
Responses cannot be neutral, subjects are being forced to answer
Good to have a “prefer not to say” and “don’t know”, but too much “prefer not to say” can cause response bias
Acquiescence Bias
The tendency to agree no matter what
How to construct an open ended question
no pre established responses
Require elaboration
Brief and non-cumulative
Some questions can be embedded with in closed ended questions
Like the “other” category
Some are purely open ended
Benefits of open ended questions
Deeper understanding
Encourages respondent engagement
Respondents want to feel like their voices are being heard
Improves validity
Face to face interviews
When you interview a person face to face
In public space, home, research office
Location can change respondents answer
What are the advantages of a face to face interview?
High completion rates
Unlikely that people will not finish the interview
People don’t like to say no
People like to talk about themselves
What are the downsides of a face to face interview
Interviewer effect
People may be unwilling to say something that will hurt your feeling (tells us what we want to hear given the traits that they can infer)(who are you)
May disclose thing to interviewers, who have the same race, for example, that they otherwise would not
Social desirability
Idea that respondents will answer in ways that is expected of them by society (what does society want)
Cost
Face to face is the mist expensive by both money and time
Telephone surveys
Interview given over the phone
Advantages of phone interviews
Higher completion rates and data quality
Similar to face to face, but better than other options
Random digit dialing
More cost efficient than face to face
Fewer interviewer effects
More distance
Harder to discern traits over the phone
Disadvantages of phone surveys
Response rate
People don’t answer numbers that they don’t know
Less rapport
Response fatigue
People don’t like long calls
Sampling bias
Older and lonely people are more likely to answer the phone
Self administered surveys
Take survey on their own (often sent through the mail)
typically very structured
Paper Pencil
Advantages of self administered surveys
Low cost
Low bias
there is no interviewer, so no contact
Convenient for the respondent
Disadvantages of self administered surveys
Easy to just ignore the survey
Easy to throw out survey that looks like junk
Lower response and completion rate
Internet surveys
Respondents answer online
most rapidly evolving
Typically sent through email
Advantages of online surveys
Cheap
Don’t have to pay staff
Don’t need materials
Data is automatic
Easy access and administration
Fast
Disadvantages of online surveys
sampling bias
Coverage error
Come people on the internet are not representative of everyone on the internet
Response rate
May not get email or might just delete it
Questionnaire ordering
Which questions you chose to place where impacts survey results
establish rapport
start easy and end with demographics
Avoid monotony
alternate topics
Vary response options
If people are bored, they may answer the same questions with the same response (straightener)
Quality controls
Speeders
Straighteners
Attention
A question that makes sure they are paying attention
Freebie
Simple math
Prevent order effects and priming
Order effects
When the order in which questions appear biases the responses
Priming effects
When exposure to a particular wood, image, or feeling shapes how respondent thinks and feels
Formating
Goal is for respondent to have a streamline, confusion free experience
consistent
Uncluttered
Intuitive
Clear
When surveys aren’t well formatted, respondent is encouraged
Survey blocks
Composite variables
Index
scale
Contingency / filter question
Split ballot design
Composite variables
Combines multiple survey items to create a single value that captures a multifaceted concept
Index
Sum
Scale
Average
Filter questions
a question of a series of questions associated with a conditional response to a prior question
Split ballot design
One half of the sample receives one type of question and the other half gets another group of questions
random assignment
Survey design
The process of creating, formatting, and sterilizing your survey, it is critical for ensuring reliable and valid research
Does question wording matter?
Yes!
When in doubt, KISS (keep it simple stupid)
KISS
Short
Don’t add fluff words, if people don’t understand, they won’t respond
Consistent
Make sure that a question will mean the same thing to everyone
Easy
Keep it to a middle school reading level, unless targeting higher education
Double Barreled question
Ask about two or more ideas or concepts in a single question
Problems with double barreled questions
Can be difficult and long
eg. Do you support increasing taxes and improving public service?
Fix to the problems with double barreled questions
Make them two separate questions
eg. Do you support increasing taxes?... Do you support improving public service
Problem with questions requiring expertise
People may not know what you are talking about, so they might guess or not answer
reduces validity… not getting the truth
eg. What do you think about proposed tax plan?
How do we fix the problem with questions requiring expertise
Provide definitions, examples, or other necessary background information
Avoid jargon
Regardless of expertise, a person should be able to answer the question
Involved negation
contains words “not” or “no” or “don’t” or “without”, or other negative words
Double negative
decreases validity
eg. Do you not agree that the customer service was not helpful?
Double negative
This is a con, respondents do not know if they are answering the question
Fixes for negation
Remove negation
Eg. do you agree or disagree with the following statement; customer service was helpful
Unclear wording
Ambiguous, vague, multiple meanings
Unclear wording problems
People do not understand the questions in the same way
Not reliable
eg. What do you think of DOGE?
Could be money, dog, or department of government efficiency
What are the fixes for unclear wording problems
be precise
Offer response categories
Leading questions
Influences or guides respondents toward a particular answer, often implying a preferred response
Problems with leading questions
All questions are made to get a response, but if it is designed that way it is a leading question
stating the way other feel
Use a word that brings up emotion and/or moral standing
“do you agree”
Fixes for leading questions
removing bias
give both options “whether or not” “do or don’t”
Make neutral
Loading Wording
Welfare vs helping the poor
Requires excess time
Recall Bias
Recall Bias
When respondents do not accurately remember a past event or experience or leave out details when reporting about them
Likely to happen when you ask about something that happened long ago
People will skip, Guess, require excess time to think about it
Fix of excess time
be specific
Shorten time frame
Offer ranges
Offer the “don’t know” / “don’t remember option
Asking about sensitive topic problems
Don’t always have to avoid, but be conscious
Discomfort, shame
People may drop out or skip skip answer
Social desirability of nonresponse
Likely religion, politics, sexual encounters
Fix for asking sensitive questions
emphasize anonymity
Remove loaded questions
Normalize behaviors to make people comfortable
Statistical Literacy
The ability to understand, interpret, and critically evaluate statistical information and data based claims in everyday life, research, and the media
Ability to:
identify how data are collected, summarized, and presented
Recognize potential biases, limitations, and manipulations in statistical reports
Asses the methodological rigor of public reports, headlines, and media claims based on data
Be critical consumers of info rather than passive recipients
Bias
Systematic errors or distortions in the research process that lead to inaccurate, unfair, or misleading conclusions
Threat to validity, reliability, and thus objectivity
Recognizing bias is crucial to ethical, accurate, and worthy social research
Sampling bias
How is our sampling process bias?
Like a nonrandom sample (picking people that will give you the answer that you want)
People dropping out (attrition)
People who die mid study (survivorship bias)
Non-response
Response Bias
How are the responses to our questions biased?
social desirability
Question wording
Acquiescence bias (saying yes no matter what)
Question order
Researcher bias
How is the researcher bias?
Funding
Want to support their these (changing data to make response significant)
Politics and beliefs
Implicit bias
Measurement Bias
Misleading conclusions
Implicit bias
Trying to find patterns that back their beliefs
Media Bias
Switching up words to change what is said
Selective reporting
Oversimplification
Lack of content
Sensationalization or misleading headlines
Use the following statement as info for the next 3 cards
Black men with criminal records receive fewer job opportunities than white men with a criminal record
Having a criminal record harms job opportunities for black men more than it does for white men
Race of criminal affects job prospects
Which statement has a causal relationship
The second statement
Causality
One variable causes the other
X and Y have to be related (correlation)
Time order
Non-spuriousness (no third variable)
Time spent in prison
Age
Education Level
Social Supports
Class
Are you a good worker?
Statement 1 has no causality, it is just a link
Experiment
The researcher manipulates one or more independent variable(s) to determine the effect(s) on the dependent variable
IV= Cause
DV= effect
Does X cause Y
Can eliminate all other explanations, which are held constant
isolating effect of X on Y
Experimental subjects
Your sample
people participating in the experiment
Do not need to be representative (can just throw out into the world)