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pubpol 639 program evaluation
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what is partial compliance
situations in which members of the treatment or control group do not “comply” with their assignment
ex: individuals in treatment group do not receive any treatment or do not complete any treatment or individuals in comparison group receive treatment
control crossover
individuals in comparison group receives treatment
why is partial compliance not always a mistake or problem
many interventions or treatments are not mandatory and individuals can be offered the opportunity to participate but are not meant to be forced
why is partial compliance a problem
non-compliance reduces the difference in program exposure between T and C groups which will bias the estimated treatment effect toward zero. to calculate the treatment effect you need to calculate the average outcome of all members in the T group. including those who didn’t receive the treatment and the avg will be attenuated if only a portion were treated
how to minimize control crossover
monitor participants closely
randomize at higher level
how to deal with partial compliance
can’t ignore the T members who do not receive treatment or count them as part of the C group because it introduces bias - treatment take-up is likely endogenous and would make T not random
notation for whether an invidiual was assigned to treatment
Zi
notation for whether an individual received the treatment
Di
what are the different “types” in an RCT
compliers, always-takers, never-takers, defiers
compliers
do what they are told (calculate last)
always takers
always do the treatment even if not assigned. for people assigned to the treatment group, can’t distinguish between always takers and compliers so we calculate always-takers as people in the control group who receive treatment
never-takers
never do the treatment even if assigned. for the control group, can’t distinguish never-takers from compliers so we calculate people assigned to treatment group who didn’t take treatment
defiers
do the opposite of what they are told. can’t calcuate
ITT
intent-to-treat → the effect of being assigned to treatment.
combines effect of treatment itself with probability of take-up
assumes independence and SUTVA
also referred to as the reduced form effect
estimated via OLS regression
ITT is often the most policy-relevant parameter
LATE
Local Average Treatment Effect
the effect of the intervention on the compliers
“local” refers to the fact that we are measuring the effect for a specific group of individuals who are on the margin of participating and encouragement or opportunity will push them into receiving treatment
calculating LATE
divide it by the difference in treatment rates between the assigned T and C groups
LATE = ITT/FS
FS
“fist-stage” → the difference in treatment participation
2SLS
two-stage least squares → used to estimate the LATE
type of instrumental variables estimation and allows inclusion of covariates and calculation of s.e.
assumptions required to identify ITT
independence - no selection bias
SUTVA - no spillovers
assumptions required to identify LATE
independence - no selection bias
SUTVA - no spillovers
Relevance
Excludability (exclusion restriction)
Monotonicity
exclusion restriction
the randomized treatment assignment does not influence the outcome direction, that is, other than through the fact that it increases the likelihood the individual will receive the treatment
ex: winning a charter school admissions lottery cannot influence student achievement by making the child feel proud about winning something
Monotonicity
the assumption rules out the existence of defiers
ITT vs LATE
ITT is the effect of of intention to treat so it includes everyone who was assigned to treatment group. LATE captures the treatment effect for the compliers
TOT
Treatment-on-the-Treater - weighted average of the effect on the compliers and the always-takers.
If there are no always-takers, then LATE=TOT
one cannot choose to calculate TOT vs LATE, if there are crossovers in your study you should interpret the treatment effect estimates as LATEs
Calculating YĚ…T-YĚ…C
If you calculate YĚ…T-YĚ…C in an RCT with perfect compliance, you can interpret this as the ATE which in some cases is ATT and if you calculate in an RCT with imperfect compliance you interpret this as ITT