Voting behaviour

How many C2 DE voters supported Labour in 1967?

60%

In 2017 how many D/E voters supported Labour?

47%

In 2019, how many C2DE voters voted Conservative?

48%

In 2019, how many ABC1 voters voted Conservative?

43%

In 2019, how many over 70s voted Conservative?

67%

In 2019, how many 18-24 year olds voted Labour?

56%

In 1997, what percentage of the north voted Labour?

61

in 1997 what percentage of the South east voted conservative?

47%

Stats for the red wall in 2019

it is estimated it is about 30 to 40 of their 48 seats gained

primacy model

suggests factors like age, ethnicity and class can be used to determine a lot of voting behaviour because these social factors change very slowly

recency model

voting patterns are a lot more volatile and developments like partisan dealignment and embourgeoisement have reduced many individial’s loyalties so short term factors like salient issues, leaders and events are much more important

labour party lost votes in

every single region of the UK in 2019

why does labour do well in urban areas

• policies resonate with urban voters who rely more on public services

• higher levels of poverty and immigration in urban areas

why conservatives do well in rural areas

rural areas more traditonal

they push for policies that support rural industries and rural infrastructure

older people live there

percentage of ABC1 who voted conservative in 1979

59

turn out and social class

highest turnout always in upper 60s in ABC1 and low 50s in C2DE