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DEVELOPING MODELS
economists develop models to explain how the economy works- they are built on assumptions used to simplify analysis but risk criticism for not being realistic enough.
THEORY VS MODEL
there is no exact distinction between the two words.
but theories can be expressed in words while models (because they require greater precision) are expressed in mathematical terms.
purpose- to explain why something is as it is
they’re simplified to make them more useful
ASSUMPTIONS
assumptions are initial conditions made before a micro or macroeconomics analysis is built
there are too many variables which can change within an economic model so assumptions must be made
CETERIS PARIBUS
all sciences make assumptions when developing models and theories- allows them to simplify problems
economists use the term ceteris paribus- latin to assume ‘all other things remain equal’ in an economic model
economists will use this when looking at the relationship between 2 factors- assume only these 2 change and all other factors that would have an effect on any other variable remain the same
helps them develop theories and models, and make predictions
SCIENTIFIC EXPERIMENTS
economics is a social science (studies society and human behaviour) and so, unlike with natural science, it’s difficult to set up experiments to tests hypothesis.
as the economist has to gather data in the everyday world, other variables are always changing it- difficult to decide whether evidence supports or disagrees with a hypothesis
so they come up with different conclusions for a set of data
NOT SOCIAL SCIENCE?
some argue economics is not a social science bc it studies human behaviour and that cannot be reduced to scientific law.
but groups of individuals are more predictable than 1 individual- economists deal more with groups
laws can’t be definite bc we don’t know exactly what each individual will do