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What is SPITCEROW?
framework for conducting in-depth conflict analysis
• S = SOURCES
• P = PARTIES
• I = ISSUES
• T = TACTICS
• C = CHANGES
• E = ENLARGEMENT
• R = ROLES
• O = OUTCOMES
• W = WINNER
In the metaphor of a conflict tree, what do the trunk, leaves, and roots represent?
Trunk = the issue
Leaves = what you see
Roots = the underlying causes of the conflict
What tasks are involved in an early warning system?
Identification of the type of location of the conflict that could become violent
Monitoring and assessing conflict progress with a view to assessing how close violence is
Why do Ramsbotham et al. argue that the aim of conflict prevention is not to avoid conflict altogether?
Not all conflict is necessarily bad and some can help solve a larger issue
How can structural prevention of conflict be differentiated from light (or operational) prevention?
Structural: solves a problem from a root cause to lead to a long-term solution
Operational: looks for the quickest way to mitigate conflict
What are the indicators that suggest the right time to negotiate in order to bring a conflict to an end?
A mutually hurting statement and ripeness of the conflict
Why did Trump succeed in brokering a peace agreement between Israel and Palestine, whereas Biden failed?
The conflict was still gearing up during the Biden administration and had not reached a mutually hurting stalemate or ripeness stage
Why have attempts to negotiate an end to the Russia-Ukraine war failed?
Despite the length of the war there has been no mutually hurting stalemate and both parties still seek to move forward with their respectvie goals
What are the different approaches to negotiation?
Positional Bargaining – win-lose, concessions are a sign of weakness
Competitive
May result in compromise outcome
Interests-based bargaining - win-win, mutually beneficial solutions
Cooperative
May result in integrative solution
Principled Negotiations
"Separate the people from the problem.”
Focus on interest, not positions.
Generate a variety of possibilities before deciding what to do
Insist that the results be based on some objective standard
Positional Bargaining
Win-Win outcomes rather than Win-Lose
Distributive bargaining
• “Win-lose”
• Divides fixed resources
• One side’s gain = other’s loss
Integrative Bargaining
• “Win-win”
• Expands possible outcomes
• Emphasizes cooperation and creativity
Behavioral Bargaining
Focuses on psychological factors
Three core elements of negotiation
Parties
Interests
Relationships
What are the different types of mediation strategies?
• Family Mediation
• Workplace Mediation
• Commercial Mediation
• Inter-cultural Mediation
• Peace Mediation in violent conflict context
What are the different types of mediators?
• “Insider-partial” mediators
– Linked to disputants
– Community elders, religious figures, friends
• Authoritative mediators
– Formal relationship with the parties
– Supervisors, diplomats, international
organizations
• Independent mediators
– Professionally trained, neutral
• “Mediators with muscle”
– Mediators that can offer incentives (rewards or sanctions) for parties to reach agreement
What roles can third parties play in conflict resolution?
• Communicator
– Purely procedural, go-between, shuttle diplomacy
– Oslo Talks
• Formulator
– Substantive, helps devise settlements
– May start with broad formula (“land for peace,” “one man, one vote,” powersharing), then turn to details
• Manipulator
– Mediator becomes party to the solution
– US role in Dayton talks on Bosnia
– Sanctions and side payments
What are the principal organs of the UN?
General Assembly
Security Council
Secratariat
What are the functions of the United Nations Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC)?
coordinates the economic, social, environmental, and related work of 14 specialized agencies, functional commissions, and five regional commissions
Principles of traditional peacekeeping
consent, impartiality, limited use of force
What is the purpose of aim of peacekeeping?
Monitor agreements already established and protect civilians
Why did negotiations between Republicans and Democrats fail, leading to the longest government shutdown in American history?
Funding for ACA was causing disagreements, conflict wasn’t ripe yet
In peacemaking, what is Track One diplomacy?
The state-led based negotiations
Ex. US government involved with Israel and Palestine