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What is the core takeaway
the space you are in, changes the game
What are the two different ways that business can operate in another country
rationally pursue their interests within the formal and informal constraints, where formal constraints are unclear, informal constraints will play a larger role to reduce uncertainty
What formal institutions combine to create the political economy
political systems, economic systems, legal systems
What are the two types of a political system
individualism and collectivism
What are the different types of totalitarianism
communist, theocratic, tribal, right wing
What is theocratic totalitarianism
political power is monopolised by a party, group, or individual that governs according to religious principles
What is tribal totalitarianism
where a political party that represents the interests of a particular tribe monopolises power
What is right wing totalitarianism
individual economic freedom is allowed by individual political freedom is restricted
What are the different risks that firms have to assess
commercial risk, environment risk, political risk
What is considered a commercial risk
competitive pressures, technological change, market changes
What is considered a environmental risk
culture, legal-political, general economic forces
What are the different broad types of political risks
macro and micro
Macro risk - def
affects all companies
Micro risk - def
affects specific regions, sectors, industries and firms
What companies don’t need to worry about micro risk
companies that take up majority of the market e.g. apple
What are the different types of political risk
systematic, procedural, distributive, catastrophic
Systematic political risk - def
affects all firms e.g. weakened property rights, restrictions on freedom
Procedural political risk
affects some, not all firms e.g. excessive red tape, corruption, breaks of contract
Distributive Political risk - def
foreign firms seen as agents of prosperity (more seen in developing countries) e.g. tax discrimination, unilateral trade barriers, expropriation of assets
Catastrophic political risk - def
affects all firms e.g. civil disorder, coups, war
What are the effects of macro-political risk
costs investors some or all of the value of their investments, forces them to accept lower-than-projected rates of return, threatens the sustainability of local activities
What is an example of macro-political risk
political instability, corrupt of poor leadership, frequent changes in government, racial, religious, tribal or ethnic conflicts, poor relations with other countries
Examples of micro political risk
industry regulation, taxes on specific business activities, various restrictive local law
What is an example of micro-macro political risk
expropriation, indigenisation law
What is the effect of micro political risk
reduced operating profitability due to regulations, require the use of domestic suppliers, restricts repatriation of profits
Expropriations Example (1)
South africa passed the expropriation bill which allowed the government to seize property, compensation was well below market values
Expropriations Example - effect (1)
detterred investment in agribusiness and slowed production, banks will raise mortgage costs or reduce or withhold loans, famers won’t invest into their land when they think it will be taken
Indigenisation Law in the UAE - overview
in 2005, the UAE introduced emiratization laws, banks, insurance forms and trading companies were required to increase their Emirati workforce by 5% each year, intented to encourage local employment and skill development
Indigenisation Law in the UAE - effects
high wages for low skilled workers, unable to dismiss poor performers, quotas met by granting scholarship to students who are then listed as employees
What types of MNC’s are most affected by political risk
highly dependent on a global supply chain, heavy concentration of assets in a single country, reliant on international growth
How to manage political risk
diversify asset portfolio, hold political risk insurance, form joint business venture
Why is a country’s legal system important
regulate business practice, define manner in which business transactions are executed, how contracts confer rights and obligations
What are the different types of laws
common, civil, theocratic, customary
What are some examples of legal conventions
UN convention on contracts for the international sale of goods, foreign corrupt practices act
What is the UN convention on contracts for the international sale of goods
rules governing everyday commercial contracts between different nations
What should businesses be aware of about a host country law
constraints on foreign ownership, property rights to resoueces and the income they can generate, operating concerns, strategic concerns
Host country laws - property rights
need to know about land, property, intellectual property rights
Host country laws - operating concerns
starting a business, entering and enforcing contracts, hiring and iring local workers, closing down the business
Host country laws - Strategic concerns
product safety and liability, marketplace behaviour, product origin and local content, legal jurisdiction, arbitration