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outline offender profiling
A behavioural and analytical tool that is intended to help investigators accurately predict and profile the characteristics of unknown offenders.
to generate hypotheses
outline top down approach
Developed by the FBI’s Behavioural Science Unit using interviews with 36 sexually motivated murderers, including Ted Bundy and Charles Manson.
Uses pre-defined criminal profiles based on past cases.
Crime scene evidence is analysed to decide whether the offender fits an organised or disorganised category.
Each category has specific behavioural characteristics.
If a crime scene matches one category, investigators can predict likely traits of the offender.
characteristics of an organised offender
crime is planned
victim is deliberately targeted, offender has a type of victim they seek out
high degree of control during the crime
little or no evidence left at crime scene
tend to be above average or high intelligence
skilled, professional occupation
socially and sexually competent
may be married with children
characterises of a disorganised offender
crime is impulsive with little or no planning
lacking control
evidence left behind
below average or low intelligence
unskilled work or unemployed
socially and sexually incompetent
lives alone
outline stages of constructing an FBI profile
data assimilation- the profiler reviews the evidence
crime scene classification- as either organised or disorganised.
crime reconstruction- hypotheses in terms of sequence of events, behaviour of the victim, etc
profile generation- hypotheses related to the likely offender
outline modus operandi
serious offenders have certain signature ‘ways of working’ and these generally correlate with a particular set of social and psychological characteristics that relate to the individual.
strength of top down approach
Research support for the organised offender category.
David Canter et al. (2004) analysed 100 US serial murders using smallest space analysis.
Found a cluster of behaviours (e.g., restraint, body concealment) matching the FBI organised offender typology.
Shows patterns of behaviour exist in serial crimes.
Therefore: supports the validity and scientific credibility of the top-down approach.
strength for top down approach
Wider application to other crimes.
Tina Meketa (2017) applied top-down profiling to burglary in three US states.
Added new categories: interpersonal (offender knows victim) and opportunistic (inexperienced offender).
Led to an 85% increase in solved cases.
Therefore: suggests top-down profiling has greater practical usefulness and applicability than originally thought
weakness of top down approach
Based on weak and unrepresentative evidence.
FBI typology developed from interviews with only 36 US murderers.
Sample was small, non-random, and lacked different offender types.
Interviews had no standardised questions, reducing reliability.
David Canter argued the data is methodologically flawed.
Therefore: top-down profiling may lack a strong scientific basis.
outline bottom up approach
Profilers work up from evidence collected from the crime scene to develop hypotheses about the likely characteristics, motivations and social background, investigation does not begin with fixed typologies
outline investigative psychology
Uses statistical analysis + psychological theory to analyse crime scenes
Identifies patterns of behaviour across offences
Builds database (baseline) → compare new crimes
Helps infer offender details (background, history) + link crimes
Interpersonal coherence → behaviour with victim reflects everyday behaviour
outlie geographical profiling
Uses crime locations to predict offender’s home/base
Based on spatial consistency (crimes in familiar areas)
Centre of gravity → base likely in middle of crime pattern
Circle theory (Canter) → crimes form circle around home
Marauder → crimes near home
Commuter → travels away
Gives clues about planning + offender traits
strength for investigative psychology
David Canter & Rupert Heritage (1990) → 66 sexual assault cases
Found behaviour patterns (data was examined using smallest space analysis)
Supports consistency → case linkage
✔ Backed by research evidence
limitation for investigative psychology
Circular data issue → database = solved crimes only
Easier cases more likely included
Less useful for unsolved/complex crimes
strength for geographical profiling
study → 120 murder cases
using smallest space analysis - Found spatial consistency + centre of gravity
Strong support for marauder pattern
✔ Shows profiling can locate offender
limitation of geographical profiling
Relies on accurate police data
Many crimes not reported (dark figure of crime)
Data can vary between areas → less reliable
Ignores other factors (e.g. time, offender experience)
❗ Should be used with other methods, not alone
biological: outline the historical approach
Cesare Lombroso (1876) → “criminal man” theory
Claimed criminals are atavistic (genetic throwbacks)
Said they are biologically different / primitive
outline biological approach
criminals are atavistic (genetic throwbacks)
Primitive/savage nature → can’t adapt to civilised society
Crime is innate → rooted in genes
Offenders not to blame → behaviour biologically determined
✔ Revolutionary idea at the time
outline atavistic form
offender subtype could be identified as being in possession of particular physiological ‘markers’ that were linked to particular types of offence.
these include biologically determined atavistic characteristics

what are the offender types Lombroso identified?
using physical and facial features
Murderers: bloodshot eyes, curly hair, long ears
Sexual deviants: glinting eyes, swollen, fleshy lips, projecting ears
Fraudsters: thin, reedy lips
outline Lombroso research for atavistic form
Studied hundreds of Italian convicts, both living and dead
Concluded there was an “atavistic form” – physical features indicating criminality
Examined 383 dead and 3839 living convicts
Suggested 40% of criminal acts are committed by people with atavistic traits
strength for lombroso
Hailed as the “father of modern criminology”; coined the term criminology
Shifted crime research from moralistic explanations (offenders seen as wicked/weak-minded) to a scientific approach (evolutionary and genetic influences)
Linked types of people to types of crime, laying the groundwork for offender profiling
Overall, made a major contribution to the science of criminology
limitation for lombroso
Critics argue his legacy is not entirely positive
Work contains racist undertones: traits like curly hair and dark skin linked to criminality
Implicitly suggested that people of African descent were more likely to offend
Reflects 19th-century eugenic attitudes
Shows some of his theory was subjective and influenced by racial prejudice rather than objective science
limitation for lombroso
Charles Goring (1913) compared 3,000 offenders with 3,000 non-offenders
Found no evidence that offenders had unusual facial or cranial features
Suggested some offenders have lower-than-average intelligence
Challenges Lombroso’s idea that criminals are a distinct physical “subspecies
limitation for lombroso
Lombroso’s methods were poorly controlled
Did not use a non-offender control group, unlike Goring
Failed to account for confounding variables (e.g., poverty, poor education)
Limits ability to conclude that physical traits caused criminality
Research does not meet modern scientific standards
outline twin studies for biological explanation
Twin studies: Karl Christiansen – 3,500 twin pairs in Denmark
Concordance rates for male offenders: 35% identical (MZ) twins, 13% non-identical (DZ) twins
Slightly lower rates for females
Indicates both criminal behaviour and underlying traits may be inherited
limitation for twin studies
Twin studies assume MZ and DZ twins share similar environments
In reality, MZ twins (identical) are often treated more similarly than DZ twins
This can affect behaviour, inflating concordance rates for MZ twins
therefore higher concordance rates for MZs in twin studies may simply be because they are treated much more similarly than DZ twins.
outline adoption studies for biological explanation
Adopted children with biological mothers who had criminal records: 50% risk of criminal record by 18
Adopted children with non-criminal biological mothers: 5% risk
outline role of candidate genes for biological explanation
Study: Tiihonen et al. (2015), ~800 Finnish offenders
Genes identified:
MAOA: regulates serotonin; linked to aggressive behaviour
CDH13: linked to substance abuse and ADHD
Found that 5–10% of severe violent crime in Finland is associated with these genotypes
outline diathesis stress model for biological explanation
Genetics may influence offending, but effects are moderated by the environment
Diathesis-stress model applied to crime: genetic predisposition + environmental triggers
Environmental triggers could include: dysfunctional upbringing, criminal role models, or adverse experiences
strength for diathesis stress model for bio expl.
study: 13,000 Danish adoptees → increases reliability and generalisability
Neither biological nor adoptive parents convicted → 13.5% adoptees convicted
Biological parent convicted → 20% adoptees convicted
Both biological and adoptive parents convicted → 24.5% adoptees convicted
Shows both genetic inheritance and environmental influence affect offending
overview of neural explanation
Evidence shows neural differences between offenders and non-offenders
Many studies focus on Antisocial Personality Disorder (APD / psychopathy)
APD associated with: reduced emotional responses, lack of empathy, common in convicted offenders
outline prefrontal cortex for neural explanations
Prefrontal cortex: regulates emotional behaviour
study: ~11% reduction in grey matter volume in APD brains compared to controls
Dozens of brain-imaging studies show reduced activity in prefrontal cortex of APD individuals
outline mirror neurons for neural explanations
Offenders with APD can feel empathy, but less consistently
]study: empathy activates only when explicitly prompted (via mirror neurons)
Suggests APD individuals have a neural “switch” for empathy, unlike typical brains where empathy is automatic
strength of neural explanation
researchers reviewed evidence linking frontal lobe damage to antisocial behaviour
Found damage associated with impulsivity, emotional instability, and inability to learn from mistakes
Frontal lobe controls planning and regulation of behaviour
This supports the idea that brain damage may be a causal factor in offending behaviour.
limitation for neural explanation
Link between neural differences and APD may be complex
study: men high in psychopathy had risk factors in childhood (e.g., convicted parent, physical neglect)
Early experiences may contribute to APD and neural differences (e.g., reduced frontal lobe activity)
Suggests other intervening variables affect the relationship between brain differences, APD, and offending
outline Eysenck’s Personality Theory
Behaviour can be described along two dimensions:
Extraversion – Introversion (E)
Neuroticism – Stability (N)
Later added Psychoticism – Sociability (P)
Different combinations produce different personality traits
outline biological basis of personality
Personality traits are innate, biological, linked to the nervous system
Extraverts: underactive nervous system → seek excitement, risk-taking, hard to condition so dont learn from mistakes
Neurotics: highly reactive sympathetic nervous system → nervous, overanxious, unpredictable
Psychotics: high testosterone → unemotional, aggressive
outline criminal personality and socialization
Criminal personality = Neurotic + Extravert + Psychotic
Neurotic: unstable, overreacts
Extravert: seeks arousal, risky behaviour
Psychotic: aggressive, lacks empathy
Socialisation: high E & N → difficult to condition → fail to learn anxiety responses to antisocial impulses → more likely to offend
outline measuring criminal personality
Eysenck Personality Questionnaire (EPQ) measures E, N, P dimensions
Links personality scores to criminality and other behaviours
strength for Eysenck theory
Eysenck & Eysenck : compared 2070 prisoners with 2422 controls using EPQ
Prisoners scored higher on extraversion, neuroticism, and psychoticism
Supports idea that offenders have a distinct criminal personality
counterpoint to strength
study: meta-analysis → offenders high in psychoticism only, not E or N
study: inconsistent EEG evidence for cortical arousal differences
This means some of the central assumptions of the criminal personality have been challenged
limitation to E’s theory
study: distinguishes adolescence-limited vs life-course-persistent offenders
Personality alone is a poor predictor of persistence in offending
Suggests offending is due to interaction between personality and environment and complex than E’s theory
limitation to E’s theory
Bartol & Holanchock (1979): studied Hispanic and African-American offenders in a maximum-security prison
Offenders were divided into six groups based on offence type and history
All groups were found to be less extravert than non-offender controls
Contradicts Eysenck’s prediction that offenders should be more extravert
Suggests findings may be influenced by cultural differences in the sample
Implies the criminal personality may be culturally relative and not generalisable
outline moral development in level of moral reasoning
Kohlberg: proposed a stage theory of moral reasoning based on moral dilemmas (e.g., Heinz dilemma)
Higher stages = more sophisticated reasoning about right and wrong
Offenders tend to show lower levels of moral reasoning than non-offenders
a study by him: violent youths had lower moral development than non-violent youths (even when controlling for social background)
outline link between moral reasoning and criminal behavior
Offenders more likely at pre-conventional level (stages 1–2)
Behaviour driven by avoiding punishment and gaining rewards → more immature, egocentric thinking
Crime more likely if there is reward or low risk of punishment
Non-offenders more likely at higher levels → show empathy, honesty, and respect for others
Supported by Chandler (1973): offenders are more egocentric and have poorer perspective-taking skills