Ch. 11: NORTH KOREA

Kim Jong Un

Kim Jong Un

Under _______, North Korea has dramatically hastened the pace of nuclear weapon development, especially delivery vehicles such as long-range missiles.

stable

Kim Jong Un’s regime appears _______.

Kim Il Sung (KIS)

1984-1994 (first)

Kim Jong Il (KJI)

1994-2011 (middle)

Kim Jong Un

2011-present

sudden volatility

• long series of arrests & killings of rivals

• North Korean people’s growing awareness of outside events

• increasing involvement in trade

• confrontational rhetoric

2019

As of early ____,

• North Korea has not conducted any nuclear-capable missile or nuclear tests in more than a year

• declared support for denuclearization of Korean Peninsula

• reversibly dismantled portions of its WMD infrastructure

unlikely

North Korea is _______ to give up all of its nuclear weapons and production capabilities.

nuclear arms

North Korean leaders view _______ as critical to regime survival.

2019 New Year’s Address

• Kim Jong Un pledged to “go toward” complete denuclearization

• promised not to make, test, use, or proliferate nuclear weapons

2018 Singapore

“complete denuclearization of Korean Peninsula”

inconsistent

US continues to observe activity _______ with full denuclearization.

2018

• order to mass-produce weapons

• constitutional change that affirmed nuclear status

• (lying about full denuclearization)

longer range missiles, sea-launches, orbiting of satellites

unprecedented pace of missile testing has included…

Hwasong-14 and 15

can likely reach the continental United States

10,000 km

Hwasong-14 range

13,000 km

Hwasong-15 range

• overseas labor

• cyber-theft

• illicit commercial exports

How does North Korea generate revenue?

efforts to mitigate US pressure campaign

• diplomatic engagement

• counter-pressure against sanctions

• direct sanctions evasion

3

How many times did Kim Jong Un meet with South Korean President Moon Jae-in in 2018?

Results…

• agreements to reconnect roads & rail lines

• new military parameters

• reforestation

• facilitate cultural exchanges

petroleum

Throughout 2018, US observed North Korean maritime vessels transferring _______ at sea with third-world tankers to mitigate effects of US sanctions.

numbers, locations

Kim Jong Un has increased both the _______ and _______ of tests.

South Korea, Japan

US coordinates & consults with _______ and _______.

60,000

Personnel strength

20

___ Mine Warfare Vessels

40

___ Support/Auxiliary vessels

70

___ Submarines

260

___ Amphibious Landing Craft

430

___ Patrol Combatants

Nampo

Toejo Dong

two primary fleet headquarters for the North Korean Naval Forces

Pyongyang

capital of North Korea

1968 January

• captured USS Pueblo

• held 83-man crew hostage for 11 months (first event on list)

1969 April

North Korean Mig-21 fighters shot down Navy EC-121 reconnaissance aircraft in international airspace over Sea of Japan; all 31 sailors perished (also an old event)

2006 July (seventh month)

• North Korea test fired seven missiles

• long-range Taepodong-2 crashed shortly after takeoff, although reportedly having capability to hit US

2006 October

first nuclear weapons test at underground facility

2009 April

• launched long-range rocket

• accused of testing long-range missile technology

• condemnation from UN Security Council

• North Korea walked out of six-party talks

• Restarted nuclear facilities (impetus for nuclearization)

2009 May

second underground nuclear test

2012 October

claimed it has missiles that can hit US mainland

2013 February

UN approved fresh sanctions after North Korea staged third nuclear test

2014 March

• test-fired two medium-range Rodong ballistic missiles

• violation of UN resolutions

2017 July

• Pyongyang test fired long-range missile into Sea of Japan (7)

• some experts stated it could potentially reach Alaska

2022

Total of 69 launches from 13 different types of missiles executed, surpassing previous high of 26 launches in 2019.